LATEST YOUGOV POLL 26/27 FEB

Con 34%, Lab 39%, LD 8%, UKIP 12%; APP -23

CORRECT YOUGOV POLL Seems there twitter feed is wrong as data table says #LABOUR 39% #CONSERVATIVES 34% #UKIP 12% #LIBDEMS 8%
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 28, 2014

AGE 40-59 voting intentions #LABOUR 38% #CONSERVATIVES 33% #UKIP 14% #LIBDEMS 6% #SNP / #PLAID 3% #GREENS 2%
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 28, 2014

http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/5bcc8xzfz3/YG-Archive-Pol-Sun-results-270214.pdf

LATEST POPULUS POLLING 26/27 FEB

New Populus VI: Lab 38 (+1); Cons 33 (+1); LD 9 (-1); UKIP 13 (-2); Oth 7 (+1)

populus poll Absolutely sure to vote Men 61% Women 47% Don't Know / Won't vote Women 16% Men 9%
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 28, 2014

Mavis Riley wins the youth vote. Age 18-24 Don't Knows 28% #LABOUR 26% Won't Vote 15% #Conservatives 12% #LibDems 8% #UKIP 3% #GREEN 2%
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 28, 2014

Populus By social grade AB #Conservatives 38% #Labour 31% #LibDem 13% #UKIP 11% DE LAB 45% CON 23% UKIP 16% LD 6%
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 28, 2014

http://www.populus.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2014/02/Online-VI-28-02-2014.pdf

MARCH'S POLITICAL POP CHART

A day early in publication, but February is a short month and little is to change and I won't be about to do it on the 1st.

Here is the latest pop chart. BNP slide down the charts which is good to see. UKIP stay top for the 2nd month in a row and Labour go to 2nd, having been 1st for a long period of last year. Liberal Democrats swap places with the SNP and the Conservatives slide further and may well slip below the Green Party if things don't change next month.

Sinn Fein join back in the main rankings. and NHA Party still defy their twitter and Facebook growth. They get people to follow them but not it seems to look at the website. I have said before get yourself a candidate in a by election and people come looking. This has proved the case for much lesser parties like the SDA and the LOONS both of which have seen rises and higher ratings. PLAID CYMRU has also risen up the charts as there have been more local by elections. Also the TUSC has seen a rise as they have competed in them. So NHA party I would suggest get a deposit or two dished out and you may see some activity. 

EACH LINK IS TO ALEXA.COM PAGE ALEXA RANKING EXPLAINED click the link.

Last months rankings in brackets, each link is to the ALEXA page for the party not the parties website

UK RANKING

1 (1) UKIP 3,459
2 (3) LABOUR 4,283
3 (2) BNP 4,886
4 (5) LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 8,380
5 (4) SNP 11,401
6 (6) CONSERVATIVES 13,759
7 (4) THE GREEN PARTY 17,693
8 (8) JUSTICE 4 MEN & BOYS 38,530
9 (10) PIRATE PARTY 51,178
10 (9) SCOTTISH SOCIALIST PARTY 106,577
11 (-) SINN FEIN  110,469

GLOBAL RANKING

ENGLISH DEMOCRATS  2,591,459
DEMOCRATIC UNIONIST PARTY 3,587,355
MEBYON KERNOW 3,851,558
UK GENERAL ELECTION 2015 BLOG 4,913,284
OMRLP 5,519,637
PLAID CYMRU 6,299,224
THE ALLIANCE PARTY  6,709,303
ULSTER UNIONIST PARTY  7,917,649
NI21 8,240,958
SCOTTISH DEMOCRATIC ALLIANCE 8,649,696
TUSC 8,687,923
TUV  8,723,495
RESPECT PARTY 9,813,289
NHA PARTY 10,434,882
CHRISTIAN PARTY 13,788,237
NONE OF THE ABOVE 17,697,911
NATIONAL LIBERAL PARTY 23,645,702

NO DATA

WESSEX REGIONALISTS 
PEOPLES DEMOCRATIC PARTY OF GREAT BRITAIN

 % of traffic from the UK going to the website

GREEN PARTY 97.8%
SNP 95.2%
LIB DEMS 91% 
LABOUR 81.8%
BNP 80.6% 
SSP 77.8%
CONSERVATIVES 72.5%
J4MB 58.5%
UKIP 58.2%
PIRATE PARTY 51.7%
SINN FEIN 33.8%


