Latest UK General Election Prediction from Electoral Calculus

Current Prediction: Conservative short 46 of majority

Party	2010 Votes	2010 Seats	Pred Votes	Pred Seats
CON	37.0%	307	33.7%	280
LAB	29.7%	258	31.7%	275
LIB	23.6%	57	10.1%	17
UKIP	3.2%	0	13.3%	1
Green	1.0%	1	5.4%	1
SNP	1.7%	6	4.2%	55
PlaidC	0.6%	3	0.6%	3
Minor	3.4%	0	1.2%	0
N.Ire		18		18

Prediction based on opinion polls from 23 Apr 2015 to 30 Apr 2015, sampling 20,974 people.

Probability of possible outcomes

Nat choice of Con/Lab	24%
Con/Nat coalition	21%
Lab/Nat coalition	18%
Con choice of Lib/Nat	10%
Lab choice of Lib/Nat	10%
Conservative majority	9%
Labour majority	8%

The future is never certain. But using our advanced modelling techniques, we can estimate the probability of the various possible outcomes at the next general election. ('Nat' means SNP+PlaidC)

http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/homepage.html SOURCE