Written by Graham Sharpe
Tories favourites to win Rochester back, but:
UKIP 5/1 TO HOLD BALANCE OF POWER
UKIP are quoted at 5/1 by William Hill to be part of a coalition
government following the General Election - having been 33/1 to do so at
one point. And as the Lib Dem vote continues to dwindle, UKIP are now
just 7/2 with Hills to end up with more seats than Nick Clegg's Party at
the General Election - and odds-on to poll more votes than them.
'UKIP's burgeoning success has certainly made political betting more
intriguing than for many years and there are numerous potential outcomes
to the General Election for political punters to speculate on' said
Hill's spokesman Graham Sharpe.
GENERAL ELECTION....1/2 No overall majority; 3/1 Con-LD coalition; 10/3
Lab majority; 4/1 Lab-LD coalition; 9/2 Con majority; 5/1 coalition
involving UKIP; 11/2 coalition involving SNP; 7/1 Con minority govt; 7/1
Lab minority govt; 50/1 UKIP majority; 500/1 Lib dem majority.
**DESPITE UKIP winning the Rochester& Strood by-election by nearly
3000 votes, political punters are betting that the Conservatives
will win the seat back at the General Election.
William Hill initially offered 2/1 that the Tories would regain the
seat, but they have been backed in to 4/6 favouritism.Ukip, who were
initially quoted at 4/11, to retain the seat have drifted out to 6/5.
'Despite UKIP winning clearly, political punters suspect that the
result may be reversed in May' said Hill's spokesman Graham Sharpe.
'However, the Tories were also favourites to win early in the
by-election campaign but their punters, including Michael Gove, ended up
out of pocket.'
ROCHESTER & STROOD RESULT AT GENERAL ELECTION: 4/6 Conservative; 6/5 UKIP; 20/1 Labour
HOW MANY MPs WILL DEFECT TO UKIP BEFORE GENERAL ELECTION?....4/5 Two or more; 6/4 None; 9/2 One.
UKIP SEATS AT GENERAL ELECTION....2/5 5 or more; 4/1 1-2; 7/1 50 or more; 8/1 3-4; 10/1 None; 16/1 100 or more.
GENERAL ELECTION WIPEOUT FOR LIB DEMS?
THE LIB DEMS, who polled just 349 votes at the Rochester & Strood
by-election are 12/1 with William Hill to emerge from the General
Election with 10 or fewer MPs - and Hills make Tim Farron 5/4 favourite
to succeed Nick Clegg as Leader, with Vince Cable 4/1 second favourite.
Hills already make UKIP 4/11 favourites to poll more VOTES than the Lib
Dems at the General Election, but are also offering 7/2 that UKIP will
win more SEATS than the coalition partners, 1/6 that the Lib Dems end up
'The Lib Dems seem to be in freefall after a sequence of lost deposits
and internal rumblings about the leadership. Their Rochester rout did
not offer much cause for optimism despite claims that their voters had
opted to support the Tories to keep out UKIP.' said Hill's spokesman
LIB-DEM SEATS AT GENERAL ELECTION..12/1 0-10; 4/1 11-20; 7/4 21-30; 5/2 31-40; 6/1 41-50; 8/1 51 OR MORE.
WHO WILL GET MORE VOTES AT GENERAL ELECTION?...4/11 UKIP; 2/1 LIB DEMS
NEXT LIB DEM LEADER; 5/4 FARRON; 4/1 CABLE; 7/1 DAVEY; 8/1 LAMB; 10/1 DANNY ALEXANDER