Sunday 30 March 2014

MARCHS' POLITICAL POP CHART

Starting from this month I will be moving this regular feature to the last weekend of the month so it can be a reflection of the past month.

EACH LINK IS TO ALEXA.COM PAGE ALEXA RANKING EXPLAINED click the link.

Last months rankings in brackets, each link is to the ALEXA page for the party not the parties website

UK RANKING

1 (1) UKIP 3,297
2 (3) BNP 4,684
3 (2) LABOUR 6,287
4 (5) SNP 6,721
5 (6) CONSERVATIVES 11,091
6 (4) LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 13,662
7 (7) THE GREEN PARTY 28,314
8 (8) JUSTICE 4 MEN & BOYS 29,462
9 (9) PIRATE PARTY 35,690
10 (10) SCOTTISH SOCIALIST PARTY 61,010
11 (-) UK GENERAL ELECTION 2015 BLOG 119,012

GLOBAL RANKING

SINN FEIN  1,044,354
MEBYON KERNOW 2,620,794 ( 60,167 RANKED IN SPAIN )
ENGLISH DEMOCRAT 3,054,843
DEMOCRATIC UNIONIST PARTY 3,324,121
RESPECT PARTY 3,951,615
NONE OF THE ABOVE 4,000,072
PLAID CYMRU 4,140,378
OMRLP 4,504,638
ULSTER UNIONIST PARTY  4,795,740
TUV  5,306,850
THE ALLIANCE PARTY  5,601,941
TUSC 6,567,504
NI21 7,449,553
CHRISTIAN PARTY 8,148,461
NATIONAL LIBERAL PARTY 14,158,334
SCOTTISH DEMOCRATIC ALLIANCE 19,457,030

NO DATA

NHA PARTY
WESSEX REGIONALISTS 
PEOPLES DEMOCRATIC PARTY OF GREAT BRITAIN

Average time spent on the website

NI21 5m 07s
LIBDEMS 4m 48s
BNP 4m 16s
SNP 3m 11s
UKIP 2m 56s
GREENS 2m 55s
J4MB 2m 52s 
MEBYON KERNOW 2m 37s
RESPECT 2m 36s
CONSERVATIVES 2m 15s
SSP 2m 7s 
ALLIANCE 2m 01s
LABOUR 1m 56s
PIRATE PARTY 1m 37s
NONE OF THE ABOVE 1m 21s
ENG DEMS 1m 17s 
UK GENERAL ELECTION 2015 BLOG 1m 14s
TUSC 1m 10s
SINN FEIN 1m 9s
DUP 57s

Links in to the website

CONSERVATIVES 2,504
LABOUR 2,063
LIBDEMS 1,775
UKIP 1,140 
BNP 1,084
GREENS 1,052
SNP 669
SINN FEIN 599
PIRATE PARTY 581
PLAID 295
SSP 207
UUP 177
ALLIANCE 141
OMRLP 96
ENG DEMS 96
J4MB 94
MEBYON KERNOW 79
TUSC 78
NHA PARTY 60
RESPECT 57
DUP 54
TUV 35 
CHRISTIAN PARTY 31
UK GENERAL ELECTION 2015 BLOG 25
NATIONAL LIBERAL PARTY 19
SDA 10
NI21 9
NONE OF THE ABOVE 7
WESSEX REGIONALISTS 3
PDPGB 0

