Sunday 30 June 2013

OPINIUM POLLING

http://news.opinium.co.uk/sites/news.opinium.co.uk/files/VI_25_06_2013_0.pdf

HEADLINE RATE
LABOUR 37% CONSERVATIVES 27% UKIP 19% LIBDEMS 7%

Saturday 29 June 2013

JULYS 2013 POLITICAL POP CHART

With only just over a day left in June I am compiling the chart which shows just how busy the political party websites have been in comparison with each other.

Unfortunately the BNP have made it back to the top spot of political websites in the UK. Now I know in recent times they have been out polling the Liberal Democrats but with only just 1 MEP which they are likely to lose next year and no councillors as far as I know. It is a bemusement why their website is so busy. Maybe it is people watching in much like you do when passing a car crash as much as those who share their point of view.

UKIP have dropped to third and seem to have slowed a little since the council elections in May. Labour did actually slip in the GB rankings but not as much as UKIP so this is why they stayed 2nd.

Nearly all the other parties websites have become quieter as we start to enter the summer period. Sinn Fein buck the trend by getting busier. The Justice 4 Men & Boys party has also climbed up, It seems all those radio appearances have helped the site. Still no news on when they will stand a candidate anywhere.

As for my own blog, it has hit the top ten as I said it would help to let you know just how many visitors you need to get the position in the ranking. At present I get 100 unique viewers a day with 300-500 on Fridays result day. So that has propelled me to where I am now.

EACH LINK IS TO ALEXA.COM PAGE ALEXA RANKING EXPLAINED click the link.

GB RANKINGS

1 (2) BNP 5,498
2 (3) LABOUR 9,285
3 (1) UKIP 13,246
4 (4) THE GREEN PARTY 19,692
5 (5) CONSERVATIVES 20,715
6 (6) LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 27,433
7 (7) SNP 37,997
8 (9) SINN FEIN 101,864
9 (20) UK GENERAL ELECTION 2015 BLOG 123,076
10 (12) JUSTICE FOR MEN AND BOYS PARTY 148,278
11 (10) NHA PARTY 185,680
12 (11) PLAID CYMRU 202,299

GLOBAL RANKINGS

RESPECT PARTY 2,444,597
TUSC 3,978,455
ULSTER UNIONIST PARTY 5,565,694
ENGLISH DEMOCRATS 6,406,085
LOONY PARTY 7,269,539
ALLIANCE PARTY 8,163,559
MEBYON KERNOW - THE PARTY OF CORNWALL 9,905,729
SCOTTISH DEMOCRATIC ALLIANCE 22,749,266
CHRISTIAN PARTY 24,867,913
   

4TH JULY COUNCIL BY ELECTIONS

Simply click on the links below to find information such as candidates, past election results, ward maps & ons data.

BROADLAND - AYLSHAM COUNCIL BY ELECTION

NEWCASTLE UNDER LYME - SILVERDALE & PARKSITE COUNCIL BY ELECTION

NORTH TYNESIDE - RIVERSIDE COUNCIL BY ELECTION

SWANSEA - LLANSAMLET COUNCIL BY ELECTION

VALE OF WHITE HORSE - ABINGDON FITZHARRIS COUNCIL BY ELECTION

VALE OF WHITE HORSE - ABINGDON FITZHARRIS COUNCIL BY ELECTION

VALE OF WHITE HORSE - Abingdon Fitzharris (Conservative resigned) 4th July

2011 - LD 709/653, Con 659/645, Lab 292
2007 - LD 802/784, Con 551/543, Grn 155, Lab 90
2003 - LD 576/531, Con 552/543, Lab 124/122, Grn 95

Jeanette HALLIDAY (Liberal Democrat)
Monica LOVATT (The Conservative Party Candidate)
George RYALL (Labour Party Candidate)

Ward maps - ONS data

link   link

SWANSEA - LLANSAMLET COUNCIL BY ELECTION

SWANSEA - Llansamlet (Labour died) 4th July

2012 - Lab 2185/2154/2051/1971, Ind 952, Con 354/335/328
2008 - Lab 1119/1109/919/877, Ind 912/753/722, BNP 635, PC 616, Con 520/511/475/361, LD 411/379
Jul 2007 by - Lab 769, LD 581, PC 283, BNP 226, Ind 221
2004 - Ind 1176, Lab 1063/1062/975/939, PC 770, LD 598, Con 566/509/504

