Friday, 28 November 2014

November 27th council By election results

Melton, Ashfordby - Conservative gain from Labour

Party  2014 votes     2014 share   since 2011 "top"since 2011 "average"since 2007 "top"since 2007 "average"
Conservative            265       54.3%       +16.2%          +15.7%       +18.1%          +15.4%
Labour         129       26.4%         -7.7%            -7.0%          -6.4%             -1.5%
UKIP             94       19.3%  from nowhere     from nowhere  from nowhere     from nowhere

       -27.8%          -28.1%       -30.9%            -33.2%
Total votes            488
         40%              40%          39%               42%

Swing Labour to Conservative ~12% since 2011 and around 10% since 2007

East Yorkshire, Bridlington Central & Old Town - UKIP gain from Social Democrat

Party  2014 votes     2014 share   since 2011 "top"since 2011 "average"since 2007 "top"since 2007 "average"
UKIP         401       30.8%  from nowhere     from nowhere  from nowhere     from nowhere
Conservative            352       27.1%         -2.0%             -4.0%         +1.2%             -1.5%
Independent Dealtry *            217       16.7%  from nowhere     from nowhere  from nowhere     from nowhere
Independent Dixon         214       16.5%  from nowhere     from nowhere  from nowhere     from nowhere
Independent Tate         116         8.9%  from nowhere     from nowhere  from nowhere     from nowhere

       -37.6%           -32.6%       -37.1%           -30.7%

       -27.8%           -29.5%       -10.9%           -12.0%
Liberal Democrat   

         -5.6%             -6.8%       -11.5%           -12.6%

       -14.6%           -16.1%
Total votes        1,300
           42%              51%          34%              38%

* Labour candidate in 2011

Swing not meaningful

East Yorkshire, Howdenshire - Conservative hold

Party  2014 votes    2014 share     since 2013 B   since 2011 "top"since 2011 "average"since 2007 "top"since 2007 "average"
Conservative          1,020       46.2%        +2.6%         +3.2%            +5.1%         -2.7%             -8.7%
UKIP           891       40.3%        +5.4%  from nowhere     from nowhere  from nowhere     from nowhere
Labour           298       13.5%        -2.1%         +0.2%            -0.1%         +6.8%             +6.0%
Liberal Democrat   

        -5.9%         -6.9%            -6.6%       -23.8%           -19.7%

       -16.5%          -17.3%       -20.6%           -18.0%
East Yorks Ind

       -15.1%            -15.8%

Other Independent  

         -5.3%            -5.6%

Total votes        2,209
         61%          36%             38%           41%              47%

Swing Conservative to UKIP 1.4% since 2013 by-election otherwise not meaningful

East Yorkshire, Ellerby & Kirk Ella - Conservative hold

Party  2014 votes     2014 share   since 2011 "top"since 2011 "average"  since 2010 Bsince 2007 "top"since 2007 "average"
Conservative         1,522       51.8%         +5.7%            +5.5% from nowhere         +0.5%           -0.0%
UKIP          899       30.6%  from nowhere     from nowhere from nowhere  from nowhere     from nowhere
Labour          515       17.5%         +1.5%            +2.0%         -2.7%       +12.5%          +13.0%       
Liberal Democrat   

       -29.6%          -30.2%       -79.7%       -43.6%          -43.6%
English Democrat   

         -8.1%            -7.9%

Total votes          2,936
          59%             63%          46%          57%             59%

Swing not meaningful

Hillingdon, Charville - Labour hold

Party  2014 B votes     2014 B share   since 2014 "top"since 2014 "average"since 2010 "top"since 2010 "average"
Labour           950        39.2%         +4.2%            +6.0%         -0.4%            +0.7%
Conservative           929        38.3%         +7.0%            +7.2%         +1.0%            +0.5%
UKIP           468        19.3%         -3.0%            -4.3%  from nowhere     from nowhere
TUSAC             40          1.7%          -1.3%            -1.5%  from nowhere     from nowhere
Liberal Democrat               37          1.5%   from nowhere  from nowhere         -7.1%            -6.9%

