Well when I first started checking the stats I thought this was going to show relatively the same results as last month. UKIP are still number one and they have the most visitors coming to their site compared with all the other UK political parties. UKIP,LABOUR & the BNP had slipped down ALEXA ranking.
Then the Conservatives were the first to buck the trend seeing their ranking go up and by next month I would expect them to over take the BNP. Then the first surprise, The Green Party have double their position on ALEXA meaning they are getting a lot more traffic enough to over take the LibDems who have seen a drop in traffic. PLAID CYMRU have seen a big jump as 4 parties return from the wilderness of being just ranked globally to having enough visitors to be ranked by country.. They are PLAID CYMRU.SINN FEIN, NHA PARTY & the biggest climber this month the TUSC.
Now the TUSC rise seems phenomenal, only 2 months ago they had so little traffic it could not be found data for. Last month they joined the global ranking and this month they have shot up 7 places and have enough traffic to be counted by country. Wonder what is behind the rise in visitors to them?
In the lower leagues, Party of Cornwall have seen an increase of 4 million places in the alexa global ranking but not enough to make a break through. The Wessex Regionalists drop out of the rankings altogether after having a blip of traffic due to the Eastleigh by election. Justice 4 men take a more sedate climb up the polls now going past the LOONY's & ALLIANCE PARTY.
(The alexa ranking is decided by how many visitors a site gets the more visitors the site gets the higher your ranking. The number next to the party is their ranking compared to other websites in the UK)
UK ALEXA RANKING
1 (1) UKIP 6,232
2 (2) LABOUR 6,433
3 (3) BNP 8,119
4 (4) CONSERVATIVES 10,603
5 (6) THE GREEN PARTY 11,542
6 (5) LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 18,125
7 (7) SNP 36,897
8 (10) PLAID CYMRU 117,026
9 (8) RESPECT 126,069
10 (12) NHA PARTY 162,506
11 (18) TUSC 201,657
12 (9) SINN FEIN 228.036
GLOBAL
ENGLISH DEMOCRATS 3,116,519
JUSTICE 4 MEN & BOYS PARTY 5,038,686
THE LOONY PARTY 5,384,494
ALLIANCE PARTY 6,492,399
ULSTER UNIONIST PARTY 7,496,987
MEBYON KERNOW - THE PARTY OF CORNWALL 9,305,280
THE CHRISTIAN PARTY 11,432,745
UK GENERAL ELECTION 2015 16,394,144
NO DATA SECTION
WESSEX REGIONALISTS NO DATA
PEOPLES DEMOCRATIC PARTY OF GREAT BRITAIN NO DATA
NEWCASTLE FIRST NO DATA
APRIL 2013 POLITICAL POP CHART
MARCH 2013 POLITICAL POP CHART
Tuesday 30 April 2013
JUST HOW STRONG IS THE LABOUR VOTE?
SOURCE
It is interesting to see the answers to some of the questions set by YOU GOV and is straight out of a scene from Yes Minister. Ask someone a question of, do you not like what the Tories are doing? You get a high response against them from Labour voters. Obviously because it is like asking a City fan what they think of United. But when you ask them about their own party, then it becomes more interesting. Much like that home team fan they will always find something to moan about or not agree with. But it seems that Labour has the least strength in its own vote compared to the Conservatives as they disagree with their own party more often.
So first question. Do you disapprove of the governments record? (do you hate the team across the way question)
LABOUR VOTERS 92% DISAPPROVED (SHOCK HORROR) AND THOUGHT TORIES WERE DOING A BAD JOB 77% OF TORIES THOUGHT THAT TORIES WERE DOING A GOOD JOB. NO SURPRISES YET THEN.
The next series of questions were giving the responder a list of problems with the country and which party you felt would deal with them the best.
So the figures I will put is where the supporter of that party chooses their own party so for instance 73% of Tory voters think the Tories are best for the NHS and so on.