See previous charts by looking at this link


http://ukgeneralelection2015.blogspot.co.uk/p/political-pop-chart.html

PMQ's 26th FEB 2014

LATEST YOUGOV POLLING 24th-25th FEB

YOUGOV AGE 40-59 voting intention #LABOUR 44% #CONSERVATIVES 31% #UKIP 12% #LIBDEMS 6% #GREENS 3% #SNP / #PLAID 2% #BNP 1%
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 26, 2014

YOUGOV ABC1 #CONSERVATIVES 37% #LABOUR 36% #LIBDEMS 11% #UKIP 10% #GREEN 3% NAT 2% C2DE LAB 42% CON 27% UKIP 14% LD 8% NAT 4% GRN 3%
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 26, 2014

Will #PMQs sway the Don't knows / won't voters AGE 18-24 = 29% 25-39 = 31% 40-59 = 21% 60+ = 14% Men = 18% Women = 27%
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 26, 2014

http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/5zoumbcazt/YG-Archive-Pol-Sun-results-250214.pdf

How little changes at a General Election

YEAR OF ELECTION - SEATS CHANGED HANDS - SEATS UP FOR ELECTION % WHICH CHANGED HANDS

• 1950 -.18 - 640 - 2.8%
• 1951 - 28 -  625 - 4.4%
• 1955 - 15 - 630 - 2.4%
• 1959 - 35 - 630 - 5.5%
• 1964 - 70 - 630 - 11.1%
• 1966 - 54 - 630 - 8.6%
• 1970 - 89 - 630 - 14.1%
• 1974*.- 29 - 635 - 4.6%
• 1974*.- 29 - 635 - 4.6%
• 1979 - 74 - 635 - 11.6%
• 1983** - 10 - 650 - 1.6%
• 1987 - 47 - 650 - 7.2%
• 1992 - 51 - 651 - 7.8%
• 1997** - 184 - 659 - 27.9%
• 2001 - 30 - 659 - 4.5%
• 2005 - 62 - 646 - 9.6%
• 2010** - 115 - 650 - 17.7%
• Projected for 2015 194 seats with less than 5% swing needed from 650 so no more than 30% could be less if lower swing.

*1974 had elections in February and October
**Seat change calculated on notional results due to major constituency boundary changes

LATEST YOUGOV POLL

Con 33%, Lab 38%, LD 10%, UKIP 13%; APP -25

#FearFactorPolitics % of those worried about not having enough money in next 2 years #LABOUR 75% #UKIP 68% #LIBDEM 50% #CONSERVATIVE 47%
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 25, 2014

#FearFactorPolitics % of those worried about losing their jobs in the next 2 years #LABOUR 62% #UKIP 58% #LIBDEMS 42% #CONSERVATIVES 40%
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 25, 2014

#FearFactorPolitics % of those worried about losing their home in the next 2 years #LABOUR 47% #UKIP 44% #LIBDEMS 27% #CONSERVATIVES 25%
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 25, 2014

#FearFactorPolitics % of those worried about being a victim of crime in next 2 years #UKIP 51% #LABOUR 45% #CONSERVATIVE 36% #LIBDEM 26%
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 25, 2014

#FearFactorPolitics % of those worried about suffering ill health in next 2 years #UKIP 68% #LABOUR 59% #CONSERVATIVES 38% #LIBDEMS 34%
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 25, 2014

http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/lw1915u0t7/YG-Archive-Pol-Sun-results-240214.pdf

LATEST POPULUS ONLINE SURVEY

Lab 37 Con 32 UKIP 15 LD 10

POPULUS AGE 65+ VOTING INTENTIONS #CONSERVATIVES 38% #UKIP 26% #LABOUR 21% #LIBDEMS 10% #SNP 4% #GREENS 1%
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 24, 2014

POPULUS AGE 18-24 VOTING INTENTIONS #LABOUR 48% #CONSERVATIVES 28% #LIBDEMS 12% #UKIP 5% #SNP 3% #GREENS 2% #PLAIDCYMRU 1%
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 24, 2014

Populus Men #LABOUR 35% #CONSERVATIVE 31% #UKIP 15% #LIBDEM 10% #SNP 3% #GREEN 2% Women LAB 39% CON 31% UKIP 13% LD 11% SNP 3% GRN 2%
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 24, 2014

http://www.populus.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2014/02/Online_Vote_24-02-2014_BPC.pdf

SCOTTISH INDEPENDENCE

Just a few thoughts I had today.