         -8.5%            -9.0%         -4.5%            -4.8%

         -9.9%          -10.4%
Total votes          2,424
          54%             57%          39%             41%

Swing Labour to Conservative 1.4% (top) / 0.6% (average)  since May 2014 and 0.7% (top) / 0.1% Conservative to Labour (average) since 2010

Thursday, 27 November 2014

Lord Ashcroft Constituency polling

My latest round of constituency polling includes an assortment of seats and some intriguing results.
Of the eighteen seats I have polled over the past four weeks, eleven are held by the Liberal Democrats with the Conservatives in second place. These have bigger majorities than those I have previously surveyed on the Lib Dem battleground, from 9.3% (Cheltenham) to 15.2% (Hazel Grove). To these I have added Watford, the most closely contested of the Conservative seats I have polled where the Lib Dems were second in 2010.
I have also looked at Burnley and Birmingham Yardley, two Lib Dem-held Labour targets not yet covered in my research. And though it does not fit easily into any category, having had an independent MP over two parliaments who finished second at the last election, I have also looked at Wyre Forest.
In addition to these I thought it would be interesting to poll the constituencies of the three leaders of the opposition: Ed Miliband’s Doncaster North, Nick Clegg’s Sheffield Hallam (the electoral opposition, if not technically the Opposition) and Thanet South, where Nigel Farage hopes to be elected next May.
First, the Lib Dem battleground. Having found Labour ahead in Watford in September, this time the Conservatives were back in the lead, by two points. There is little to choose between the parties and the result could still go any of three ways.
In the Lib Dem-held Conservative targets I found an overall swing of two points to the Tories – but only because the fall in the Lib Dem vote (13 points) was even bigger than that in the Conservative vote (9 points). As is often the case, this overall swing masks significant variations between seats – indeed the swings were not even in the same direction.
There was some good news for the Conservatives – I found the party a point ahead in North Devon, where the Lib Dems are defending a majority of 5,821, and five points ahead in Portsmouth South, where the nine-point swing to the Tories suggest the sitting MP’s antics have generated the opposite of an incumbency effect.
Elsewhere in this selection, most of the Lib Dem MPs concerned seem quite well entrenched. Outside Portsmouth South, the biggest swing to the Conservatives was 4.5% in Hazel Grove, which still leaves the Lib Dems with a 6-point lead. At the other end of the scale, I found swings to the Lib Dems in both Carshalton & Wallington and Thornbury & Yate, where Tom Brake and Steve Webb each saw their vote share fall by just 5 points compared to 2010, while the Tory share was down by nearly three times as much.
In the Lib Dem-held Labour targets I found the challengers comfortably ahead in Burnley, with a 13-point lead and a 10% swing, but the Lib Dems holding on by three points in Birmingham Yardley. In Wyre Forest I found the Conservatives ahead and UKIP second with 27% of the vote, evidently benefiting from circumstances in which many local people have not voted for one of the main parties since 1997.
In the eleven Lib Dem-Conservative seats the powerful incumbency factor enjoyed by many Lib Dem MPs is clearly on display. A quarter of those saying they would vote Labour in the standard voting intention question (“which party would you vote for in an election tomorrow?”) switched to the Lib Dems when asked the localised question (“thinking about your own parliamentary constituency at the next general election and the candidates who are likely to stand for Westminster there, which party’s candidate do you think you will vote for?”) Seventeen per cent of those initially saying they would vote Tory did the same, as did 12% of those saying they would vote UKIP.
Interestingly, 15% of 2010 Conservative voters who said they would vote UKIP in the first question switched back to the Tories in the second question. Even so, I found 17% of 2010 Conservative voters saying they would switch to UKIP in their own constituency – as would 13% of 2010 Labour voters and 10% of former Lib Dems.
Conservative switchers to UKIP were less optimistic about the economy, both for themselves and for the country as a whole, than remaining Tories. However, 92% of Conservative-UKIP defectors said they would rather have Cameron as Prime Minister than Miliband, and two thirds said their preferred outcome of the next election was a Conservative overall majority.
And so to the seats of Miliband, Clegg and (potentially) Farage.
Mr Miliband may be relieved to hear he is 12 points ahead in Doncaster North, a seat he won by 26 points in 2010. I found Labour on 40%, with UKIP second on 28% and the Conservatives third on 23%. That being the case, I wonder how many Doncaster Tories would be prepared to lend UKIP their vote, just this once?
In Sheffield Hallam, I found Nick Clegg ahead by just three points (and only on the second question where voters were reminded to think of their own constituency – on the standard voting intention question Labour were ahead). I would be amazed if the Lib Dem leader ended up losing his seat, but remember he won 53% of the vote in Hallam at the height of Cleggmania.
Now seems a good time to issue my customary reminder that these polls are snapshots not predictions – but on the basis of this snapshot Nigel Farage may not find himself in parliament at all. I found the Tories five points ahead in Thanet South, with 34% to UKIP’s 29%.
There is little good news for Miliband in the Doncaster poll, but it is not all bad: his constituents think he is performing nearly as well as David Cameron. Asked how good a job each leader was doing on a scale from zero to ten, they awarded a mean score of 4.40 to the PM, and to 4.27 to their MP. On the whole they thought Farage was doing best, giving him 4.83. Still, nearly a quarter (24%) of Miliband’s constituents thought he would make the best Prime Minister of the four, compared to only 23% who chose David Cameron.
When it came to a straight choice, the local news was less good. Only 18% in Doncaster North said they were satisfied with Cameron’s performance as PM; a further 27% said they were dissatisfied but preferred him to the alternative. Only 35% of his constituents said they would rather have Miliband as PM than the incumbent.
In Sheffield Hallam, Cameron was the highest-rated leader with a performance rating of 5.10, followed by Farage on 4.35. Ed Miliband was third. Nick Clegg was not.
In Thanet South, the local candidate again came second to Cameron, with 4.61 to the PM’s 4.94. Indeed his own potential constituents awarded him a slightly lower score than the people of Doncaster North. Perhaps he should swap seats?
When it comes to managing the economy in the best interests of Britain, 35% of North Doncastrians most trusted Miliband and Ed Balls – which, to be fair to the Eds, is only a fraction behind the 38% who said they most trusted Cameron and George Osborne.
Finally, nearly one third (32%) of Miliband’s constituents said their preferred election outcome was a Labour government. But only 24% of them expected one.