NHS
CON 73% LAB 86% LIBDEMS 54% UKIP 34%
IMMIGRATION
CON 71% LAB 44% LIBDEMS 53% UKIP 78%
LAW & ORDER
CON 83% LAB 68% LIBDEMS 55% UKIP 54%
EDUCATION
CON 77% LAB 78% LIBDEMS 64% UKIP 31%
TAXATION
CON 78% LAB 70% LIBDEMS 60% UKIP 38%
UNEMPLOYMENT
CON 72% LAB 74% LIBDEMS 52% UKIP 41%
ECONOMY IN GENERAL
CON 84% LAB 70% LIBDEMS 54% UKIP 40%
EUROPE
CON 70% LAB 56% LIBDEMS 61% UKIP 80%
Now for the Conservatives they stay consistent with their own support never falling below 70% from their own voters. Labour however do fall as low as 44% with their own voters. Now this does give an in to other parties and with having UKIP doing so well on the matters that Labour are not thought as doing well by their own voters then that could open up problems for Labour. The one thing Labour can console themselves with is that LIBDEM voters turn to LABOUR over a lot of issues and are likely to gain more support on these issues than they will lose on others to other parties. As for the LIBDEMS they have to see why even their own voters have such a constant low opinion of them. With UKIP needing to branch out their ideas and making themselves not just a one trick pony.
What are your thoughts?
It is interesting to see the answers to some of the questions set by YOU GOV and is straight out of a scene from Yes Minister. Ask someone a question of, do you not like what the Tories are doing? You get a high response against them from Labour voters. Obviously because it is like asking a City fan what they think of United. But when you ask them about their own party, then it becomes more interesting. Much like that home team fan they will always find something to moan about or not agree with. But it seems that Labour has the least strength in its own vote compared to the Conservatives as they disagree with their own party more often.
So first question. Do you disapprove of the governments record? (do you hate the team across the way question)
LABOUR VOTERS 92% DISAPPROVED (SHOCK HORROR) AND THOUGHT TORIES WERE DOING A BAD JOB 77% OF TORIES THOUGHT THAT TORIES WERE DOING A GOOD JOB. NO SURPRISES YET THEN.
The next series of questions were giving the responder a list of problems with the country and which party you felt would deal with them the best.
So the figures I will put is where the supporter of that party chooses their own party so for instance 73% of Tory voters think the Tories are best for the NHS and so on.
NHS
CON 73% LAB 86% LIBDEMS 54% UKIP 34%
IMMIGRATION
CON 71% LAB 44% LIBDEMS 53% UKIP 78%
LAW & ORDER
CON 83% LAB 68% LIBDEMS 55% UKIP 54%
EDUCATION
CON 77% LAB 78% LIBDEMS 64% UKIP 31%
TAXATION
CON 78% LAB 70% LIBDEMS 60% UKIP 38%
UNEMPLOYMENT
CON 72% LAB 74% LIBDEMS 52% UKIP 41%
ECONOMY IN GENERAL
CON 84% LAB 70% LIBDEMS 54% UKIP 40%
EUROPE
CON 70% LAB 56% LIBDEMS 61% UKIP 80%
Now for the Conservatives they stay consistent with their own support never falling below 70% from their own voters. Labour however do fall as low as 44% with their own voters. Now this does give an in to other parties and with having UKIP doing so well on the matters that Labour are not thought as doing well by their own voters then that could open up problems for Labour. The one thing Labour can console themselves with is that LIBDEM voters turn to LABOUR over a lot of issues and are likely to gain more support on these issues than they will lose on others to other parties. As for the LIBDEMS they have to see why even their own voters have such a constant low opinion of them. With UKIP needing to branch out their ideas and making themselves not just a one trick pony.
What are your thoughts?
YOU GOV POLLING
SOURCE
Well it seems the thing to do, dissect the polling results. So here goes.
CON 30%, LAB 39%, LD 11%, UKIP 14%; APP -35 is the headline rate.
But lets look deeper. This May there won't be any elections in London Or Scotland. so lets discount those regions.
Rest of the South of England.
CON 37% LABOUR 24% UKIP 20% LIBDEMS 14%
North of England (yet again if they were polling we could do with at least one for Southshields or a split East & West)
LABOUR 48% CON 23% UKIP 16% LIBDEMS 6%
Midlands & Wales (Same again just one election in Wales for Anglesey, So could do with a split between Wales & Midlands)
LABOUR 41% CON 31% UKIP 14% LIBDEMS 12%
So if you wanted to be simplistic and take the average of those three percentages it would give you
LABOUR 37.6% CON 30.3% UKIP 16.6% LIBDEMS 10.6%
Obviously it would be affected by how many were questioned for each region but it would be interesting to have a poll from just the regions which can vote this Thursday and I think if such a poll was produced you would see quite different figures.
At a guess something like
LABOUR 32% CON 28% UKIP 23% LIBDEMS 9%
But that's me having an educated guess and obviously the main three parties don't want to give confidence to the waifs and strays out there.
