Tuesday 10 March 2015

GE2015 Prediction from Electoral Calculus


Labour short 27 of majority

Party2010 Votes2010 SeatsPred VotesPred Seats
CON37.0%30732.6%266
LAB29.7%25833.6%299
LIB23.6%578.2%16
UKIP3.2%014.2%1
Green1.0%16.3%1
SNP1.7%63.7%46
PlaidC0.6%30.6%3
Minor3.4%00.8%0
N.Ire 18 18
Prediction based on opinion polls from 08 Feb 2015 to 08 Mar 2015, sampling 10,994 people. 

Probability of possible outcomes

Labour majority
33%
Lab/Nat coalition
16%
Conservative majority
14%
Nat choice of Con/Lab
12%
Con/Nat coalition
10%
Lab choice of Lib/Nat
9%
Con choice of Lib/Nat
5%
No overall control
1%
The future is never certain. But using our advanced modelling techniques, we can estimate the probability of the various possible outcomes at the next general election.

Source >>>  http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/homepage.html


1 submit to reddit

No comments:

Post a Comment

Comment is open to all feel free to link to this blog.