Latest yougov polling (GREENS HAVE YOUNG SHOOTS)  <<< Follow the link if you would like to join the YOUGOV panel and have your opinions heard 

YOUGOV POLL (What has JESUS got to do with it?)  <<< Follow the link if you would like to join the YOUGOV panel and have your opinions heard

In the following poll, YOUGOV has asked and I think it is weird of them to do so, What would Jesus think of immigration, same sex marriages, and most bizarrely of all re nationalising the railways. (He might have had a view on camel trains)

I notice nothing has been said anywhere, but I wonder what the response would have been if any other religious figure had been used? So I have cut out the what Jesus might think and stuck with what the respondent went for, as it would be even more bizarre if they thought Jesus would do something different from their own thoughts. 

Wednesday, 26 November 2014

Latest Comres polling (UKIP not just a TORY problem)

Upcoming council by elections

 Thanks to MiddleEnglander for collating the information.

There are 12 by-elections in the last week of November, including Huntingdonshire: St Neots Priory Park only recently identified, together with 17 known during December. There are a further 11 known vacancies where the election has as yet no date, some of which may remain unfilled until May, along with 4 so far occuring under the "six month" rule.

27th November - 12
Aberdeenshire UA, Troup - Conservative died - 7 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, SNP, Green, 2 x Ind
East Yorkshire UA, Bridlington Central & Old Town - SDP died - 5 candidates: Con, UKIP, 3 x Ind
East Yorkshire UA, Howdenshire - Conservative died - 3 candidates: Con, Lab, UKIP
East Yorkshire UA Willerby & Kirk Ella - Conservative died - 3 candidates: Con, Lab, UKIP
Hillingdon LB, Charville - Labour resigned - 5 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, UKIP, TUSAC
Huntingdonshire DC, St Neots Priory Park - Conservative died - 3 candidates: Con, Lab, UKIP
Melton DC, Asfordby - Labour died - 3 candidate: Con, Lab, UKIP
Midlothian UA, Midlothian East - Labour sitting as Independent resigned - 6 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, SNP, Green, Ind
Orkney UA, Kirkwall West & Orphir - Independent resigned - 4 candidates: 3 x Ind, No Description
Oxford BC, Blackbird Leys - Labour resigned - 6 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, UKIP, Green, TUSAC
Oxford BC, Northfield Brook - Labour resigned - 5 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, Green, TUSAC
Oxfordshire CC, The Leys - Labour resigned - 6 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, UKIP, Green, TUSAC

4th December - 3
Mansfield DC, Netherfield - Mansfield Independent Forum died - 3 candidates: Lab, UKIP, TUSAC
Rossendale BC, Longholme - Labour resigned - 3 candidates: Con, Lab, UKIP
Thurrock BC, Aveley & Uplands - UKIP died - 4 candidates: Con, Lab, UKIP, Ind

5th December - 1
Adur DC, St Mary's - Conservative resigned - 4 candidates: Con, Lab, UKIP, Green

11th December - 11
Argyll & Bute UA, South Kintyre - SNP resigned - 4 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, SNP
Aylesbury Vale DC, Gatehouse - Liberal Democrat resigned - 6 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, UKIP, Green, Ind
Aylesbury Vale DC, Southcourt - Labour resigned - 5 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, UKIP, Green
Broxtowe BC, Toton & Chilwell Meadows - Conservative died - 3 candidates: Con, Lab, UKIP
Carmarthenshire UA, Trelech - Independent resigned - 3 candidates: LD, PC, Ind
Halton BC, Kingsway - Labour died - 4 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, UKIP
Lincolnshire CC, Stamford North - Independent died - 5 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, UKIP, Lincolnshire Independents
Moray UA, Elgin City North - Labour resigned - 6 candidates: Con, Lab, SNP, UKIP, Green. Ind
New Forest DC. Bransgore & Burley - Conservative died - 3 candidates: Con, Lab, UKIP
Sunderland MB, Washington East - Labour resigned - 5 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, UKIP, Green
Windsor & Maidenhead UA, Cox Green - Conservative resigned - 4 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, UKIP

18th December - 2
Kingston upon Thames LB, St James - Conservative died - 5 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, UKIP, Green
Nottinghamshire CC, Ollerton - Labour died - 4 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, UKIP

Current known vacancies where by-election not yet called - 11
Derbyshire CC, Brimington - Labour died 22nd October
Fife UA, Kirkcaldy East - SNP resigned around 31st October
* Herefordshire UA, Mortimer - Conservative died 6th November
* High Peak DC, Limestone Peak - Conservative died around 15th September
* Lichfield DC, St John's - Conservative died 14th September
* Rushcliffe DC, Manvers - Conservative died 26th September
* South Oxfordshire DC, Goring- Conservative died 21st September
* South Ribble BC, Bamber Bridge West - Labour died 1st November
* St Edmunsbury BC, Haverhill East - Conservative sitting as UKIP died 2nd October
* Waveney DC, St Margaret's - Labour died 8th November
* Wealden DC, Crowborough West - Conservative died around 3rd November

* seats that will be contested again in May 2015.
Whilst not covered by the "6 month" rule, experience from earlier years suggests some may be left unfilled until May.

Vacancies covered by the "6 month" rule
Bracknell Forest UA, Winkfield & Cranborne - Conservative died 18th November
Milton Keynes UA, Monkston - Liberal Democrat resigned 17th November
Stroud DC, Nailsworth - Conservative died close to rule becoming applicable
Wychavon DC, Badsey - Conservative died 15th November

UK-Elect Scottish Parliament Forecast, November 26th 2014.