Why does only one part of the union get to decide that there will be a divorce? #OneSidedScottishIndyVote
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 23, 2014

Isn't Scotland wanting to keep the Pound much like a offspring leaving home but returning for mam to do the laundry. #StandOnYourOwn2Feet
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 23, 2014

It seems all very one sided at the moment. Scotland have decided that they can do better alone. In a marriage I am guessing the grass is always greener scenario, or I earn more money than you and you spend it on things which I wouldn't, could be transposed onto our relationship in the UK.

Bit more complicated as we seem to have a foursome going on. Northern Ireland always been the one that people get on with, but have had another sniffing around, and they have a split as to whether they want to be with us or the other and never really wanted to be on their own.

Wales wants to be on its own, well parts of it has, and Scotland the same. Funny how the parts of the union who wish to be split are predominately Labour. So even though for a great period of time they have had a Labour government they still want from of the union. There has been times when England has voted Conservative but not got a strong Conservative government because of the MPs coming from Wales and Scotland.

So who would gain?

What happens if Scotland get what they want much like itchy feet partners but then find they miss us? Would we take them back.

Why do we not get a say in this?

Will be interesting to see how this plays out

YOUGOV POLLING 20th-21st FEB

Con 32%, Lab 39%, LD 8%, UKIP 12%; APP -27

Yougov % of #GE2010 voters retained #LABOUR 86% #CONSERVATIVES 74% #LIBDEMS 31%
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 23, 2014

Do you think your leader is doing well in his job? #CONSERVATIVES 92% #LIBDEMS 67% #LABOUR 63% Yougov
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 23, 2014

% of those who think they are doing a good job? By region #SCOTLAND (#ENGLAND) #MILIBAND 26% (28%) #CAMERON 25% (41%) #CLEGG 9% (20%)
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 23, 2014

% of those who think they are doing a good job? By social grade ABC1 (C2DE) #CAMERON 46% (31%) #MILIBAND 28% (30%) #CLEGG 20% (16%)
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 23, 2014

http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/7ievwsmlza/YG-Archive-Pol-Sunday-Times-results-140221.pdf

EU to Spend $3million on internet trolls

This was found here http://rt.com/news/eu-trolls-election-monitoring-348/

The EU will spend more than $3 million on ‘troll monitors’ to trawl Eurosceptic debates on the internet ahead of European elections in June 2014, UK media reports. It comes amid fears that hostility against the EU is growing.
The new strategy will include “public opinion monitoring” to “identify at an early stage whether debates of a political nature among followers in social media and blogs have the potential to attract media and citizens’ interest,” according to internal documents reportedly discovered by the Telegraph.
Spending on “qualitative media analysis” will be increased by more than $2.6 million. Most of the money will be found in existing budgets, although an additional $1.2 million will be needed.
"Particular attention needs to be paid to the countries that have experienced a surge in Euroscepticism," a confidential document said.
The monitors’ roles are clearly laid out in the documents. The controversial plan is designed to promote a stronger Europe, while engaging in conversation with those who hold an anti-EU sentiment.
"Parliament's institutional communicators must have the ability to monitor public conversation and sentiment on the ground and in real time, to understand 'trending topics' and have the capacity to react quickly, in a targeted and relevant manner, to join in and influence the conversation, for example, by providing facts and figures to deconstructing myths."
"In order to reverse the perception that 'Europe is the problem', we need to communicate that the answer to existing challenges… is 'more Europe' – not 'less Europe'."
But the EU is facing an uphill battle, as it seeks to change the minds of those who associate the bloc with economic crisis and high rates of unemployment.
“It is evident that the EU’s image is suffering,” the document said.
The information has been met with disapproval by many, who say the strategy is a waste of time.
“Spending over a million pounds ($1.5 million) for EU public servants to become Twitter trolls in office hours is wasteful and truly ridiculous,” UK Independent Party Deputy Leader Paul Nuttall told the Telegraph.
Training for the so-called “Twitter trolls” is set to take place later this month.
The news comes as Eurosceptic moods continue to gain momentum in the union.
UK Prime Minister David Cameron has pledged to renegotiate the terms of Britain’s EU membership.
Without reform, “Europe will fail and Britain will drift to the exit,” the leader said in a January speech.
Cameron has been dubbed a “trendsetter” by Conservative MP David Campbell Bannerman, who believes many other countries are seeking more flexibility within the EU.
But it’s not just governments looking for a bit more leeway when it comes to EU membership – individual workers in crisis-hit countries are unhappy with the bloc’s leadership and austerity measures, too.
Last Wednesday, anti-austerity protesters in Athens broke into a government building and threatened the labor minister. Riot police then responded with tear gas, batons, and pepper spray.
Even German citizens have expressed interest in leaving the EU – despite German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s ongoing support of EU policy.
Last September, a poll conducted by the Bertelsmann Foundation showed that 49 per cent of Germans believed things would be improved by leaving the European Union.
And the Germans aren’t alone – 34 per cent of French citizens also said they would be better off without the EU.