Robert CLAY (Welsh Labour / Llafur Cymru)
James HATTON (Welsh Conservative Party Candidate)
Samuel REES (Welsh Liberal Democrats)
Claire THOMAS (National Front)

 Ward maps - ONS data


linklink


NORTH TYNESIDE - RIVERSIDE COUNCIL BY ELECTION

NORTH TYNESIDE - Riverside (Labour resigned) 4th July

2012 - Lab 1684, Con 306
2011 - Lab 1775, Con 442, LD 249
2010 - Lab 2220, LD 1058, Con 791
2008 - Lab 1199, LD 526, Con 369, Grn 172
2007 - Lab 1262, LD 1003
2006 - Lab 1132, Ind 963

Wendy LOTT (The Labour Party Candidate)
Barbara STEVENS (The Conservative Party Candidate)

Ward maps ONS data

NEWCASTLE UNDER LYME - SILVERDALE & PARKSITE COUNCIL BY ELECTION

NEWCASTLE-UNDER-LYME - Silverdale and Parksite (Labour resigned) 4th July

2011 - Lab 471, UKIP 431, Con 112
2010 - Lab 612, UKIP 457, Con 320, LD 254
2007 - UKIP 537, Lab 282, Con 107, LD 76
2006 - Lab 389, UKIP 296, Con 125, LD 119

Elaine BLAKE (UK Independence Party)
Amelia ROUT (Labour Party Candidate)
Richard STEELE (Trade Unionists and Socialists Against Cuts)
James VERNON (The Conservative Party Candidate)

 Ward maps ONS data

 link     link

BROADLAND - AYLSHAM COUNCIL BY ELECTION

BROADLAND - Aylsham (Conservative resigned) 4th July 2013

2011 - Con 1336/1253/1010, LD 1182/846/752, Lab 542/471, Grn 446
2007 - LD 1137/1067/1024, Con 1124/1082/1027, Lab 246/230/199
2004 - LD 918/907/845, Con 854/822/797, Lab 719/461/421

Malcolm KEMP (Labour Party Candidate)
Judi MEREDITH (The Conservative Party Candidate)
Steve RILEY (Liberal Democrats)

WARD MAP - ONS DATA

Friday 28 June 2013

UP COMING COUNCIL BY ELECTIONS

There are 17 by-elections identified during July and 6 already in August along with another 15 known vacancies where there is no date as yet for the by-election.

4th July - 5
Broadland DC, Aylsham - Conservative resigned
Newcastle-under-Lyme BC, Silverdale & Parksite - Labour resigned
North Tyneside MB, Riverside - Labour resigned following election as Mayor
Swansea UA, Llansamlet - Labour died
Vale of White Horse DC, Abingdon Fitzharris - Conservative resigned

11th July -3
Brighton & Hove UA, Hanover & Elmgrove - Green resigned
Conwy CB, Caerhun - Conservative resigned
North Kesteven DC, Sleaford Holdingham - Independent resigned

18th July - 2
Flintshire CC, Connah's Quay Golftyn - Labour died
South Cambridgeshire DC, Sawston - Independent resigned

25th July - 7
Braintree DC, Braintree East - Labour died
East Northamptonshire DC, Thrapston Market - Conservative resigned
Elmbridge BC, Weybridge South - Conservative resigned
Kingston-upon-Thames LB, Beverley - Lib Dem resigned
Lambeth LB, Tulse Hill - Labour died
North Somerset UA, Weston-Super-Mare North Worle - Conservative resigned
Uttlesford DC, Felsted - Conservative disqualified for non attendance

1st August - 5
Amber Valley DC, Codnor & Waingroves - Labour died
Caerphilly BC, Penyrheol - Labour died
Norfolk CC, Thetford West - UKIP resigned
Ribble Valley BC, Littlemoor - Conservative resigned
Worcestershire CC, St Mary's - UKIP died

