Friday 12 December 2014

Council by election results 11th December

Lincolnshire, Stamford North - UKIP gain from Independent

Party  2014 votes     2014 share     since 2013     since 2009     since 2005
UKIP        400       31.5%from nowherefrom nowherefrom nowhere
Labour        268       21.1%       +0.1%       +6.9%     -13.4%
Conservative        261       20.6%     -11.1%     -11.6%     -16.6%
Lincolnshire Independent          199       15.7%from nowherefrom nowherefrom nowhere
Liberal Democrat        142       11.2%from nowhere       -8.0%      -9.1% 
Independent  

     -47.4%     -34.4%       -8.1%
Total votes       1,270
       78%        56%        34%

Swing not meaningful

Sunderland, Washington East - Labour hold

Party  2014 B votes     2014 B share     since 2014    since 2012     since 2011     since 2010   
Labour          775       38.3%       -3.0%     -18.1%     -15.5%       -6.6%
Conservative          595       29.4%       +4.2%       +5.3%       -4.0%       -2.3%
UKIP          506       25.0%       -1.1%     +14.7%     +17.9%from nowhere
Green            93         4.6%from nowhere       -0.5%from nowherefrom nowhere
Liberal Democrat              52         2.6%       -2.2%       -1.3%       -3.0%     -16.1%
TUSAC

       -2.5%


BNP




       -4.5%
Total votes         2,021
         67%        66%        56%         38%

Swing Labour to Conservative 3.6% since May 2014, ~12% since 2012, ~6% since 2011 and ~2% since 2010

Windsor & Maidenhead, Cox Green - Conservative hold

Party  2014 votes     2014 share   since 2011 "top"since 2011 "average"since 2007 "top"since 2007 "average"
Conservative        738       50.7%         -2.2%            -1.7%       +13.9%          +16.0%
Liberal Democrat          315       21.6%       -10.8%          -11.3%       -19.8%          -21.5%
UKIP        278       19.1%  from nowhere     from nowhere  from nowhere     from nowhere
Labour        124         8.5%         -1.0%            -0.7%         +2.7%            +3.1%
BNP

         -5.0%            -5.3%       -15.9%          -16.8%
Total votes        1,455
          52%             55%           59%              62%

Swing Liberal Democrat to Conservative ~4½% since 2011 and ~18% since 2007

Argyll & Bute, South Kintyre - SNP hold
- based on first preference votes

Party  2014 votes     2014 share     since 2012     since 2007   
SNP        942       62.2%      +37.2%     +40.8%
Liberal Democrat           214       14.1%       -0.1%        -0.1%
Conservative        203       13.4%     -32.5%     -34.3%
Labour        156       10.3%   from nowhere       -4.0%
Independents  

     -14.9%
Solidarity


       -2.4%
Total votes    1,515
        61%        49%

Swing Conservative to SNP ~35% since 2012 and 37½% since 2007

Broxtowe, Toton & Chilwell Meadows - Conservative hold

Party  2014 votes     2014 share     since 2012 B   since 2011 "top"since 2011 "average"  since 2009 B   since 2007 "top"since 2007 "average"
Conservative          952      54.5%       +6.9%         +5.8%            +5.5%        -2.2%         +6.2%            +6.7%
Labour        454      26.0%       +3.9%         -3.5%            -3.7%      +10.5%       +11.8%          +11.7%
UKIP        340      19.5%       +6.4%         +9.8%            +9.4%from nowhere       +14.3%          +14.1%
Liberal Democrats  

      -17.2%       -12.0%          -11.2%      -24.7%       -25.1%          -25.2%
BNP




        -3.0%         -7.1%            -7.3%
Total votes     1,746
       100%           56%             58%         92%          61%             62%

Swing Labour to Conservative 1½% since 2012 by-election and ~4½% since 2011 but Conservative to Labour ~4% since 2009 by-election and ~2½% since 2007

Carmarthenshire, Trelech - Plaid Cymru gain from Independent

Party  2014 votes     2014 share     since 2012     since 2008   
Plaid Cymru         598       68.3%     +33.6%     +36.6%
Independent         181       20.7%from nowherefrom nowhere
Liberal Democrat           96       11.0%       -3.4%from nowhere
Previous Independent   

     -50.9%     -68.2%
Total votes         875
       95%        91%

Swing not meaningful

Aylesbury Vale, Gatehouse - Liberal Democrat hold

Party  2014 votes     2014 share   since 2011 "top"since 2011 "average"since 2007 "top"since 2007 "average"
Liberal Democrat          295       35.6%         -5.9%            -6.1%       -20.7%          -21.1%
UKIP        267       32.2%       +15.2%          +15.3%       +19.3%          +18.7%
Conservative        113       13.6%         -9.2%            -8.2%       -17.1%          -16.1%
Labour        113       13.6%         -5.0%            -5.7%  from nowhere     from nowhere
Green          28         3.4%  from nowhere  from nowhere  from nowhere     from nowhere
Independent          12         1.4%  from nowhere  from nowhere  from nowhere     from nowhere
Total votes       828
          55%              58%           68%             71%

Swing Liberal Democrat to UKIP ~10½% since 2011 and ~20% since 2007

Aylesbury Vale, Southcourt - Liberal Democrat gain from Labour

Party  2014 votes     2014 share   since 2011 "top"since 2011 "average"since 2007 "top"since 2007 "average"
Liberal Democrat           429       42.3%         +6.3%            +7.4%         -7.9%            -6.6%
UKIP         266       26.2%       +12.1%          +11.9%       +13.9%          +12.6%
Labour         175       17.2%       -12.2%          -13.6%         +1.0%            +2.8%
Conservative         112       11.0%         -9.4%            -8.8%       -10.2%          -12.1%
Green           33         3.3%  from nowhere     from nowhere  from nowhere     from nowhere
Total votes     1,015
          68%             75%           72%              80%

Swing Liberal Democrat to UKIP ~2½% since 2011 and ~10% since 2007

Halton, Kingsway - Labour hold

Party  2014 B votes     2014 B share     since 2014  since 2012     since 2011     since 2010
Labour         537         73.2%       -2.4%     -17.1%  unopposedfrom nowhere
UKIP         164         22.3%       -2.1%from nowhere
from nowhere
Conservative           22           3.0%from nowherefrom nowhere
     -40.1%
Liberal Democrat             11           1.5%from nowhere       -8.2%
     -19.0%
Green




     -36.4%
Total votes         734
        63%        78%
        34%

Negligible swing Labour to UKIP since May 2014 otherwise not meaningful

New Forest, Bransgore & Burley - Conservative hold

Party  2014 votes     2014 share   since 2011 "top"since 2011 "average"since 2007 "top"since 2007 "average"
Conservative          834       77.3%       +11.3%          +12.9%        +27.0%          +28.6%
UKIP        171       15.8%  from nowhere     from nowhere  from nowhere     from nowhere
Labour          74         6.9%         -7.4%            -8.1%  from nowhere     from nowhere
Liberal Democrat  

       -19.8%          -20.7%       -16.2%          -16.7%
Independent



       -33.5%         -34.6%
Total votes    1,079
          40%              42%           41%             42%

Swing not particularly meaningful

1 comment:

  1. It's a sign of the decline of the Lib Dems that their once-vaunted ALDC organisation is still (at 11.00am) stuck on December 4th's results on its website whereas you had all these highly detailed figures available by 7.12am!

    ReplyDelete

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