CLICK LINK TO SEE PREVIOUS POP CHARTS

Friday 28 March 2014

COMRES - A political Budget for an election on the economy


POLLWATCH: A political Budget for an election on the economy
Surges come and go; long term shifts are more difficult to sustain. Following last week’s Budget Statement the polls appear to have narrowed; while some show the gap between Labour and the Conservatives cut to just one or two points, the ComRes poll for The Independent had the lead narrowing from 8 points to 5. Clearly Chancellor Osborne’s Budget has had a short-term positive impact for the Conservatives, and the Sun’s front page on the morning after will have made happy breakfast reading at Numbers 10 and 11 Downing Street. However, we’ve seen this before with Cameron’s bounce after his 2011 “veto” in Europe and that didn’t last. With just a year to go until the General Election the Conservatives will need to work hard to make the surge stick, avoiding as many bumps in the road ahead as they can.   
While we can’t be sure how long the current narrowing in the polls will last, what we have seen over the last week is a defining of the battle lines for the long election campaign ahead. Labour are still seen as the party of living standards and personal finances while the Tories are the party of economic growth and deficit reduction.
This week’s ComRes / Independent poll found that around half (47%) of Britons believe the Tories are more likely than Labour to keep the economy growing, while just a third (36%) chose Labour over the Conservatives. The Tories are also seen are seen as the party most likely to eliminate the Government’s budget deficit, (49% to the 33% saying Labour).
Although the Conservatives have closed the gap on Ed Miliband’s chosen territory of living standards, it is still an issue of strength of Labour. Some 43% of Britons believe Labour is most likely to make their family better off, with 37% naming the Tories. But Labour’s lead has dropped from 10 to six points since last September.
Base: All GB adults (n=1,024)
Particularly interesting following Mr Osborne’s blatant attempts to woo savers and pensioners is that Labour is viewed as the party most likely to ensure pensioners have an adequate level of income in retirement (48% choosing Labour and 34% the Tories). However, George Osborne has had some success with the “grey vote” as those aged 65 and over are more likely to say the Tories would to ensure pensioners have an adequate level of income.
With the electoral maths looking very difficult for the Conservatives – needing to improve on their performance in 2010 to win a majority – it is easy to see why Ed Miliband and his team may be tempted to keep their heads down and stumble into Downing Street. However, the Tory “surge” should serve as a reminder that many voters have by no-means nailed their colours to the mast for any party just yet. They may be saying they will vote for Labour now, but the Party has to offer them a positive, credible message to secure their votes, especially if the economic narrative continues along a more optimistic road and the Conservatives are able to point to a record of improvement. Labour are keeping quiet for now, but they will have to turn up the volume pretty soon.


WESTMINSTER VOTING INTENTION
ComRes / The Independent
Conservative 31% (+1)
Labour 36% (-2)
Liberal Democrat 9% (-1)
UKIP 11% (NC)
Changes from 5th March.

     


Follow ComRes Chairman Andrew Hawkins on Twitter:


@Andrew_ComRes
Author:Tom Mludzinski

Head of Political Polling

@tom_ComRes
Making plans for 2014?
To find out more about how ComRes market and opinion research can support your work, please contact:
Jasmine Morgan
+44 (0)20 7871 8655Jasmine.Morgan@comres.co.uk

ComRes, Four Millbank, London, SW1P 3JA

ComRes is the trading name of CommunicateResearch Ltd, a company registered in England and Wales. Company number: 4810991. Registered office: Coveham House, Downside Bridge Road, Cobham, Surrey KT11 3EP.

Thursday 27 March 2014

YOUGOV POLLING (PARTY vs LEADER)

http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/e2q4ell7gm/YG-Archive-Pol-Sun-results-260314.pdf

Wednesday 26 March 2014

YOUGOV CLEGG V FARAGE POLL

http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/ykmpjgw80r/YG-Archive-140326-Clegg-Farage.pdf

CLEGG V FARAGE SCORECARD

Survation polling of London residents on behalf of the London Child Poverty Alliance

Survation Ltd
Survation polling of London residents on behalf of the London Child Poverty Alliance
Survation conducted a poll of 1,541 London residents on behalf of the London Child Poverty Alliance – a coalition of charities including Child Poverty Action Group, Children’s Society and Shelter. The full tables are available here.
Key findings:
  • One in five voting Londoners (21%) still haven’t decided who they will vote for
  • Twice as many women (28%) as men (14%) are undecided.
  • Londoners are demanding decent homes and decent jobs. There was huge support for councils to improve housing (91%), increase wages (86%) and support flexible working (86%)
We asked how important various problems were for Londoners. Three of the top issues they face are:
  • Difficulty finding affordable housing (80%)
  • Being paid low wages (79%)
  • Not being able to find jobs that fit with family life (72%)
(figures show the percentage who rated the problem as being very or fairly important)
Londoners want local politicians to take action on:
  • Improving the quality, stability and affordability of housing (91%)
  • Increasing wages (86%)
  • Increasing flexible working (86%)
  • Protecting poorest residents from increases to council tax payments (85%)
  • Protecting the services provided by children’s centres (82%)
(figures show the percentage who would strongly or somewhat support each policy)
Voting intentions (among London residents):
  • 32% Labour
  • 21% Conservative
  • 10% UKIP
  • 9% Lib Dem
  • 4% Green
  • 1% Independent
  • 21% Undecided
You can find the press release from the London Child Poverty Alliance here.