Well it seems the thing to do, dissect the polling results. So here goes.
CON 30%, LAB 39%, LD 11%, UKIP 14%; APP -35 is the headline rate.
But lets look deeper. This May there won't be any elections in London Or Scotland. so lets discount those regions.
Rest of the South of England.
CON 37% LABOUR 24% UKIP 20% LIBDEMS 14%
North of England (yet again if they were polling we could do with at least one for Southshields or a split East & West)
LABOUR 48% CON 23% UKIP 16% LIBDEMS 6%
Midlands & Wales (Same again just one election in Wales for Anglesey, So could do with a split between Wales & Midlands)
LABOUR 41% CON 31% UKIP 14% LIBDEMS 12%
So if you wanted to be simplistic and take the average of those three percentages it would give you
LABOUR 37.6% CON 30.3% UKIP 16.6% LIBDEMS 10.6%
Obviously it would be affected by how many were questioned for each region but it would be interesting to have a poll from just the regions which can vote this Thursday and I think if such a poll was produced you would see quite different figures.
At a guess something like
LABOUR 32% CON 28% UKIP 23% LIBDEMS 9%
But that's me having an educated guess and obviously the main three parties don't want to give confidence to the waifs and strays out there.
SOUTHSHIELDS BETTING
http://www.oddschecker.com/politics-and-election/south-shields-by-election/to-lose-deposit
Seems there have been two movements in the market. Labour has moved to 1/50 on with a lot of the bookies to win. I am guessing as the first lot of postal votes come in the information has leaked out.
But another mover is for the Tories to lose their deposit which is now down from 7/2 to 15/8 Libdems down from 5/6 ro 4/6 Not much faith in the betting markets for these two parties. According to the betting market. South Shields result will be Labour win then UKIP 2nd with Mr Ahmed 3rd.
Seems there have been two movements in the market. Labour has moved to 1/50 on with a lot of the bookies to win. I am guessing as the first lot of postal votes come in the information has leaked out.
But another mover is for the Tories to lose their deposit which is now down from 7/2 to 15/8 Libdems down from 5/6 ro 4/6 Not much faith in the betting markets for these two parties. According to the betting market. South Shields result will be Labour win then UKIP 2nd with Mr Ahmed 3rd.
Monday 29 April 2013
PROJECTED NATIONAL VOTE FOR COUNCIL ELECTIONS
Sometimes the best place to find information is on the betting markets. There is at present a betting market set up for the projected national vote for this Thursdays council elections. Here it is as follows.
CONSERVATIVES 28.5% (16.65% think Tories will get under 83.33% think over)
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 15.5% (nobody has bet either way on that one)
LABOUR 37.5% (nobody has bet either way on that one either)
This does leave 18.5%
Its annoying but as of yet they don't have one set up for UKIP they do however have one set up for seats won.
less than 50 (61.54% of punters think will happen)
50-100 gains (7.69% of punters think will happen)
100 plus gains (30.77% of punters think will happen)
You can still only get evens with Ladbrokes that a current sitting MP will defect to UKIP.
Also most popular bet for SOUTHSHIELDS is that UKIP will get between 20 to 29.99% of the vote.
CONSERVATIVES 28.5% (16.65% think Tories will get under 83.33% think over)
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS 15.5% (nobody has bet either way on that one)
LABOUR 37.5% (nobody has bet either way on that one either)
This does leave 18.5%
Its annoying but as of yet they don't have one set up for UKIP they do however have one set up for seats won.
less than 50 (61.54% of punters think will happen)
50-100 gains (7.69% of punters think will happen)
100 plus gains (30.77% of punters think will happen)
You can still only get evens with Ladbrokes that a current sitting MP will defect to UKIP.
Also most popular bet for SOUTHSHIELDS is that UKIP will get between 20 to 29.99% of the vote.
Sunday 28 April 2013
WAIFS AND STRAYS
Ken Clarke mentions that fringe parties have problems with waifs and strays maybe you should mention the 11 elected MPs who have been jailed.
source
Ken Clarke, minister without portfolio, added fuel to the row in an interview with Sky News.
He said: "They of course have not been able to vet their candidates. Fringe right parties do tend to collect a number of waifs and strays.
SOURCE
With Chris Huhne’s sentencing for perverting the course of justice over swapping speeding points with his ex-wife Vicky Pryce, we look at ten other politicians who did time in jail.
