Monday, 6 April 2015

Latest LIVE Electoral Calculus Prediction for the UK GENERAL ELECTION 2015

Current Prediction: Labour short 40 of majority

Party2010 Votes2010 SeatsPred VotesPred Seats
CON37.0%30733.4%275
LAB29.7%25832.3%286
LIB23.6%579.5%17
UKIP3.2%013.9%2
Green1.0%15.0%1
SNP1.7%63.8%48
PlaidC0.6%30.6%3
Minor3.4%01.6%0
N.Ire 18 18
Prediction based on opinion polls from 08 Mar 2015 to 04 Apr 2015, sampling 16,372 people.

Probability of possible outcomes

Labour majority
23%
Conservative majority
19%
Lab/Nat coalition
14%
Con/Nat coalition
13%
Lab choice of Lib/Nat
11%
Nat choice of Con/Lab
10%
Con choice of Lib/Nat
9%
No overall control
2%
The future is never certain. But using our advanced modelling techniques, we can estimate the probability of the various possible outcomes at the next general election.

No comments:

Post a comment

Comment is open to all feel free to link to this blog.