SNP Majority of 1
This is the latest UK-Elect forecast for the 2016 Scottish Pariament Election, created on November 26th 2014. Further forecasts will be made at frequent intervals before the next Scottish Parliament Election.
The percentages used for this forecast are constituency Vote: SNP 48% Lab 26%, Con 14%, Lib Dem 6%, UKIP 3%, Green 2%. Regional member vote: SNP 39%, Lab 23%, Con 13% Lib Dem 6% UKIP 9%, Green 9%. Other parties votes were not specifically set. (If you prefer to forecast using alternative forecasting methods, your own percentages, the current opinion polls, using tactical voting, or even using different electoral systems, browse the UK-Elect on-line shop )
Party Seats Change
SNP 65 -3
Labour 29 -9
Conservative 14 -1
Liberal Democrat 4 -1
Green 9 +7
UKIP 8 +8
Scottish National Party Majority 1
Party AMS Change
Labour 24 +2
Conservative 11 -1
Green 9 +7
UKIP 8 +8
SNP 2 -14
Liberal Democrat 2 -1
AMS Seats - UKIP Gain 8, Green 7
UK-Elect Election Forecast Maps
Forecast for Scotland (Constituencies) Forecast for Scotland (Regions)
Forecast for Scottish Highlands Forecast for Scottish Lowlands
Forecast for Scotland (Constituencies, party in 2nd place) Forecast for Scotland (Constituencies gained)
Click on image to enlarge
Notes: The forecast base was the 2011 Scottish Parliament Election, although gains are compared to the current situation. An experimental UK-Elect method was used (UK-Elect supports many different alternatives, including "classic" methods such as Uniform National Swing, Proportional, and Proportional Loss, with or without a threshold). The forecast was (of course) made using the Additional Member System used in the Scottish Parliament elections. Tactical voting was set to 5% and configured to use party vote-transfer preferences. Note: The colour scheme selected for the maps shown on this page uses Yellow for SNP, Orange for the Liberal Democrats, Red for Labour and Blue for the Conservatives. UK-Elect supports several alternate colour schemes and also allows party colours to be configured individually if desired.
Additional Note:Because of the experimental nature of the method used the confidence level in this forecast should be regarded as somewhat lower than normal, although in this particular case a prediction using Uniform National Swing produced very similar results. Also, the prime purpose of the forecast was to predict seat totals - the overall forecast for each party has a higher confidence level than the forecast for any individual seat.
Suggestions and Corrections: UK election forecasts are sometimes very controversial. To notify us of any suggested change to this one, or to let us know of any part of it that is just dead wrong, please email us on

If ASDA run out of money again.

I know this is not anything to do with elections, but why have a platform if not from time to time it can be used.

Would be very grateful if you could share this information with your friends and followers

Last Sunday I was lucky enough to win 25 pounds on the Saturday night draw. So I went back to the store I got the ticket from and tried to collect my winnings, and then to celebrate I would go and purchase a bottle of bubbly to go with our Sunday Lunch for me and the good lady.

I was only greeted with the phrase "We have run out of money!"

Hold the front page! Asda have run out of money? The stock market reverberations on Monday morning would be immense. It seems though that not only had they run out of money, but they had also run out of Managers when I asked to speak with one.

It seems the cash office closed at 2pm, I had gone at 3pm, and anyone wanting to be paid out between 2pm when said cash office closed and 4pm when the store closed was out of luck, which is funny because it is luck which had brought them to the store to collect their winnings.

I won't bore you with the completely inept staff and call centre who failed to deal with the complaint.

But I did contact the National Lottery asking them. Could an outlet turn away a winning ticket? Here is their reply, which you may find useful if you also are greeted with the same problem. I never knew that certain Till-Point terminals can pay it onto your debit or credit card.

I hope you find the information useful.

Reply from Camelot (National Lottery Customer Care Team)

I am sorry to hear you have had reason to complain about your local National Lottery retailer.