10 Former cabinet minister Jonathan Aitken was convicted of perjury and perverting the course of justice in 1999. The former Tory MP received an 18-month prison sentence. The sentencing judge told him he had spun a ‘web of deceit’.
9 Jeffrey Archer was convicted of perjury and perverting the course of justice during a 1987 libel case. The novelist and former Tory MP was jailed for four years in 2001.
8 Tory peer Lord Hanningfield was jailed for nine months in 2011 after being convicted of falsely claiming nearly £14,000 in parliamentary expenses. The former Essex County Council leader spent just nine weeks in prison.
7 David Chaytor, ex-Labour MP for Bury North, was jailed for 18 months in 2011 after pleading guilty to fraudulently claiming more than £20,000 in expenses.
6 Former Conservative politician Lord Taylor of Warwick was jailed for 12 months in 2011 after falsely claiming £11,277 in travel costs.
5 Elliot Morley, former Labour MP for Scunthorpe, was sentenced to 16 months imprisonment in 2011 after claiming more than £30,000 in false mortgage payments.
4 Ex-Labour MP for Livingston Jim Devine was sentenced to 16 months in 2011 after submitting false invoices totalling £8,385.
3 Eric Illsley, former Labour MP for Barnsley Central, was jailed for a year in 2011 after pleading guilty to £14,000 of fraudulent expenses.
2 Labour minister John Stonehouse faced 18 charges of theft, forgery and conspiracy to commit insurance fraud in 1976. He served three years of his seven-year sentence.
1 Horatio Bottomley, an independent MP for Hackney South in 1918, was convicted of fraud in 1922 and sentenced to seven years in prison.
source
Ken Clarke, minister without portfolio, added fuel to the row in an interview with Sky News.
He said: "They of course have not been able to vet their candidates. Fringe right parties do tend to collect a number of waifs and strays.
SOURCE
With Chris Huhne’s sentencing for perverting the course of justice over swapping speeding points with his ex-wife Vicky Pryce, we look at ten other politicians who did time in jail.
10 Former cabinet minister Jonathan Aitken was convicted of perjury and perverting the course of justice in 1999. The former Tory MP received an 18-month prison sentence. The sentencing judge told him he had spun a ‘web of deceit’.
9 Jeffrey Archer was convicted of perjury and perverting the course of justice during a 1987 libel case. The novelist and former Tory MP was jailed for four years in 2001.
8 Tory peer Lord Hanningfield was jailed for nine months in 2011 after being convicted of falsely claiming nearly £14,000 in parliamentary expenses. The former Essex County Council leader spent just nine weeks in prison.
7 David Chaytor, ex-Labour MP for Bury North, was jailed for 18 months in 2011 after pleading guilty to fraudulently claiming more than £20,000 in expenses.
6 Former Conservative politician Lord Taylor of Warwick was jailed for 12 months in 2011 after falsely claiming £11,277 in travel costs.
5 Elliot Morley, former Labour MP for Scunthorpe, was sentenced to 16 months imprisonment in 2011 after claiming more than £30,000 in false mortgage payments.
4 Ex-Labour MP for Livingston Jim Devine was sentenced to 16 months in 2011 after submitting false invoices totalling £8,385.
3 Eric Illsley, former Labour MP for Barnsley Central, was jailed for a year in 2011 after pleading guilty to £14,000 of fraudulent expenses.
2 Labour minister John Stonehouse faced 18 charges of theft, forgery and conspiracy to commit insurance fraud in 1976. He served three years of his seven-year sentence.
1 Horatio Bottomley, an independent MP for Hackney South in 1918, was convicted of fraud in 1922 and sentenced to seven years in prison.
SOME YOU GOV POLLING ANALYSIS
SOURCE
I love polls because they are great as fillers between elections and to be honest the only thing that really matters in the political world is votes. What a person says they will do and what they will actually do is two different things.
But all the same it is good as a general consensus and can help at least guide.
Headline rate is CON 31%, LAB 40%, LD 11%, UKIP 11%
But lets delve deeper.
CON 26% (DOWN 5%) LAB 37% (DOWN 3%) LIBDEMS 12% (UP 1%) UKIP 18% (UP 7%)
Much more interesting figures when you delve deeper.
What are your thoughts?
I love polls because they are great as fillers between elections and to be honest the only thing that really matters in the political world is votes. What a person says they will do and what they will actually do is two different things.