THANKS FOR READING THIS, YOU MAY ALSO BE INTERESTED IN MARCH POLITICAL POP CHART (click the link)

LATEST POPULUS POLLING

 Lab 38 Con 32 LD 9 UKIP 13

Populus For every 1,000 voters who voted for them in #GE2010 how many have they retained? #LABOUR 765 #CONSERVATIVES 652 #LIBDEMS 273
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 22, 2014

Mavis Riley wins the next election Would not vote / Don't really know 29% #LABOUR 27% #TORY 22% #UKIP 9% #LIBDEMS 7% #GREENS 2% #SNP 2%
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 22, 2014

Populus Absolutely certain to vote 10/10 By age 18-24 = 34% 25-34 = 40% 35-44 = 43% 45-54 = 59% 55-64 = 70% 65+ = 71%
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 22, 2014

http://www.populus.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2014/02/Online_VI_21-02-2014_BPC.pdf

Is this what is really hurting the Liberal Democrats?

I have done a series of tweets below, and it seems the LIB DEM spirit is strong for those that remain, it just seems they have lost so many. But not only that people want a LIB DEM society yet won't vote for it, it seems because of no real leadership.

What are your thoughts?

For every 1,000 voters who voted for them in #GE2010 how many have they retained? #LABOUR 748 #CONSERVATIVES 645 #LIBDEMS 273
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 21, 2014

The party you vote for wants the kind of society you broadly want. #LIBDEMS 85% #CONSERVATIVES 82% #LABOUR 73%
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 21, 2014

The party you vote for is led by people of real ability. #CONSERVATIVES 64% #LABOUR 46% #LIBDEMS 31%
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 21, 2014

N.ENGLAND voting intention LAB 48% CON 29% UKIP 11% LD 6% Which party is led by people of real ability? NONE 43% CON 21% LAB 19% LD 3%
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 21, 2014

7% of Londeners vote #LIBDEM but 13% think the LIBDEMS want the same sort of society as themselves. So why won't they vote for them?
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 21, 2014

is it Cleggs fault? 13% of Londoners want a #LIBDEM society. yet only 1% believe the party is led by people of real ability.
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 21, 2014

8% of those who voted #LIBDEM #GE2010 now believe their party above all others is led by people of real ability. @nick_clegg any thoughts?
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 21, 2014

http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/qqm6taeabj/YG-Archive-Pol-Sun-results-200214.pdf

LATEST POLITICAL BETTING

STOCKTON SOUTH BETTING #LABOUR 1/3 @LouiseBaldock #CONSERVATIVES 2/1 #UKIP 66/1 #LIBDEMS 100/1 @LadPolitics
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 21, 2014

PORTSMOUTH SOUTH BETTING #LIBDEMS 1/2 #CONSERVATIVES 3/1 #UKIP 10/1 #LABOUR 16/1 @LadPolitics
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 21, 2014

Camborne & Redruth (BETS TAKEN) #CONSERVATIVE 8/15 #LIBDEM 5/2 #LABOUR 7/1 #UKIP 9/1 (100%) @paddypower ( @Oddschecker )
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 21, 2014

Brighton Pavilion Betting (bets taken) #GREENS 1/1 (65.85%) #LABOUR 1/1 (34.15%) #CONSERVATIVES 10/1 (0%) @LadPolitics ( @Oddschecker )
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 21, 2014

