Wednesday, 4 February 2015

#GE2015 Prediction from The Hustings

The latest model improvement has incorporated a Rural/Urban type for each constituency, using DEFRA data (England an Wales only). The relative success of each party in every R/U type is analysed; this then acts as an additional weighting on the predicted vote share.
As the Greens add more candidates their overall vote share is increasing, now at 3.6%. The Lib Dems have settled at 22 seats, too few for either a red or blue deal.

link to hustings >>>


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