Monday 11 November 2013

REAL VOTES NOT OPINION POLLS 17th OCT - 7th NOV

 As with all previous weeks, apathy seems to be the winner with big decreases in voter turnout. Most of these by elections have been held in Labour defending wards so in the most part has been Labour getting stronger in strongholds. This has meant that the UKIP surge has been put on hold, whilst getting double digit % increases in Conservative areas they have only managed to double their previous shares of the vote and is a more modest 5.1% rise. The SNP has also doubled it's vote share but if anything there has not been a big wild swing. If anything the ten holds we got on the last set of by elections just seem to show everything is staying relatively the same. A Labour slight strengthening a Conservative weakening.

17th October 2013  6 by elections
24th October 2013  10 by elections
31st October 2013  1 by election
7th November 2013  10 by elections

27 council by elections with 49,286 votes cast

Labour 18,969 votes 38.5%
Conservatives 11,125 votes 22.6%
Liberal Democrats 6,323 votes 12.8%
UKIP 4,921 votes 10%
SNP 3,177 votes 6.5%
Others 2,338 votes 4.7%
Independents 1,378 votes 2.8%
Green Party 1,055 votes 2.1%

When these by elections were last held 72,582 votes were cast.

Labour 25,720 votes 35.4%
Conservatives 19,348 votes 26.7%
Liberal Democrats 11,550 votes 15.9%
Others 4,797 votes 6.6%
UKIP 3,541 votes 4.9%
Independents 3,391 votes 4.7%
SNP 2,267 votes 3.1%
Green Party 1,968 votes 2.7%

CON -4.1% LAB +3.1% LD -3.1% SNP +3.4% UKIP +5,1% OTH -1.9% IND -1.9% GREEN -0.6%

See past weeks collations by clicking here

10th October - 24th October 2013
CON -2.7% LAB +3.9% LD -1.3% SNP +3.2% UKIP +4.4% IND -5.1% OTH -1.4% GREEN -1% 

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