But all the same it is good as a general consensus and can help at least guide.
Headline rate is CON 31%, LAB 40%, LD 11%, UKIP 11%
But lets delve deeper.
Do you think Ed Miliband is doing well or badly as leader of the Labour party?
It is hardly surprising but a tory voters amount to 74% saying yes he is doing badly 68% Libdems and 87% of UKIP voters as well. But most surprising of all is that over a quarter of his own parties voters think he is doing a bad job at 28%
Ed Miliband is as popular with his own party as what Nick Clegg is with the Liberal Democrat voter at 64%
David Cameron & Nigel Farage both experience 90% loyalty from their own parties but Farage gets much great respect from other parties voters. With Farages lowest rating for doing a good job being 38% from Labour.
Imagine that in your own constituency at the next election the Conservatives, Labour, Liberal Democrats and UK Independence party all had a realistic chance of winning the seat. How would you vote?
Difference being from headline rate of simply who would you vote for anyway and who would you vote for if you thought they could win.CON 26% (DOWN 5%) LAB 37% (DOWN 3%) LIBDEMS 12% (UP 1%) UKIP 18% (UP 7%)
Much more interesting figures when you delve deeper.
What are your thoughts?
Friday 26 April 2013
A review of council by elections so far this year
Thanks to Middleenglander for allowing his stats to be replicated, He does not endorse this blog though.
There were 52 by-elections in the period January to April 2013 with 15 (29%) changing hands.
* 8 Resident groups contesting 7 seats
** 19 candidates contesting 14 seats.
Conservatives:
- gained Wirral MB, Leasowe & Moreton East from Labour on 17th January
- lost Dudley MB, Wollaston & Stourbridge Town to Labour on 31st January
- lost Wirral MB, Pensby & Thingwall to Labour on 28th February
- lost North Norfolk DC, Cromer Town to Lib Dems on 21st February
- lost Arun DC, Aldwick East to the Lib Dems on 14th March
- lost North Dorset DC, Lodbourne to Lib Dems 21st March
- lost Runnymede BC, Foxhills to UKIP on 14th March
- lost Havering LB, Gooshays to UKIP on 21st March
- lost North Lincolnshire UA, Humberston & New Waltham to UKIP on 4th April
- lost South Staffordshire DC, Perton East to an Independent on 14th February
Labour- in addition to the 2 gains and 1 loss to the Conservatives
- gained South Lanarkshire UA, Rutherglen South from SNP on 14th February
- lost Dacorum BC, Adeyfield West to the Lib Dems on 21st March
- gained Islington LB, Junction from Lib Dems on 21st March
Lib Dems
- in addition to the 3 gains from the Conservatives, 1 gain from Labour and 1 loss to Labour
- gained Chelmsford BC, Broomfield & The Walthams from an Independent on 19th February
SNP
- in addition to the 1 loss to Labour
- lost Moray UA, Heldon & Laich to an Independent on 7th March
UKIP- no other gains apart from the 3 from Conservatives
Independents
- 1 gain from the Conservatives, 1 gain from SNP and 1 loss to the Lib Dems
There were 52 by-elections in the period January to April 2013 with 15 (29%) changing hands.
| Party | Candidates | Defended | Retained | Gained | Lost | Won |
| Conservative | 51 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 8 |
| Labour | 48 | 25 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 27 |
| Lib Dems | 42 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 10 |
| SNP | 3 | 2 | 2 | |||
| Plaid Cymru | 1 | |||||
| BNP | 7 | |||||
| Greens | 20 | |||||
| UKIP | 29 | 3 | 3 | |||
| Resident Groups * | 8 | |||||
| English Democrats | 3 | |||||
| National Front | 1 | |||||
| Socialist Party (GB) | 2 | |||||
| TUSAC | 7 | |||||
| Lewisham PBP | 1 | |||||
| Elvis Party | 1 | |||||
| Independents ** | 19 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| No description | 1 | |||||
