Tuesday 14 April 2015

The Liberal Democrat Battleground by Sam Beesley

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Previous posts from Sam Beesley

10 Seats UKIP will be hoping to win
10 Rural Seats Labour will need to win

Here is the Lib Dem one.

The Liberal Democrat Battleground

This table shows the Liberal Democrat predicted outcomes in many marginals. The seats have been categorised by likelihood. The categories are:

Seats where the Lib Dems are:

Very Likely To Win

Strong Contenders (likely to gain/hold but loss must be considered)

Moderate Contenders (could go either way, but loss generally more likely)

Able But Unlikely To Win (likely to lose but gain/hold possible)

Outsiders (will not win)

Very Likely To Win Strong Contenders To Win Moderate Contenders To Win Able But Unlikely To Win Outsiders 
Bath Bermondsey and Southwark Aberdeenshire West Burnley Argyll and Bute 
Cheltenham Birmingham Yardley Berwickshire and Roxburgh Chippenham Bradford East 
Colchester Brecon and Radnorshire Berwick upon Tweed Dunbartonshire East Brent Central 
Hazel Grove Cambridge Bristol West Edinburgh West Dorset Mid and Poole North 
Lewes Carshalton and Wallington Caithness and Easter Ross Portsmouth South Gordon 
Norfolk North Ceredigion Cardiff Central St Austell and Newquay Inverness and Nairn 
Southport Cheadle Ceredigion Manchester Withington 
Thornbury and Yate Eastbourne Cornwall North Norwich South 
Westmorland and Lonsdale Eastleigh Devon North Redcar 
Yeovil Kingston and Surbiton Fife North East Solihull 
Leeds North West Hornsey and Wood Green Somerton and Frome 
Orkney and Shetland Taunton Deane Camborne and Redruth 
Ross Skye and Lochaber Wells Dorset West 
Sheffield Hallam St Albans Harrogate and Knaresborough 
St Ives Watford Maidstone and The Weald 
Torbay Montgomeryshire 
Twickenham Newton Abbot 
Truro and Falmouth 
York Outer 
Edinburgh South 
Hull North 
Oldham East and Saddleworth 
Sheffield Central 
Swansea West 

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