Bermondsey and Southwark - Winning Party Betting Odds (bets taken) #LIBDEMS 1/3 (66.67%) #LABOUR 9/4 (33.33%) @LadPolitics ( @Oddschecker )
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 21, 2014

LATEST SURVATION SCOTLAND INDY POLL

@Survation #SCOTTISH #INDY POLL “Yes” – 38% “No” – 47% Don’t know – 16%
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 20, 2014

@Survation Scottish #indy poll of all those who would vote #SNP 43.9% #LABOUR 30.9% #TORIES 13.1% #LIBDEMS 6.3% #UKIP 2.8% Others 2.9%
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 20, 2014

@Survation Scotland MEN #SNP 48% #LABOUR 28.1% CON 13.4% #LIBDEMS 5.5% OTH 4.9% WOMEN SNP 39.1% LAB 34.1% CON 12.8% LD 7.3% OTH 6.7%
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 20, 2014

NORTH EAST SCOTLAND VOTING INTENTIONS #SNP 53.2% #LABOUR 21.4% #CONSERVATIVES 16.8% #UKIP 3.5% #GREENS 2.8% #LIBDEMS 2.3% @Survation
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 20, 2014

#GLASGOW VOTING INTENTIONS #SNP 39.7% #LABOUR 39.3% #CONSERVATIVES 11.4% #UKIP 5% #LIBDEMS 3.7% #GREENS 0.9% @Survation
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 20, 2014

http://survation.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/02/Scotland-Issues-Poll-Report.pdf

EUROPEAN ELECTION PREDICTION

Latest Poll(s) Predictions 10.02.2014

Party - European party - poll - predicted seats- (diff from 2009)

Labour Party S&D  32% 29 (+16)
UK Independence Party EFD  26% 18 (+5)
Conservative Party ECR  23% 15 (-10)
Liberal Democrat Party ALDE/ADLE  9% 4 (-7)
Green Party Greens/EFA  5% 0 (-2)
Scottish National Party Greens/EFA  0% 3 (-1)
Sinn Féin GUE-NGL  0% 1
Plaid Cymru - Parti of Wales Greens/EFA  0% 1
Democratic Unionist Party NI  0% 1
Ulster Unionist Party ECR  0% 1
BNP (-2)

See more at: http://www.pollwatch2014.eu/#country

What do you think of your party leader?

Do you think your party leader has no good traits? #LABOUR 16% #LIBDEMS 11% #CONSERVATIVES 8% yougov
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 19, 2014

Do you think your leader is in touch with concerns of ordinary people ? #LABOUR 58% #LIBDEMS 47% #CONSERVATIVES 22% yougov
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 19, 2014

Do you think your leader is charismatic? #CONSERVATIVES 38% #LIBDEMS 33% #LABOUR 11% yougov
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 19, 2014

Do you think your party leader is a natural leader? #CONSERVATIVES 41% #LIBDEMS 26% #LABOUR 10% yougov
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 19, 2014

Do you think you have a strong party leader? #CONSERVATIVES 39% #LIBDEMS 18% #LABOUR 17% yougov
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 19, 2014

Do you think your party leader is honest? #LIBDEMS 50% #LABOUR 40% #CONSERVATIVES 35% yougov
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 19, 2014

http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/ptj7u6qool/YG-Archive-Pol-Sun-results-180214.pdf

Latest YouGov / The Sun results 17th February

Con 33%, Lab 40%, LD 9%, UKIP 11%

For every 1,000 voters who voted for them in #GE2010 how many have they retained? #LABOUR 731 #CONSERVATIVES 679 #LIBDEMS 255
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 18, 2014

YOUGOV Don't know / Won't vote By age 18-24 = 43% 25-39 = 28% 40-59 = 22% 60+ = 21% Men 18% Women 33% Scotland 14% S.England 31%
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 18, 2014

http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/5ijj3746it/YG-Archive-Pol-Sun-results-170214.pdf

Latest Wales Barometer opinion poll

The first data from the latest Wales Barometer opinion poll shows UKIP now in second place for the European Election in May. A big increase in the party's support since the last poll in December means it has overtaken the Conservatives. Labour are still well ahead.