8th August - 1
Redcar & Cleveland UA, Skelton - Labour resigned

Current known vacancies where by-election not yet called - 15
Carlisle BC, Yewdale - Labour died 30th May
Central Bedfordshire UA, Dunstable Northfields - Conservative died 25th June
Daventry DC, Ravensthorpe - Conservative died 19th June
Doncaster MB, Askern Spa - Labour disqualified following election as Mayor on 2nd May
Dudley MB, Coseley East - Labour died 5th June
Forest of Dean DC, Coleford East - Labour died 19th June
Merton LB, Colliers Wood - Labour died around 25th June
Northamptonshire CC, Middleton Cheney - Conservative died 19th June
North Yorkshire CC, South Selby - Conservative died 17th June
St Helens MB, Billinge & Seneley - Labour resigned around 15th May
Swindon UA, Haydon Wick - Conservative died around 13th June
Walsall MB, Aldridge Central & South - Conservative died 1st June
Waveney DC, Oulton - Labour died 13th June
West Berkshire UA, Hungerford - Conservative died 10th June
Wycombe DC, Hambleden Valley - Conservative died 23rd June

Impending vacancies - 1
Brent LB, Dudden Hill - Lib Dem councillor

GENERAL ELECTION RESULT JUNE 2013

SOURCE

Ok it is only an internet polling system, but I think it has potential to be just as resourceful as any other polling mechanism which is out there at the moment. If you click here MAYS GENERAL ELECTION RESULTS that was the first poll.

A General Election was held yesterday on the site and here are the results.

TORIES TAKE TWO! David Cameron and the Tories have successfully lead the party to a second successive victory in the voteyourgoat Monthly General Election! Despite Osborne's spending cuts and the continued pressure from Syria, the Conservatives have increased their share of the vote, up 7%, at the end of a challenging month for political decisions. Ed Milliband will this morning, be disappointed that Labour have failed to capitalise on the Tories pressure and more so, having lost significant votes to the Green Party who secured 13.79% to Labours 10.34%. The EU remains a significant headline in our current affairs, demonstrated by UKIP's outstanding performance, securing second spot overall and having doubled their previous performance up 7%. Does this represent the decision by the undecideds from the last election which dropped to 7th? An improved turnout in Scotland saw the continued support for the SNP, however shockingly they were challenged by UKIP. Has the smoke from Nigel Farage's previous outing in Edinburgh blown over? While George Galloway earned support in many headlines following his recent appearance on the BBC's Question Time, his Respect party has lost control of Wales in favour of Plaid Cymru. The Alliance, Green, Democratic Unionists and the Independents all received equal share of the vote in Northern Ireland, following a low turnout. The hard work now starts again for these parties, as we're here on the last Thursday of next month to do it all over again!

Overall


Conservative36.21%

UK Independence Party15.52%

Green13.79%

Labour10.34%

Scottish National Party5.17%

Plaid Cymru5.17%

Undecided5.17%

Liberal Democrat3.45%

Independent1.72%

Democratic Unionists1.72%

Alliance Party1.72%

England


Conservative43.48%

UK Independence Party17.39%

Green15.22%

Labour13.04%

Undecided6.52%

Liberal Democrat4.35%

Scotland


Scottish National Party75.00%

UK Independence Party25.00%

Wales


Plaid Cymru75.00%

Conservative25.00%

Northern Ireland


Green25.00%

Independent25.00%

Democratic Unionists25.00%

Alliance Party25.00%

SHOULD THE LIBERAL DEMOCRATS BE CONCERNED?

Lib Dems contested only 3 of the 8 seats polling just 0.9% in Worcestershire, 2.8% in Plymouth and 8.2% in Billericay.

UKIP contested 7 out of 8 there performance can be found here UKIP PERFORMANCE

All the results can be found here 8 by elections results 27th June 2013

Lib Dems beaten by the BNP again, this time in Worcestershire 

Just a total of 240 votes cast for the LIB DEMS opposed to 3,705 for UKIP.

Should the Lib Dems be concerned?

UKIP's BY ELECTION PERFORMANCE 27th JUNE 2013

 ANDYAJS has been busy again and collated this information.

