General Election Prediction

http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/homepage.html

Current Prediction: Labour majority 78

Party	2010 Votes	2010 Seats	Pred Votes	Pred Seats
CON	36.97%	307	31.02%	232
LAB	29.66%	258	37.46%	364
LIB	23.56%	57	10.04%	23
UKIP	3.17%	0	13.17%	0
NAT	2.26%	9	2.86%	12
MIN	4.37%	19	5.45%	19

Prediction based on opinion polls from 07 Sep 13 to 27 Sep 13, sampling 9,842 people.

Probability of possible outcomes

Conservative majority	4%
Labour majority	79%
Con/Lib coalition	3%
Lab/Lib coalition	9%
Lib choice of coalition	0%
No overall control	5%

The future is never certain. But using our advanced modelling techniques, we can estimate the probability of the various possible outcomes at the next general election.