We are constantly reviewing all of our retailers to determine performance. If certain retailers fail to comply with our standards then suitable alternatives will be looked at.

Up to and including £100 can be claimed in cash from your local Retailer (up to £50 at selected Retailers with Till-point Terminals). Retailers may pay Prizes from £100 to £500 in cash, but are not obliged to. Certain Retailers with Till-point Terminals can pay Prizes onto a winner's debit or credit card. If the Retailer cannot process your Ticket, please contact The National Lottery Line on 0845 9 100 000 for information on how to claim your Prize.

I hope the information provided has been helpful.

Yours sincerely

National Lottery Customer Care Team 

YOUGOV (SCOTLAND SUBSAMPLE PREDICTION)  <<< Follow the link if you would like to join the YOUGOV panel and have your opinions heard

Scottish Prediction:

Party2010 Votes2010 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesPred Seats
Edit current prediction, make new prediction, or go back to home page.

Table of all seat results in Scotland

The table shows the seats, sorted by the difference between Labour and Conservative votes, with the safest Labour seat, Glasgow North East, at the top and the safest Conservative seat, Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk, at the bottom. The first two columns 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats' show how many seats each party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 30 seats to have a majority in Scotland. So Labour needs to win all the seats down as far as (prediction: ), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to (prediction: ). Click here for more information about this table.