UKIP performances in yesterday's by-elections:

BASILDON - Billericay East: 29.84%

DARTFORD - Newtown: 22.71%

PLYMOUTH - Southway: 26.45%

RUTLAND - Ketton: 17.47%

SOUTH TYNESIDE - Cleadon and East Boldon: 26.06%

SOUTH TYNESIDE - Primrose: 34.64%

WORCESTERSHIRE - Stourport-on-Severn: 25.97%

Click the link below if you want to see all the results in full
8 by election results 27th June

UKIP overall performance in contested by-elections yesterday:

UKIP votes: 3,705
Total votes: 13,863
UKIP percentage: 26.73%

UKIP overall performance, including Newark & Sherwood where they didn't stand:

UKIP votes: 3,705
Total votes: 15,719
UKIP percentage: 23.57%

8 BY ELECTION RESULTS 27TH JUNE 2013

Click the links for the full election result, also includes information on past results, ward map and ONS data.

BASILDON - BILLERICAY EAST BY ELECTION RESULT  CON HOLD
DARTFORD - NEWTOWN BY ELECTION RESULT LAB GAIN
NEWARK & SHERWOOD - FARNSFIELD & BILSTHORPE BY ELECTION RESULT  CON HOLD
PLYMOUTH - SOUTHWAY BY ELECTION RESULT  LAB GAIN
RUTLAND - KETTON BY ELECTION RESULT  CON HOLD
SOUTH TYNESIDE - CLEADON & EAST BOLDON BY ELECTION RESULT LAB GAIN
SOUTH TYNESIDE - PRIMROSE BY ELECTION RESULT  LAB HOLD
WORCESTERSHIRE - STOURPORT ON SEVERN BY ELECTION RESULT ICHC GAIN

WORCESTERSHIRE - STOURPORT ON SEVERN BY ELECTION RESULT (ICHC GAIN)

Worcestershire, Stourport-on-Severn - Health Concern gain from UKIP

Party  2013 B vote  2013 B share   since 2013 "top"since 2013 "average"since 2009 "top"since 2009 "average"
Healthy Concern       1,055         30.7%        +4.2%            +4.2%         -6.8%             -6.4%
UKIP          892         26.0%         -1.5%             -1.1%  from nowhere    from nowhere
Conservative          735         21.4%        +1.9%            +0.7%         -8.2%             -7.9%
Labour          607         17.7%         -5.0%             -4.0%        +6.4%            +6.3%
Green            77           2.2%         -1.6%             -1.9%         -2.8%             -2.9%
BNP            39           1.1% from nowhere    from nowhere  from nowhere    from nowhere
Lib Dem            30           0.9% from nowhere    from nowhere        -4.0%             -4.1%
Independent



        -8.0%             -8.2%
Liberal



        -3.7%             -3.8%
Total votes       3,435
        -1,605            -1,279     -2,957          -2,799

Swing UKIP to Health Concern 2.7% since May
- Conservative slightly up, Labour share down


Angela HARTWICH (Green Party)
John HOLDEN (UK Independence Party (UKIP))
Carl MASON (British National Party)
Paul PRESTON (Liberal Democrat)
Chris ROGERS (The Conservative Party Candidate)
John THOMAS (Independent Community and Health Concern)
Carol WARREN (The Labour Party Candidate)

Ward map - ONS data
 


SOUTH TYNESIDE - PRIMROSE BY ELECTION RESULT (LAB HOLD)

South Tyneside, Primrose - Labour hold

Party  2013 votes     2013 share     since 2012  since 2011  since 2010  since 2010 B  since 2008
Labour         755       50.3%       -25.0%        -2.7%         -2.9%        +8.3%        +1.7%
UKIP         520       34.6%from nowherefrom nowherefrom nowherefrom nowherefrom nowhere
BNP         146         9.7%         -3.6%from nowhere         -4.7%       -18.2%       -23.2%
Conservatives           80         5.3%         -6.1%        -2.2%          -3.8%         -0.8%       -13.2%
Lib Dems



        -12.7%         -4.9%
Green



          -1.9%

1st Independent


      -35.2%          -8.6%       -10.5%
2nd Independent


        -4.3%
         -8.6%
Total votes      1,501
         -205        -680       -1,605         -530        -567

John CLARKE (UK Independence Party (UKIP))
John COE (The Conservative Party Candidate)
Moira SMITH (Labour Party Candidate)
Martin VAUGHAN (British National Party)

Ward map - ONS data

link  link

SOUTH TYNESIDE - CLEADON & EAST BOLDON BY ELECTION RESULT (LAB GAIN)

