General Election Prediction

http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/homepage.html

Current Prediction: Labour majority 58

Party	2010 Votes	2010 Seats	Pred Votes	Pred Seats
CON	36.97%	307	32.13%	243
LAB	29.66%	258	37.03%	354
LIB	23.56%	57	9.59%	21
UKIP	3.17%	0	13.85%	0
NAT	2.26%	9	2.86%	13
MIN	4.37%	19	4.53%	19

Prediction based on opinion polls from 01 Feb 14 to 28 Feb 14, sampling 10,100 people.

Probability of possible outcomes

Conservative majority	7%
Labour majority	73%
Con/Lib coalition	4%
Lab/Lib coalition	10%
Lib choice of coalition	0%
No overall control	7%

The future is never certain. But using our advanced modelling techniques, we can estimate the probability of the various possible outcomes at the next general election.