Sunday, 21 December 2014

IAIN DALES #GE2015 PREDICTION

As Iain Dale puts together his prediction we will be collating the results here. with 635 seats covered so far here is the current state of play.

CON 279 (-27) LAB 287 (+47) LD 23 (-34) SNP 18 (+12) UKIP 5 (+3) PC 3 (-) RESPECT 1 (-) SPEAKER 1 GREENS 0 (-1) NI 18

Each link sets out Iains' prediction.

MERSEYSIDE
LAB 13 (-) CON 2 (+1) LD 0 (-1)

CHESHIRE
CON 5 (-3) LAB 6 (+3)

GREATER MANCHESTER
LAB 23 (+1) CON 3 (+1) UKIP 1 (+1) LD 0 (-3)

WEST MIDLANDS 
LAB 13 (+2) CON 6 (-1) LD 0 (-1)

BIRMINGHAM
LAB 9 (+1) LD 0 (-1)

Scotland - Glasgow & Surrounds 
LAB 19 (-) SNP 1 (+1) LD 0 (-1)

Scotland - Borders & Ayrshire 
CON 2 (+1) LAB 4 (-1) SNP 1 (+1) LD 0 (-1)

Scotland - Edinburgh & Fife 
LAB 9 (-4) SNP 5 (+5) LD 1 (-1)

Scotland Central 
SNP 5 (+3) LAB 0 (-2) LD 0 (-1)

Scotland - North East / North & Islands 
SNP 6 (+2) LD 4 (-2) LAB 1 (-1) CON 1 (+1)

CUMBRIA 
CON 1 (-1) LAB 4 (+1) LD 1 (-)


COUNTY DURHAM 
LAB 7 (-)

LANCASHIRE
LAB 9 (+3) CON 7 (-2) LD 0 (-1)

NORTHUMBERLAND 
CON 2 (+1) LAB 2 (-) LD 0 (-1)

YORKSHIRE & HUMBERSIDE 
LAB 35 (+4) CON 18 (-3) LD 2 (-1) RESPECT 1 (-)

LINCOLNSHIRE
CON 5 (-2) LAB 1 (+1) UKIP 1 (+1)

NOTTINGHAMSHIRE 
CON 2 (-2) LAB 9 (+2)

WARWICKSHIRE
CON 4 (-2) LAB 2 (+2)

SHROPSHIRE 
CON 4 (-) LAB 1 (-)

HEREFORDSHIRE & WORCESTERSHIRE 
CON 8 (-)

OXFORDSHIRE 
CON 5 (-) LAB 1 (-)

WALES
LAB 28 (+2) CON 7 (-1) PC 3 (-) LD 2 (-1)

LONDON SOUTH 
CON 3 (-) LAB 6 (+1) LD 0 (-1)

LONDON SOUTH EAST
CON 5 (-) LAB 6 (-) LD 1 (-)

LONDON SOUTH WEST
CON 5 (+1) LAB 1 (-) LD 2 (-1)

LONDON CENTRAL 
CON 2 (-) LAB 4 (-)

LONDON WEST
CON 2 (-2) LAB 7 (+2)

LONDON NORTH WEST 
CON 3 (-2) LAB 7 (+4) LD 0 (-2)

LONDON NORTH EAST 
CON 3 (-1) LAB 8 (+1)

LONDON EAST
CON 2 LAB 6 NO CHANGE

NORTHAMPTONSHIRE
CON 5 (-1) LAB 2 (+1)

DERBYSHIRE 
CON 4 (-2) LAB 7 (+2)

STAFFORDSHIRE
CON 7 (-1) LAB 5 (+1)

LEICESTERSHIRE 
CON 6 (-1) LAB 4 (+1)

AVON 
CON 5 (-1) LAB 3 (+1) LD 3 (-)

SOMERSET
CON 4 (+3) LD 1 (-3)

DEVON 
CON 7 (-1) LAB 3 (+1) LD 2 (-)

CORNWALL
CON 6 (+3) LD 0 (-3)

SURREY
CON 11 (-)

GLOUCESTERSHIRE
CON 3 (-2) LAB 2 (+2) LD 1 (-)

DORSET 
CON 8 LD 0 (-1)

WILTSHIRE
CON 6 (-) LAB 1 (+1) LD 0 (-1)

HAMPSHIRE
CON 17 (+2) LAB 2 (-) LD 0 (-2)

BUCKINGHAMSHIRE 
CON 5 (-1) LAB 1 (+1) SPEAKER 1

WEST SUSSEX 
CON 8 (-)

EAST SUSSEX 
CON 3 (-2) LAB 4 (+4) LD 1 (-1) GREENS 0 (-1)

KENT
CON 16 (-) UKIP 1(-) No Change but Reckless to lose Rochester & Strood, Farage to win South Thanet

BERKSHIRE
CON 7 (-) LAB 1 (-) 

BEDFORDSHIRE 
CON 3 (-1) LAB 3 (+1) 

HERTFORDSHIRE 
CON 9 (-2) LAB 2 (+2) 

CAMBRIDGESHIRE 
CON 6 (-) LAB 1 (+1) LD 0 (-1) 

SUFFOLK
CON 4 (-2) LAB 2 (+2) 

NORFOLK
CON 6 (-1) LAB 2 (+2) LD 1 (-1) 

ESSEX
CON 14 (-2) UKIP 2 (+1) LAB 1 (+1) LD 1 (-)

NORTHERN IRELAND 
NO PREDICTIONS MADE ALL HOLDS

All of the original posts can be found here http://www.iaindale.com/

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