SeatMP at 2010 ElectorateTurn
out %
119Glasgow North EastWillie Bain59,85949.137.8251.720.0029.452.718.30LABLAB
218Coatbridge, Chryston and BellshillTom Clarke70,06759.4210.6649.970.0032.640.006.72LABLAB
317Glasgow EastMargaret Curran61,51652.296.7344.930.0038.372.107.87LABLAB
416Glasgow South WestIan Davidson58,18254.629.1845.880.0032.490.0012.45LABLAB
515GlenrothesLindsay Roy67,89359.659.7045.710.0037.030.007.56LABLAB
614Kirkcaldy and CowdenbeathGordon Brown73,66562.1811.9547.910.0030.640.009.50LABLAB
713Dunbartonshire WestGemma Doyle66,08563.9610.2044.670.0035.690.009.45LABLAB
812Motherwell and WishawFrank Roy66,91858.4612.0544.490.0034.810.008.65LABLAB
911Rutherglen and Hamilton WestTom Greatrex76,40861.4912.5944.180.0034.120.009.11LABLAB
1010Paisley and Renfrewshire SouthDouglas Alexander61,19765.3612.6242.980.0034.540.009.86LABLAB
119Airdrie and ShottsPamela Nash62,36457.4811.2641.530.0039.110.008.10LABLAB
128Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch EastGregg McClymont64,03764.2610.9540.600.0040.270.008.17LABLAB
127Glasgow CentralAnas Sarwar60,06250.9110.4335.400.0038.302.6213.26LABNAT
137InverclydeDavid Cairns59,20963.3615.0639.340.0036.410.009.19LABLAB
146Glasgow North WestJohn Robertson60,96858.3613.2537.430.0035.680.0013.64LABLAB
145Glasgow SouthTom Harris65,02961.6614.3635.090.0038.060.0012.49LABNAT
155Paisley and Renfrewshire NorthJames Sheridan63,70468.6117.3737.400.0036.160.009.07LABLAB
154Dundee WestJames McGovern63,01358.9212.1831.840.0046.510.009.46LABNAT
154Kilmarnock and LoudounCathy Jamieson74,13162.8016.6135.920.0041.050.006.43LABNAT
154East Kilbride, Strathaven and LesmahagowMichael McCann76,53466.5715.6934.880.0039.750.009.67LABNAT
154Dunfermline and West FifeThomas Docherty73,76966.3511.1029.639.1237.440.0012.71LABNAT
154Linlithgow and East FalkirkMichael Connarty80,90763.5914.9533.200.0043.960.007.89LABNAT
154LivingstonGraeme Morrice75,92463.1013.6031.830.0043.390.0011.18LABNAT
154Glasgow NorthAnn McKechin51,41657.5911.2527.896.8637.810.0016.19LABNAT
154Lanark and Hamilton EastJimmy Hood74,77362.2617.8433.340.0038.580.0010.24LABNAT
154FalkirkEric Joyce81,86962.0213.9729.080.0047.210.009.74LABNAT
154MidlothianDavid Hamilton61,38763.9315.3230.390.0041.880.0012.41LABNAT
154Ayrshire North and ArranKaty Clark74,95361.5318.3630.780.0042.740.008.12LABNAT
154Edinburgh EastSheila Gilmore60,94165.4214.6126.810.0043.115.1010.36LABNAT
154Aberdeen NorthFrank Doran64,80858.1715.9727.790.0044.400.0011.83LABNAT
