Wednesday, 26 November 2014

YOUGOV (SCOTLAND SUBSAMPLE PREDICTION)

https://yougov.co.uk/refer/HdvYK1txkm0PfdJX43_Iow/  <<< Follow the link if you would like to join the YOUGOV panel and have your opinions heard


Scottish Prediction:

Party2010 Votes2010 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesPred Seats
CON16.75%120.00%203
LAB42.00%4126.00%02516
LIB18.88%113.00%0110
NAT19.93%640.00%34040
MIN0.28%00.28%000
OTH2.18%010.72%000
Edit current prediction, make new prediction, or go back to home page.

Table of all seat results in Scotland

The table shows the seats, sorted by the difference between Labour and Conservative votes, with the safest Labour seat, Glasgow North East, at the top and the safest Conservative seat, Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk, at the bottom. The first two columns 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats' show how many seats each party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 30 seats to have a majority in Scotland. So Labour needs to win all the seats down as far as (prediction: ), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to (prediction: ). Click here for more information about this table.

Lab
Seats
Con
Seats
SeatMP at 2010 ElectorateTurn
out %
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
NAT
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2010
Win
Pred
Win
119Glasgow North EastWillie Bain59,85949.137.8251.720.0029.452.718.30LABLAB
218Coatbridge, Chryston and BellshillTom Clarke70,06759.4210.6649.970.0032.640.006.72LABLAB
317Glasgow EastMargaret Curran61,51652.296.7344.930.0038.372.107.87LABLAB
416Glasgow South WestIan Davidson58,18254.629.1845.880.0032.490.0012.45LABLAB
515GlenrothesLindsay Roy67,89359.659.7045.710.0037.030.007.56LABLAB
614Kirkcaldy and CowdenbeathGordon Brown73,66562.1811.9547.910.0030.640.009.50LABLAB
713Dunbartonshire WestGemma Doyle66,08563.9610.2044.670.0035.690.009.45LABLAB
812Motherwell and WishawFrank Roy66,91858.4612.0544.490.0034.810.008.65LABLAB
911Rutherglen and Hamilton WestTom Greatrex76,40861.4912.5944.180.0034.120.009.11LABLAB
1010Paisley and Renfrewshire SouthDouglas Alexander61,19765.3612.6242.980.0034.540.009.86LABLAB
119Airdrie and ShottsPamela Nash62,36457.4811.2641.530.0039.110.008.10LABLAB
128Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch EastGregg McClymont64,03764.2610.9540.600.0040.270.008.17LABLAB
127Glasgow CentralAnas Sarwar60,06250.9110.4335.400.0038.302.6213.26LABNAT
137InverclydeDavid Cairns59,20963.3615.0639.340.0036.410.009.19LABLAB
146Glasgow North WestJohn Robertson60,96858.3613.2537.430.0035.680.0013.64LABLAB
145Glasgow SouthTom Harris65,02961.6614.3635.090.0038.060.0012.49LABNAT
155Paisley and Renfrewshire NorthJames Sheridan63,70468.6117.3737.400.0036.160.009.07LABLAB
154Dundee WestJames McGovern63,01358.9212.1831.840.0046.510.009.46LABNAT
154Kilmarnock and LoudounCathy Jamieson74,13162.8016.6135.920.0041.050.006.43LABNAT
154East Kilbride, Strathaven and LesmahagowMichael McCann76,53466.5715.6934.880.0039.750.009.67LABNAT
154Dunfermline and West FifeThomas Docherty73,76966.3511.1029.639.1237.440.0012.71LABNAT
154Linlithgow and East FalkirkMichael Connarty80,90763.5914.9533.200.0043.960.007.89LABNAT