| Total | 244 | 52 | 37 | 15 | 15 | 52 |
* 8 Resident groups contesting 7 seats
** 19 candidates contesting 14 seats.
Conservatives:
- gained Wirral MB, Leasowe & Moreton East from Labour on 17th January
- lost Dudley MB, Wollaston & Stourbridge Town to Labour on 31st January
- lost Wirral MB, Pensby & Thingwall to Labour on 28th February
- lost North Norfolk DC, Cromer Town to Lib Dems on 21st February
- lost Arun DC, Aldwick East to the Lib Dems on 14th March
- lost North Dorset DC, Lodbourne to Lib Dems 21st March
- lost Runnymede BC, Foxhills to UKIP on 14th March
- lost Havering LB, Gooshays to UKIP on 21st March
- lost North Lincolnshire UA, Humberston & New Waltham to UKIP on 4th April
- lost South Staffordshire DC, Perton East to an Independent on 14th February
Labour- in addition to the 2 gains and 1 loss to the Conservatives
- gained South Lanarkshire UA, Rutherglen South from SNP on 14th February
- lost Dacorum BC, Adeyfield West to the Lib Dems on 21st March
- gained Islington LB, Junction from Lib Dems on 21st March
Lib Dems
- in addition to the 3 gains from the Conservatives, 1 gain from Labour and 1 loss to Labour
- gained Chelmsford BC, Broomfield & The Walthams from an Independent on 19th February
SNP
- in addition to the 1 loss to Labour
- lost Moray UA, Heldon & Laich to an Independent on 7th March
UKIP- no other gains apart from the 3 from Conservatives
Independents
- 1 gain from the Conservatives, 1 gain from SNP and 1 loss to the Lib Dems
A REVIEW OF APRILS BY-ELECTIONS
Middleenglander keeps a good eye over the stats.
There were 15 by-elections during April with just 1 (7%) changing hands.
* 4 candidates contesting 3 seats.
The only seat to change hands was North Lincolnshire UA, Humberston & New Waltham which UKIP gained from Conservatives
- swing Conservative to UKIP 11% since 2012 and 16% since 2011
as former Parliamentary candidate wins long standing Conservative seat
There were 15 by-elections during April with just 1 (7%) changing hands.
| Party | Candidates | Defended | Retained | Gained | Lost | Won |
| Conservative | 15 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| Labour | 15 | 9 | 9 | 9 | ||
| Lib Dems | 14 | 2 | 2 | 2 | ||
| BNP | 1 | |||||
| Greens | 5 | |||||
| UKIP | 5 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Resident Groups | 3 | |||||
| National Front | 1 | |||||
| TUSAC | 3 | |||||
| Elvis Party | 1 | |||||
| Independents * | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||
| Total | 67 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 15 |
* 4 candidates contesting 3 seats.
The only seat to change hands was North Lincolnshire UA, Humberston & New Waltham which UKIP gained from Conservatives
- swing Conservative to UKIP 11% since 2012 and 16% since 2011
as former Parliamentary candidate wins long standing Conservative seat
ABERDEEN DONSIDE BYELECTION
SOURCE
Mr Adam, who was a Mormon and keen Aberdeen football fan, was briefly a minister for parliamentary business in Alex Salmond's second government.
The death of the father-of-five will trigger a by-election in Aberdeen.
SOURCE
It will be interesting to see if Labour can whittle down the SNP vote.
The Nationalist MSP for Aberdeen Donside, Brian Adam, has died at the age of 64 after a battle with cancer.
The trained biochemist served as a councillor in the north
east of Scotland before being elected to the first Scottish Parliament
in 1999.Mr Adam, who was a Mormon and keen Aberdeen football fan, was briefly a minister for parliamentary business in Alex Salmond's second government.
The death of the father-of-five will trigger a by-election in Aberdeen.
Past Election results
| Scottish Parliament election, 2011: Aberdeen Donside | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
| SNP | Brian Adam | 14,790 | 55.4 | + 10.6 | |
| Labour | Barney Crockett | 7,615 | 28.5 | -3.2 | |
| Conservative | Ross Thomson | 2,166 | 8.1 | +0.6 | |
| Liberal Democrats | Millie McLeod | 1,606 | 6 | -10 | |
| Independent | David Henderson | 317 | 1.2 | +1.2 | |
| National Front | Christopher Willett | 213 | 0.8 | +0.8 | |
| Majority | 7,175 | 26.9 | |||
| Turnout | 26,707 | 47.3 | |||
| SNP hold | Swing | +6.9 | |||
| Scottish Parliament election, 2007 Notional Result: Aberdeen Donside | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
| SNP | 12,165 | 44.8 | |||
| Labour | 8,614 | 31.7 | |||
| Liberal Democrats | 4,340 | 16.0 | |||
| Conservative | 2,027 | 7.5 | |||
| Majority | 3,551 | 13.1 | |||
| SNP hold | Swing | ||||
| Scottish Parliament election, 2007: Aberdeen North | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
| SNP | Brian Adam | 11,406 | 45.8 | +12.3 | |
| Labour | Elaine Thomson | 7,657 | 30.8 | -0.9 | |
| Liberal Democrats | Steve Delaney | 3,836 | 15.4 | -7.6 | |
| Conservative | Carol Garvie | 1,992 | 8.0 | -1.2 | |
| Majority | 3,749 | 15.1 | |||
| Turnout | 24,891 | 48.3 | +1.0 | ||
| SNP hold | Swing | ||||
It will be interesting to see if Labour can whittle down the SNP vote.
