Monday, 30 March 2015

Latest #GE2015 Forecast by ElectionForecast.co.uk

Our model combines data provided by YouGov with all publicly released national and constituency polls, historical election results, and data from the UK Census. Daily updates to the website are posted by Jack Blumenau, London School of Economics, most recently on 30 March 2015. To read commentary on the election using these forecasts, follow Election4castUK on Twitter. If you would like to give us feedback on this forecast, please email us at
Party Lo Seats Hi Swing
Conservatives 240 282 321 -24
Labour 239 281 328 23
SNP 21 36 51 30
Liberal Democrats 18 27 36 -30
DUP 7 8 10 -1
Plaid Cymru 1 3 5 0
SDLP 1 3 3 0
Greens 0 1 1 0
UKIP 0 1 1 1
Other 7 8 10 1
Seat-by-seat predictions based on the party predicted to be most likely to win each seat.

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