South Tyneside, Cleadon & East Boldon - Labour gain from Conservative sitting as UKIP

Party  2013 votes     2013 share     since 2012     since 2011     since 2010     since 2008  
Labour         991      38.8%        -7.3%       -11.4%        -0.8%        +6.6%
Conservatives         899      35.2%      -18.3%         -6.1%        -6.4%      -32.6%
UKIP         666      26.1%from nowherefrom nowherefrom nowherefrom nowhere
Progressives


          -6.2%      -15.5%
Independent


          -2.3%

BNP



        -3.3%
Total votes      2,556
        -579       -1,291      -2,445        -722

Swing Conservative to Labour 5½% since 2012, ~3% since 2010 and 20% since 2008
- but ~2½% Labour to Conservative since 2011

Colin CAMPBELL (UK Independence Party (UKIP))
Margaret MELING (Labour Party Candidate)
Fiona MILBURN (The Conservative Party Candidate)

Ward map - ONS data

link   link



RUTLAND - KETTON BY ELECTION RESULT (CON HOLD)

Rutland, Ketton - Conservative hold

Party  2013 votes     2013 share  
Conservative        330      44.4%
Independent M        260      34.9%
UKIP        130      17.5%
Independent B          24        3.2%
Total votes        744

Last contested in 2003 when 2 Independents were elected against sole Conservative
- although subsequently elected as Conservatives in 2007

2011 - Con x2 unopposed
2007 - Con x2 unopposed
2003 - Ind 582/567, Con 379

Martin BROOKES (Independent)
Gary CONDE (Conservative Party Candidate)
Andrew MCGILVRAY (Independent)
Liam POWELL (UK Independence Party)



Ward mapONS data

linklink


PLYMOUTH - SOUTHWAY BY ELECTION RESULT (LAB GAIN)

Plymouth, Southway - Labour gain from Conservatives

Party  2013 vote     2013 share     since 2012     since 2011      since 2010     since 2008
Labour      1,247       43.1%        -8.2%      -10.2%        +7.4%       +9.1%
UKIP         765       26.5%       +4.6%from nowhere      +15.3%from nowhere
Conservatives         486       16.8%      -10.1%      -29.9%       -19.3%      -22.0%
Independent         290       10.0%from nowherefrom nowherefrom nowherefrom nowhere
Lib Dems           82         2.8%from nowherefrom nowhere       -14.2%      -14.4%
TUSAC           22         0.8%from nowherefrom nowherefrom nowherefrom nowhere
BNP




      -10.0%
Total votes     2,892 
        -705      -1,043      -3,158       -502

Swing Labour to UKIP 6.4% since 2012 and 4% since 2010 as Conservatives fall to third place.

Ryan ALDRED (Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition)
Peter BERROW (UKIP)
David DOWNIE (The Conservative Party)
Jonny MORRIS (Labour Party Candidate)
Dennis SILVERWOOD (Independent)
Justin STAFFORD (Liberal Democrat)

Ward map - ONS data

link    link

NEWARK & SHERWOOD - FARNSFIELD & BILSTHORPE BY ELECTION RESULT (CON HOLD)

Newark & Sherwood, Farnsfield & Bilsthorpe - Conservative hold

Party  2013 vote     2013 share   since 2011 "top"since 2011 "average"since 2007 "top"since 2007 "average"
Conservative     1,174       63.3%         +4.7%           +4.6%        +10.9%             +9.4%
Labour        682       36.7%         -4.7%           -4.6%          +5.9%             +8.5%
Lib Dems



         -16.8%            -17.9%
Total votes     1,856
       -1,130         -1,019        -1,172Row 5 column 7

Swing Labour to Conservative ~4½% since 2011 and a small swing since 2007
- in a seat where the Conservative MP has resigned the whip following allegation of "cash for questions".