• Labour 39% (41% in December)
• UKIP 18% (13% in December)
• Conservatives 17% (20% in December)
• Plaid Cymru 12% (13% in December)
• Liberal Democrats 7% (9% in December)
• Others 7% (4% in December)

Wales has four seats in the European Parliament. At the last election, in 2009, UKIP won a Welsh seat for the first time, with 13% support. The Conservatives, with 21%, Labour on 20% and Plaid Cymru on 19%. each also won a single seat.
If the latest opinion poll figures are repeated on election day, Labour would win the first two seats, UKIP the third seat and the Conservatives the fourth. Plaid Cymru would be without an MEP for the first time since the present voting system was introduced in 1999.

 The latest Wales Barometer opinion poll, carried out by YouGov for ITV Cymru Wales and Wales Governance Centre at Cardiff University is published today. Polling of a representative sample of 1250 people took place 10-12 February 2014.

SOURCE

http://www.itv.com/news/wales/update/2014-02-17/ukip-leap-to-second-place/

COMRES POLLING 16TH FEB

Voting intention

Con      32% (+2)
Lab       37% (+2)
LD        9% (+1)
UKIP     15% (-4)
Other    7% (-1)

COMRES Absolutely certain to vote By age 18-24 = 27% 25-34 = 38% 35-44 = 46% 45-54 = 56% 55-64 = 65% 65+ = 72% Men = 59% Women = 47%
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 16, 2014

COMRES Absolutely certain to vote By Party #SNP 77% #UKIP 69% #Labour 64% #Plaid 61% #Conservatives 61% #Green 45% #LibDem 45%
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 16, 2014

COMRES Voting intention of those most likely to vote #LABOUR 31% #CONSERVATIVES 27% #UKIP 13% #LIBDEMS 7% #SNP 3% #GREENS 2% DK/REF 14%
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 16, 2014

COMRES Voting intention of those most likely to vote and aged 65+ #CONSERVATIVES 35% #UKIP 22% #LABOUR 19% #LIBDEMS 7% #SNP 4%
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 16, 2014

http://www.comres.co.uk/polls/SM_IoS_Political_Poll_16th_February_2014.pdf

UK General Election 2015 Probability of each outcome:

		1 day	7 day
Hung Parliament	40.25%
Labour Majority	37.53%
Conservative Majority	21.70%
Other Party Majority	0.53%
Updates every hour. Last Updated: 22:00:29, Sun 16 February 2014

Percentage outcome based on the Betfair back price for each selection, compensating for the overround.
Any discrepancy between the total probability and 100% is due to rounding.

THE RUFUS HOUND EFFECT ON POLITICS

The @RufusHound effect! Via @UKELECTIONS2015: Twitter gains this month @NHAparty 8,919 Labour 4,118 Tories 2,457 LibDems 2,010 UKIP 1,716
— NHA Party (@NHAparty) February 16, 2014

The Rufus Hound effect, now we have had celebrities in the past from acting to sport become MPs such as Lord Coe and Glenda Jackson. But with the Don't knows and the won't votes so high at the moment and especially amongst the young. Will celebrity endorsements be even more needed by political party's?

As you can see from this months POLITICAL PARTY CYBER WARRIORS Rufus Hounds endorsement of the NHA PARTY saw them gain more followers than the main three party's put together.

Who will be next to endorse a party and what effect will it have?

FEBRUARYS POLITICAL PARTY CYBER WARRIORS

Well I not sure what sort of promotion the NHA Party have had but it certainenly worked, they may not have stood in the Wythenshawe by election but maybe Rufus Hound coming out in support of them helped as they gained more Twitter followers than Labour, Conservatives & Liberal Democrats put together.

When it comes to Facebook NHA PARTY have bucked the trend of a lot of party's this past few months, of doing well on Twitter and doing well on Facebook at the same time. But UKIP with the push from the by election I guess trumped everyone by being the biggest gainers on Facebook this past month.