Keep up to date with all of Survation’s research and analysis on our blog.  
Find out more about the services Survation provide by following this link.
For general enquiries, please call 0203 142 7640 or email enquiry@survation.com

 
Survation is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules.

http://www.britishpollingcouncil.org

Survation Ltd  Registered in England & Wales Number 07143509
 
Survation are a member of The British Polling Council and abide by its rules
http://www.britishpollingcouncil.org
 
Survation Ltd  Registered in England & Wales Number 07143509

PMQ's 26th March 2014

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Highest % vote share at the 2010 General Election

ANDYAJS has been busy again and collated this little factoid. Thanks.

The top 10 were as follows:

Conservatives

1. Richmond (Yorks): 62.8%
2. Beaconsfield: 61.1%
3. Windsor: 60.8%
4. Hampshire NE: 60.6%
5. Chelsea & Fulham: 60.5%
6. Chesham & Amersham: 60.4%
7. Maldon: 59.8%
8. Orpington: 59.7%
9. Maidenhead: 59.5%
10.Aldridge - Brownhills: 59.3%


Labour:

1. Liverpool Walton: 72.0%
2. Knowsley: 70.9%
3. East Ham: 70.4%
4. Glasgow NE: 68.3%
5. Coatbridge, Chryston & Bellshill: 66.6%
6. Bootle: 66.4%
7. Kirkcaldy & Cowdenbeath: 64.5%
8. Liverpool West Derby: 64.1%
9. West Ham: 62.7%
10.Birkenhead: 62.5%


LD:

1. Orkney & Shetland: 62.0%
2. Westmorland & Lonsdale: 60.0%
3. Bath: 56.6%
4. Yeovil: 55.7%
5. Norfolk N: 55.5%
6. Twickenham: 54.4%
7. Sheffield Hallam: 53.4%
8. Ross, Skye & Lochaber: 52.6%
9. Lewes: 52.0%
10.Thornbury & Yate: 51.9%

FARAGE V CLEGG LBC 6PM TONIGHT





Or will it be ALAS SMITH & JONES as the poster seems to suggest?


The rise of the new others

So 2 polls have been released and both have had a significant enough showing for an others section for it to have a %

Comres http://www.comres.co.uk/polls/Independent_Political_Poll_March_2014.pdf

Have had 20 respondents from England voting for someone other than the parties they have in the section, Which takes out of the equation, BNP, UKIP, GREENS, SNP, PLAID.

So is it the NHA PARTY or UKIP or someone else. Would be interesting to find out, have asked comres and yougov and still to have a response.

Yougov http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/3souxmnd5d/YG-Archive-Pol-Sun-results-250314.pdf

They also have a section for RESPECT which was showing 0 So this just leaves the NHA PARTY or someone else. Would be interesting to find out who.

In the YOUGOV section 2% or 9 respondents in the North of England showed as others
1% in Scotland 1% in Midlands/Wales

So is there a rise of another party?

LATEST YOUGOV POLLING (BY REGION)

http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/3souxmnd5d/YG-Archive-Pol-Sun-results-250314.pdf

Tuesday 25 March 2014

Why are women more worried about the future?

As the question asks above why are women more worried about the future and is the Labour party playing successfully on this worry?

Questions asked by YOUGOV


Thinking about the next two or three years, how worried
are you that people like you will.. 

% of those worried

not have enough money to live comfortably 
Men 53% Women 67%

be victims of burglary, robbery or mugging'
Men 31% Women 38%

suffer directly from cuts in spending on public services
such as health, education and welfare'
Men 51% Women 68%

lose out because foreign factories and/or workers from
abroad can do the same job more cheaply
Men 39% Women 46%

lose their job / have difficulty finding work
Men 43% Women 57%

lose their home
Men 27% Women 42%

suffer discrimination or unfair treatment by employers
or landlords or local councils or public authorities
Men 28% Women 36%

suffer ill-health
Men 44% Women 54%

VOTING INTENTIONS

Men 
CONSERVATIVE 37%
LABOUR 36%

Women
LABOUR 41%
CONSERVATIVES 35%



Monday 24 March 2014

COMRES POLL 25TH March

http://www.comres.co.uk/polls/Independent_Political_Poll_25th_March_2014.pdf

SURVATION POLL - Men v Women voting pattern


http://survation.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/03/Budget-Data-Tables-Final.pdf

Sunday 23 March 2014

LORD ASCROFT EURO POLL - VOTING INTENTIONS BY AGE

For all these I have left in the don't knows and the won't votes, simply to show how it seems apathy is the winner at the moment.

http://lordashcroftpolls.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/03/Europe-on-Trial-poll-Full-tables.pdf

YOUGOV POLLING VOTING INTENTION BY AGE RANGE

http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/i9eok6bjvw/YG-Archive-Pol-Sunday-Times-results-140321.pdf