Tuesday, 17 February 2015

How many potential Green converts are there?

YOUGOV (Who will still vote for them this year?)

The above link shows how people who voted Conservative, Labour or LibDem in 2010 are thinking of voting today.

So potentially if the percentages are right just how many people who voted for the main three parties in 2010 could now vote Green?

In 2010 The Conservatives gained 10,726,614 votes according to YOUGOV 13% of those voters now don't know or won't vote and then 1% will now vote Green This gives a figure of 93,322

Labour gained 8,609,527 votes 11% of those are now don't knows or won't votes but the ones that will vote 6% say they will now vote Green. This figure is 459,750

LibDems gained 6,836,824 vote 20% say they now don't know or won't vote but of the ones that will vote 17% say they will be voting Green. This figure is 929,808

In total

1,482,880 Who voted Conservative, Labour or LibDem in 2010 who say they will now vote Green.

If these figures were uniform across the whole of the country.

http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/7uq0x1ih8a/YG-Archive-Pol-Sun-results-160215.pdf

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