 Glenn BARDILL (The Labour Party Candidate)
Frank TAYLOR (Conservative Party Candidate)

 Ward map - ONS data

 link   link

DARTFORD - NEWTOWN BY ELECTION RESULT (LAB GAIN)

Dartford, Newtown - Labour gain from Conservatives

Party  2013 votes     2013 share   since 2011 "top"since 2011 "average"since 2007 "top"since 2007 "average
Labour         536       45.4%          +4.5%            +6.2%          +6.6%            +9.4%
Conservatives        376       31.9%         -14.3%           -16.7%          -1.4%            -2.6%
UKIP        268       22.7%  from nowhere     from nowhere       +11.1%         +10.8%
English Dem

          -12.9%           -12.2%        -16.3%          -17.6%
Total votes     1,180
            -878            -735         -780           -634

Swing Conservative to Labour 9½% / 11½% since 2011 and ~4% since 2007

David BAKER (Labour Party Candidate)
Ivan BURCH (UKIP)
Rosanna CURRANS (Local Conservatives)

Ward map - ONS data

link  link

BASILDON - BILLERICAY EAST BY ELECTION RESULT (CON HOLD)

Basildon, Billericay East - Conservative hold

Party  2013 votes     2013 share     since 2012     since 2011     since 2010     since 2008  
Conservative        790       50.8%        -6.7%      -13.8%      -10.3%      -15.0%
UKIP        464       29.8%     +14.2%     +21.3%     +25.2%     +24.6%
Labour        170       10.9%        -3.7%        -3.0%        -0.1%        +3.9%
Lib Dems        128         8.2%        -3.9%        -4.8%      -12.1%        -6.4%
National Front            3         0.2%from nowherefrom nowherefrom nowherefrom nowhere
BNP



        -2.9%        -7.5%
Total votes     1,555
     -1,055      -2,512     -5,130     -1,383

Swing Conservative to UKIP 10½% since 2012 and 17½% since 2011 and 2010

Thomas BEANEY (National Front)
Lauren BROWN (The Labour Party Candidate)
Terry GANDY (UKIP Local Residents)
Nigel HORN (Liberal Democrat)
Andrew SCHRADER (The Conservative Party Candidate)

Ward map - ONS data
linklink


Wednesday 26 June 2013

Ynys Môn BY ELECTION will be the 1st AUGUST

PMQ'S 26th JUNE 2013

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GOVERNMENTS SPENDING REVIEW

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LATEST YOUGOV POLLING

http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/n4quq76t3o/YG-Archive-Pol-Sun-results-250613.pdf

Latest YouGov / The Sun results 25th June - CON 32%, LAB 40%, LD 11%, UKIP 11%; APP -33 -




Tuesday 25 June 2013

SHARPEANGLES' PRICE FOR KARREN BRADY BECOMING AN MP

WILL THERE BE A BY ELECTION IN DUNFERMLINE?

 UPDATE 07/09/2013

Bill Walker finally resigns www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-24004675

The Council results in 2012 in the 4 wards making up the Scottish Parliamentary seat 

Lab 9484
SNP 5336
LDem 3841
Con 1628
Others 1457


 ****************************************************************

An MSP has pled not guilty to 24 charges of assaulting women over a period of three decades.
Bill Walker, 71, appeared at Edinburgh Sheriff Court accused of physically assaulting four women between January 1967 and January 1995.
The former SNP politician's trial was set for 8 July.
Prosecutors allege that Mr Walker abused the women at addresses in Edinburgh, Stirling, Midlothian and Alloa.
Mr Walker has claimed self defence for three of the charges.
He is alleged to have assaulted Maureen Traquair, Anne Walker, Anne Louise Paterson and Diana Walker.
The independent MSP, who sits for Dunfermline in the Scottish Parliament, denied all charges.
Mr Walker, from Alloa, was elected as an SNP MSP in 2011. He was expelled from the party in April, but has appealed against that decision
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-tayside-central-23047296

Scottish Parliament election, 2011: Dunfermline
Party Candidate Votes % ±%

SNP Bill Walker 11,010 37.6 +13.5

Labour Alex Rowley 10,420 35.6 +2.7

Liberal Democrats Jim Tolson 5,776 19.7 -13.5

Conservative James Reekie 2,093 7.1 -1.2
Majority 590 2
Turnout 29299 52.5

SNP gain from Liberal Democrats Swing +5.4
Scottish Parliament election, 2007 Notional Result: Dunfermline
Party Candidate Votes % ±%

Liberal Democrats
9,030 33.2

Labour
8,953 32.9

SNP
6,553 24.1

Conservative
2,277 8.4

Others
406 1.5
Majority 77 0.3

Liberal Democrats hold Swing