154Na h-Eileanan An Iar (Western Isles)Angus MacNeil22,26666.106.8516.250.0060.849.596.46NATNAT
154Ayrshire CentralBrian Donohoe68,35264.2523.2831.080.0037.020.008.62LABNAT
154East LothianFiona O'Donnell73,43866.9423.0727.960.0037.120.0011.85LABNAT
154Ayr Carrick and CumnockSandra Osborne73,32062.5928.1930.510.0034.350.006.95LABNAT
154Edinburgh North and LeithMark Lazarowicz69,20468.4319.2520.848.3636.152.2413.17LABNAT
164Renfrewshire EastJim Murphy66,24977.2633.0534.150.0025.140.007.66LABLAB
163Dundee EastStewart Hosie65,47161.9618.0016.720.0054.960.0010.31NATNAT
163Edinburgh South WestAlistair Darling66,35968.5127.7926.210.0033.980.0012.02LABNAT
163Ochil and South PerthshireGordon Banks75,11567.1923.3521.280.0045.280.0010.09LABNAT
163StirlingAnne McGuire66,08070.8927.2125.130.0036.880.0010.78LABNAT
163Dunbartonshire EastJo Swinson63,79575.1619.9917.5111.3038.260.0012.94LIBNAT
163Aberdeen SouthAnne Begg64,03167.2124.7919.915.0737.010.0013.22LABNAT
173Dumfries and GallowayRussell Brown74,58169.9534.2329.280.0028.330.008.16LABCON
172Edinburgh SouthIan Murray59,35473.8025.8818.118.4734.210.0013.32LABNAT
172Caithness Sutherland and Easter RossJohn Thurso47,25760.8817.627.9912.9347.560.0013.90LIBNAT
172Inverness Nairn Badenoch and StrathspeyDanny Alexander72,52864.9217.915.4812.5346.920.0017.17LIBNAT
172Orkney and ShetlandAlistair Carmichael33,08558.4715.141.8025.3839.180.0018.50LIBNAT
172Ross Skye and LochaberCharles Kennedy51,83667.2116.872.5519.7343.740.0017.11LIBNAT
172Edinburgh WestMichael Crockart65,16171.2827.5611.119.6340.190.0011.51LIBNAT
172GordonMalcolm Bruce73,42066.4323.073.499.6949.250.0014.50LIBNAT
172Argyll and ButeAlan Reid67,16567.3128.236.107.0244.900.0013.74LIBNAT
172Fife North EastSir Menzies Campbell62,96963.6226.232.8914.7141.820.0014.34LIBNAT
172MorayAngus Robertson65,92562.2028.992.880.0057.780.0010.35NATNAT
182Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and TweeddaleDavid Mundell66,62768.8841.7612.280.0033.700.0012.26CONCON
181Perth and North PerthshirePeter Wishart72,14166.9133.192.770.0055.970.008.07NATNAT
181AngusMichael Weir62,86360.3933.482.910.0055.360.008.25NATNAT
181Banff and BuchanEilidh Whiteford64,30059.8233.132.360.0055.720.008.79NATNAT
181Aberdeenshire West and KincardineSir Robert Smith66,11068.3634.212.3011.1339.990.0012.37LIBNAT
191Berwickshire, Roxburgh and SelkirkMichael Moore73,82666.3937.711.7215.3333.430.0011.81LIBCON