Friday, 27 March 2015

UK General Election 2015 Forecast from ElectionForecast.co.uk

Our model combines data provided by YouGov with all publicly released national and constituency polls, historical election results, and data from the UK Census. Daily updates to the website are posted by Jack Blumenau, London School of Economics, most recently on 27 March 2015. To read commentary on the election using these forecasts, follow Election4castUK on Twitter. If you would like to give us feedback on this forecast, please email us at
Party Lo Seats Hi Swing
Conservatives 242 283 323 -23
Labour 238 280 326 22
SNP 22 38 51 32
Liberal Democrats 17 26 35 -31
DUP 7 8 10 -1
SDLP 1 3 3 0
Plaid Cymru 1 2 4 -1
UKIP 0 1 2 1
Greens 0 1 1 0
Other 7 8 10 1
Seat-by-seat predictions based on the party predicted to be most likely to win each seat.

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