TWITTER

as of February 16th 10.33am

PARTY / FEBRUARY'S FOLLOWERS / JANUARY'S FOLLOWERS / DIFFERENCE +/-
  
@UKLabour 123,009 / 118,891 / 4,118
@Conservatives 103,387 / 100,930 / 2,457
@LibDems 57,565 / 55,555 / 2,010
@TheGreenParty 47,274 / 46,510 / 764
@UKIP 37,483 / 35,767 / 1.716
@NHAparty 36,175 / 27,256 / 8,919
@theSNP 28,062 / 26,668 / 1,394
@PiratePartyUK 13,746 / 13,618 / 128
@Plaid_Cymru 8,730 / 8,453 / 277
@duponline 8,577 / 8,271 / 306
@bnp 6,666 / 6,566 / 100
@LoonyPartyNews 5,301 / 5,241 / 60
@The_SSP_ 5,221 / 4,947 / 274
@MebyonKernow 3,094 / 3,026 / 68
@RepublicanSF 2,548 / 2,493 / 55
@NATIONAL_LIBERA 2,266 / 2,100 / 166
@TUSCoalition 2,082 / 1,896 / 186
@EnglishVoice 1,655 / 1,629 / 26

BIGGEST GAINERS 

NHA PARTY 8,919
Labour 4,118
Conservatives 2,457
Liberal Democrats 2,010
UKIP 1,716

FACEBOOK LIKES (when over 100,000 it is stated in thousands  1k)

PARTY / FEBRUARY'S LIKES / JANUARY'S LIKES / DIFFERENCE +/-

CONSERVATIVES  165K / 163K / 2K
LABOUR 158K / 156K / 2K
BNP 99,863 / 98,182 / 1,681
LIB DEMS 92,305 / 91,765 / 540
UKIP 60,846 / 57,382 / 3,464
SNP 32,791 / 31,233 / 1,558
THE GREEN PARTY 25,674 / 24,594 / 1,080
LOONY PARTY 11,908 / 11,9,18 / -10
PIRATE PARTY UK  8,764 / 8,715 / 49
PLAID CYMRU 8,208 / 7,956 / 252
NHA PARTY 8,103 / 5,382 / 2,721
RESPECT PARTY 1,283 / 1,266 / 17
MEBYON KERNOW 762 / 676 / 86

BIGGEST GAINERS 

UKIP 3,464
NHA PARTY 2,721
CONSERVATIVES 2K
LABOUR 2K
BNP 1,681
SNP 1,558

You can see past political charts by following the link

http://ukgeneralelection2015.blogspot.co.uk/p/political-pop-chart.html

Votes gained or lost since 2010 in By Elections

DoktorB has found this interesting set of numbers.

In those constituencies where byelections have been held since 2010, principle party vote changes are:

Conservative down 105,498 or 63.4%
Labour down 87,101 or 31.5%
LibDem down 90,374 or 66.0%

UKIP up 29,718 or, 187.6%
Greens up 399, or 9%

BNP down 16,110 or 66.2%

Respect, btw, are up 19,491 votes almost entirely due to George Galloway, an improvement on 2010 by some 1,285%, if such things have been calculated properly.

POPULUS ONLINE POLLING 12th-13th FEB

Lab 38 (+2); Cons 32 (-2); LD 9 (-2); UKIP 14 (+2); Oth 8 (=)

@PopulusPolls Absolutely certain to vote 10/10 by age 18-24=32% 25-34=37% 35-44=46% 45-54=62% 55-64=59% 65+ =74% Men 58% Women 49%
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 14, 2014

@PopulusPolls How would you vote tomorrow? Would not/ Don't know 29% #LABOUR 27% #CONSERVATIVES 21% #UKIP 9% #LIBDEM 7% #SNP 2% #GREEN 2%
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 14, 2014

@PopulusPolls AGE 18-24 #LABOUR 52% #CONSERVATIVES 26% #GREENS 7% #UKIP 6% #LIBDEMS 6% #SNP 2%
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 14, 2014

@PopulusPolls OVER 65 voting intention #CONSERVATIVES 43% #LABOUR 24% #UKIP 18% #LIBDEMS 10% #GREENS 2% #SNP 2% #PLAID 1%
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) February 14, 2014

http://www.populus.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2014/02/Online_VI_14-02-2014_BPC.pdf

DOES THE BBC HAVE IT IN FOR THE LOONY PARTY?

Here is a link to a  SCREEN SHOT

And here is a twitter discussion between a BBC reporter and the Loony party LINK

Now I know that the loony party is in part just for fun, but still the BBC have to ensure they report the facts, if they do this to one party, just what else are they getting wrong or showing bias towards.

Wythenshawe & Sale East By election result  <<<<<<<< This link has the full result and some interesting stats.

THE MISSING 88 LOONY VOTERS