Tuesday, 28 October 2014

2015 UK Parliamentary Election Forecast (28th OCT)

This report was generated on 28 October 2014 at 10:25. To read commentary on the election using these forecasts, follow Election4castUK on Twitter. If you would like to give us feedback on this forecast, please email us at


  • And now the party forecast...
    • Conservatives. Rising slightly over the past fortnight. Seat loss very likely. Majority very unlikely. Plurality moderately unlikely.
    • Labour. Fading slightly. Seat gain almost certain. Majority unlikely. Plurality probable.
    • Liberal Democrats. Holding steady. Seat loss almost certain.
    • SNP. Holding steady. Seat gain almost certain.
    • Plaid Cymru. Holding steady. Seat loss probable.
    • Greens. Holding steady. Seat loss possible.
    • UKIP. Holding steady. Seat gain almost certain.

Party Lo Seats Hi Swing
Conservatives 242 284 328 -22
Labour 254 297 338 39
Liberal Democrats 13 24 36 -33
SNP 13 21 30 15
Plaid Cymru 0 2 4 -1
Greens 0 0 1 -1
UKIP 1 3 6 3
Other 1 1 2 0
Seat-by-seat predictions based on the party predicted to be most likely to win each seat.

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