Professor Leighton Vaughan Williams 2015 UK Election Forecast

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The 2015 UK Election Forecast, produced by Professor Leighton Vaughan Williams, Director of the Political Forecasting Unit at Nottingham Business School, will be updated at least once every day up to and including Election Day, May 7.

Friday, May 1, 10.30am

Conservative 283 (inc. Speaker)

Labour 266

SNP 49

Lib Dem 26

UKIP 3

Green 1

Plaid Cymru 3

DUP 9

Sinn Fein 5

SDLP 3

Others 2

Total = 650

The 2015 UK Election Forecast uses a weighted combination of a range of variables, including adjusted polling analysis and a number of market-based predictors.

SOURCE http://leightonvw.com/2015-uk-election-forecast/