Sunday, 25 January 2015

The Psephological Society #GE2015 Forecast

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/10RLXcjEC53skefzikBQ9GC9CzMMqDdGisXxPzQ02ayM/edit#gid=0

More great work from Andy and polls done by swanarcadian

218 seats now have polls. Gains and losses using latest numbers (compared to 2010 GE):

Con: 7 gains, 36 losses. Net -29.
Lab: 42 gains, 16 losses. Net +26.
LD: 0 gains, 22 losses. Net -22.
UKIP: 4 gains, 0 losses. Net +4.
SNP: 21 gains, 0 losses. Net +21.

Seats in HoC using these changes:

Lab: 284
Con: 277
LD: 35
SNP: 27
UKIP: 4
PC: 3
Green: 1
Spkr: 1
NI: 18

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