LAST NIGHTS RESULTS
Some great analysis of last nights results from middleenglander.
Cheshire East UA, Macclesfield Hurdsfield - Labour hold
Swing Labour to Lib Dems 4½% since 2011 but Lib Dems to Labour 22% since 2007
- Labour to Conservatives 0.7% since 2011 but 14% Conservative to Labour since 2007
Rochdale MB, Norden - Conservative hold
Swing Conservative to Labour 10½% since 2012, 4½% since 2011, little changed since 2010 and 8½% since 2008
- Conservative to Lib Dem 10% since 2012 and 0.8% since 2011 but Lib Dem to Conservative 23% since 2010 and 10% since 2008
Newcastle-upon-Tyne MB, Castle - Lib Dems hold
Swing Lib Dems to Labour 5.4% since 2012, little change since 2011, 8% since 2010 and 20% since 2008
Newcastle-upon-Tyne MB, South Heaton - Labour hold
Swing Labour to Green 5.8% since 2012 and 7.6% since 2011.
- swing Lib Dem to Labour 22% / 23% since 2010 and 2008
Cheshire East UA, Macclesfield Hurdsfield - Labour hold
| Party | 2013 votes | 2013 share | since 2011 | since 2007 |
| Labour | 341 | 36.7% | -9.9% | +17.6% |
| Lib Dems | 239 | 25.8% | -1.0% | -27.0% |
| Conservatives | 168 | 18.1% | -8.5% | -10.0% |
| UKIP | 132 | 14.2% | from nowhere | from nowhere |
| Green | 48 | 5.2% | from nowhere | from nowhere |
| Total votes | 928 | -200 | +60 |
Swing Labour to Lib Dems 4½% since 2011 but Lib Dems to Labour 22% since 2007
- Labour to Conservatives 0.7% since 2011 but 14% Conservative to Labour since 2007
Rochdale MB, Norden - Conservative hold
| Party | 2013 votes | 2013 share | since 2012 | since 2011 | since 2010 | since 2008 |
| Conservatives | 1,081 | 51.2% | -16.3% | -6.0% | +15.0% | +3.2% |
| Labour | 627 | 29.7% | +4.6% | +3.0% | +13.9% | +20.5% |
| Lib Dems | 246 | 11.7% | +4.4% | -4.4% | -30.4% | -17.2% |
| National Front | 156 | 7.4% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere |
| BNP | -6.0% | -13.9% | ||||
| Total votes | 2,110 | -293 | -1,061 | -3,215 | -913 |
Swing Conservative to Labour 10½% since 2012, 4½% since 2011, little changed since 2010 and 8½% since 2008
- Conservative to Lib Dem 10% since 2012 and 0.8% since 2011 but Lib Dem to Conservative 23% since 2010 and 10% since 2008
Newcastle-upon-Tyne MB, Castle - Lib Dems hold
| Party | 2013 votes | 2013 share | since 2012 | since 2011 | since 2010 | since 2008 |
| Lib Dems | 1,165 | 43.7% | -6.2% | -2.0% | -4.9% | -16.2% |
| Labour | 1,043 | 39.2% | +4.6% | -1.1% | +10.8% | +23.8% |
| Newcastle 1st | 215 | 8.1% | +0.1% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere |
| Conservatives | 194 | 7.3% | -0.3% | -6.7% | -6.9% | -17.4% |
| TUSAC | 47 | 1.8% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere |
| BNP | -6.8% | |||||
| Independent | -2.0% | |||||
| Total votes | 2,664 | -205 | -727 | -2,383 | -457 |
Swing Lib Dems to Labour 5.4% since 2012, little change since 2011, 8% since 2010 and 20% since 2008
Newcastle-upon-Tyne MB, South Heaton - Labour hold
| Party | 2013 votes | 2013 share | since 2012 | since 2011 | since 2010 | since 2008 |
| Labour | 798 | 61.2% | -8.2% | -10.5% | +15.1% | +15.1% |
| Green | 205 | 15.7% | +3.4% | +4.7% | +9.2% | +6.5% |
| Lib Dems | 114 | 8.7% | -0.5% | -3.0% | -28.3% | -30.8% |
| TUSAC | 69 | 5.3% | +1.0% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere |
| Conservatives | 52 | 4.0% | -0.7% | -1.6% | -3.7% | -1.2% |
| Newcastle 1st | 44 | 3.4% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere |
| Independent | 22 | 1.7% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere |
| BNP | -2.8% | |||||
| Total votes | 1,304 | -407 | -1,358 | -2,463 | -754 |
Swing Labour to Green 5.8% since 2012 and 7.6% since 2011.
