The Campaign PollsA total of thirteen country-wide polls were published in Scotland during the campaign. The graph below suggests dramatic shifts in party support - but it seems likely that these changes are almost entirely the result of methodoIogical differences between the pollsters.System 3 publish their unadjusted data and since 1992 have tended to give Labour slightly higher support and the Conservatives a slightly lower rating than ICM and NOP's adjusted figures.
Conservative: Conservative support dropped during the campaign. ICM consistently reported the highest rating for the party during April - at around 20%. Even on the best analysis, however, the Conservatives were on a lower figure than in the run-up to the last election when they achieved consistent ratings in the low 20s. The party went on to win 25.7% of the vote in Scotland at the 1992 election.
SNP: The poll ratings for the SNP were roughly the same as in 1992 at around a quarter of the vote. At the last election, when the party won 21.5% of the vote, the polls may have slightly overstated their support.
Liberal Democrats: The Liberal Democrats picked up a little during the campaign according to ICM and NOP - at around 10%. System 3 put them at 9% - the same level as at the start. In the end the party won slightly less support, 13%, than in 1992, when it won 13.1%.
in 1997 there were 72 seats opposed to the 59 we have now
Labour won 56
Regions - Scotland
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Thursday, 23 April 2015
A role reversal SNP/LABOUR in Scotland since 1997
at 6:35 am