Thursday, 23 October 2014

2015 UK Parliamentary Election Forecast (23rd Oct)

This report was generated on 23 October 2014 at 15:11. To read commentary on the election using these forecasts, follow Election4castUK on Twitter. If you would like to give us feedback on this forecast, please email us at


Party Lo Votes Hi Swing
Conservatives 28.8% 32.8% 36.7% -3.3%
Labour 26.5% 30.6% 34.6% 1.6%
Liberal Democrats 11.1% 14.2% 17.4% -8.8%
SNP 2.6% 3.2% 3.8% 1.5%
Plaid Cymru 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% -0.0%
Greens 1.7% 3.3% 5.2% 2.4%
UKIP 9.1% 12.0% 15.3% 8.9%
Other 1.8% 3.4% 5.3% -2.3%

Party Lo Seats Hi Swing
Conservatives 239 281 325 -25
Labour 254 298 338 40
Liberal Democrats 14 25 38 -32
SNP 13 21 30 15
Plaid Cymru 1 2 4 -1
Greens 0 1 1 0
UKIP 1 3 6 3
Other 1 1 2 0
Seat-by-seat predictions based on the party predicted to be most likely to win each seat.

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