154LivingstonGraeme Morrice75,92463.1013.6031.830.0043.390.0011.18LABNAT
154Glasgow NorthAnn McKechin51,41657.5911.2527.896.8637.810.0016.19LABNAT
154Lanark and Hamilton EastJimmy Hood74,77362.2617.8433.340.0038.580.0010.24LABNAT
154FalkirkEric Joyce81,86962.0213.9729.080.0047.210.009.74LABNAT
154MidlothianDavid Hamilton61,38763.9315.3230.390.0041.880.0012.41LABNAT
154Ayrshire North and ArranKaty Clark74,95361.5318.3630.780.0042.740.008.12LABNAT
154Edinburgh EastSheila Gilmore60,94165.4214.6126.810.0043.115.1010.36LABNAT
154Aberdeen NorthFrank Doran64,80858.1715.9727.790.0044.400.0011.83LABNAT
154Na h-Eileanan An Iar (Western Isles)Angus MacNeil22,26666.106.8516.250.0060.849.596.46NATNAT
154Ayrshire CentralBrian Donohoe68,35264.2523.2831.080.0037.020.008.62LABNAT
154East LothianFiona O'Donnell73,43866.9423.0727.960.0037.120.0011.85LABNAT
154Ayr Carrick and CumnockSandra Osborne73,32062.5928.1930.510.0034.350.006.95LABNAT
154Edinburgh North and LeithMark Lazarowicz69,20468.4319.2520.848.3636.152.2413.17LABNAT
164Renfrewshire EastJim Murphy66,24977.2633.0534.150.0025.140.007.66LABLAB
163Dundee EastStewart Hosie65,47161.9618.0016.720.0054.960.0010.31NATNAT
163Edinburgh South WestAlistair Darling66,35968.5127.7926.210.0033.980.0012.02LABNAT
163Ochil and South PerthshireGordon Banks75,11567.1923.3521.280.0045.280.0010.09LABNAT
163StirlingAnne McGuire66,08070.8927.2125.130.0036.880.0010.78LABNAT
163Dunbartonshire EastJo Swinson63,79575.1619.9917.5111.3038.260.0012.94LIBNAT
163Aberdeen SouthAnne Begg64,03167.2124.7919.915.0737.010.0013.22LABNAT
173Dumfries and GallowayRussell Brown74,58169.9534.2329.280.0028.330.008.16LABCON
172Edinburgh SouthIan Murray59,35473.8025.8818.118.4734.210.0013.32LABNAT
172Caithness Sutherland and Easter RossJohn Thurso47,25760.8817.627.9912.9347.560.0013.90LIBNAT
172Inverness Nairn Badenoch and StrathspeyDanny Alexander72,52864.9217.915.4812.5346.920.0017.17LIBNAT
172Orkney and ShetlandAlistair Carmichael33,08558.4715.141.8025.3839.180.0018.50LIBNAT
172Ross Skye and LochaberCharles Kennedy51,83667.2116.872.5519.7343.740.0017.11LIBNAT
172Edinburgh WestMichael Crockart65,16171.2827.5611.119.6340.190.0011.51LIBNAT
172GordonMalcolm Bruce73,42066.4323.073.499.6949.250.0014.50LIBNAT
172Argyll and ButeAlan Reid67,16567.3128.236.107.0244.900.0013.74LIBNAT
172Fife North EastSir Menzies Campbell62,96963.6226.232.8914.7141.820.0014.34LIBNAT
172MorayAngus Robertson65,92562.2028.992.880.0057.780.0010.35NATNAT
182Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and TweeddaleDavid Mundell66,62768.8841.7612.280.0033.700.0012.26CONCON
181Perth and North PerthshirePeter Wishart72,14166.9133.192.770.0055.970.008.07NATNAT
181AngusMichael Weir62,86360.3933.482.910.0055.360.008.25NATNAT
181Banff and BuchanEilidh Whiteford64,30059.8233.132.360.0055.720.008.79NATNAT
181Aberdeenshire West and KincardineSir Robert Smith66,11068.3634.212.3011.1339.990.0012.37LIBNAT
191Berwickshire, Roxburgh and SelkirkMichael Moore73,82666.3937.711.7215.3333.430.0011.81LIBCON

http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/ojn7yf80q4/YG-Archive-Pol-Sun-results-251114.pdf 

No comments:

Post a comment

Comment is open to all feel free to link to this blog.