Monday, 3 November 2014

2015 UK Parliamentary Election Forecast (3rd NOV)

This report was generated on 03 November 2014 at 17:22. To read commentary on the election using these forecasts, follow Election4castUK on Twitter. If you would like to give us feedback on this forecast, please email us at
The following tables focuses on potential seat gains and losses for each of the parties, including only those seats for which the probability of a change of control is estimated at over 10%. If the table is blank, there are currently no such seats.
Conservatives: Gains Losses
Labour: Gains Losses
Liberal Democrats: Gains Losses
SNP: Gains Losses
Plaid Cymru: Gains Losses
Greens: Gains Losses
UKIP: Gains

Party Lo Seats Hi Swing
Conservatives 237 282 331 -24
Labour 250 296 340 38
Liberal Democrats 13 23 35 -34
SNP 15 24 33 18
Plaid Cymru 1 3 4 0
Greens 0 0 1 -1
UKIP 1 3 7 3
Other 1 1 1 0
Seat-by-seat predictions based on the party predicted to be most likely to win each seat.

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