2015 UK Parliamentary Election Forecast (28th OCT)

This report was generated on 28 October 2014 at 10:25. To read commentary on the election using these forecasts, follow Election4castUK on Twitter. If you would like to give us feedback on this forecast, please email us at feedback@electionforecast.co.uk

• And now the party forecast...
  • Conservatives. Rising slightly over the past fortnight. Seat loss very likely. Majority very unlikely. Plurality moderately unlikely.
  • Labour. Fading slightly. Seat gain almost certain. Majority unlikely. Plurality probable.
  • Liberal Democrats. Holding steady. Seat loss almost certain.
  • SNP. Holding steady. Seat gain almost certain.
  • Plaid Cymru. Holding steady. Seat loss probable.
  • Greens. Holding steady. Seat loss possible.
  • UKIP. Holding steady. Seat gain almost certain.

Party	Lo	Seats	Hi	Swing
Conservatives	242	284	328	-22
Labour	254	297	338	39
Liberal Democrats	13	24	36	-33
SNP	13	21	30	15
Plaid Cymru	0	2	4	-1
Greens	0	0	1	-1
UKIP	1	3	6	3
Other	1	1	2	0