Wednesday 28 May 2014

HOW CLOSE WERE THE OPINION POLLSTERS?

So now the Euros elections have been held the % were

UKIP 27.5%
LABOUR 25.4%
CONSERVATIVES 23.9%
GREENS 7.9%
LIBDEMS 6.9%
OTHERS 8.4%

When calculating the % out it works outs as so.

tns-bmrb 13.4 faults but you could add 10 penalty faults as they didn't give a green %
Survation 14.4 faults
Comres 15.2 faults
Opinium  17.4 faults
Yougov 19.6 faults plus 10 faults for having wrong winner

Each is to a link from the pollster

Survation euro poll

  • UKIP 32 LAB 27 CON 23 LD 9 GRN 4 AP 7

Opinium euro poll

 UKIP 31% LABOUR 29% CONSERVATIVES 20% GREENS 5% LIBDEMS 5% Others 10%

TNS - BMRB euro poll

UKIP 31% LABOUR 28% CONSERVATIVES 21% LIBDEMS 7% OTHERS 13%

YOUGOV euro poll

LABOUR 28% UKIP 24% CONSERVATIVES 21% GREENS 12% LIBDEMS 10% OTHERS 5%

COMRES EURO polling

UKIP 33% Labour 27% Conservative 20% LibDems 7% Greens 6% Others 7%

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