- swing Lib Dem to Labour 22% / 23% since 2010 and 2008
Thursday 25 April 2013
Is it April the First?
I must admit Angela Eagle has managed in one article to attack Thatcher, Di Canio, and fascism whilst then having a side swipe at consumerism all because people don't turn out to vote. One of her ideas is to give out lottery tickets for all those who can be bothered to vote. Considering Labour think giving out less benefit is taxing people I am sure the bribe of a lottery ticket to drag some voters away from Jeremy Kyle is in the same paradoxical world.
How about giving the voter something to believe in, is that to much to ask? How about really making things better and not just lying. Then maybe just maybe people will be bothered to vote. It is after all a fundamental freedom people have died for. Only Labour could think up something so demeaning to the electoral process.
SOURCE
Labour is launching an inquiry into what it calls "flatlining democracy".
Other suggestions include online voting and installing ballot boxes at supermarkets and schools.
In a speech to the Hansard Society, which aims to strengthen parliamentary democracy and encourage greater public involvement in politics, Ms Eagle criticised Sunderland Football Club's new manager, Paolo Di Canio.
She said he had been questioned over "alleged fascist sympathies" and repeated his responses to the media: "I don't want to talk about politics because it's not my area... We are not in the Houses of Parliament; we are in a football club."
'Consumerist' Ms Eagle said it was wrong for people including Mr Di Canio to think politics was "detached" from people's lives.
She added that even the families of victims of the Hillsborough disaster - who successfully campaigned over many years to reveal the truth about a cover-up - had told her: "We're not really into politics. We're not political."
They had done "something deeply political", she argued.
Ms Eagle promised Labour would set up a "people's inquiry" into voter disengagement, focusing on electoral turnout, reversing falling party memberships and publicising politics.
The panel would be made up of potential voters from around the country, in an effort to make Parliament "more relevant".
She said this could include "simplifying the legislative process so that the interested citizen can more easily understand and engage with it".
Ms Eagle suggested: "We should consider incentives for voting. How about entering everyone who voted into a lottery? What about making election day a bank holiday? Some have suggested compulsory voting, although I am personally dubious."
She criticised Thatcherism, saying it had created a "consumerist" society where people felt less keen to take part in politics, accusing the coalition of causing further disengagement with its spending cuts programme.
Ms Eagle added: "If we are not careful that will be the epitaph of our time - that people stopped believing that politics could change their lives for the better."
The ideas chosen by the inquiry are expected to influence Labour's manifesto for the 2015 general election.
How about giving the voter something to believe in, is that to much to ask? How about really making things better and not just lying. Then maybe just maybe people will be bothered to vote. It is after all a fundamental freedom people have died for. Only Labour could think up something so demeaning to the electoral process.
SOURCE
Labour should consider
"entering everyone" who votes in general elections into a prize lottery,
in an effort to reverse falling turnout, a senior party figure has
suggested.
Shadow leader of the House of Commons Angela Eagle also said polling day could become a national holiday.Labour is launching an inquiry into what it calls "flatlining democracy".
Other suggestions include online voting and installing ballot boxes at supermarkets and schools.
In a speech to the Hansard Society, which aims to strengthen parliamentary democracy and encourage greater public involvement in politics, Ms Eagle criticised Sunderland Football Club's new manager, Paolo Di Canio.
She said he had been questioned over "alleged fascist sympathies" and repeated his responses to the media: "I don't want to talk about politics because it's not my area... We are not in the Houses of Parliament; we are in a football club."
'Consumerist' Ms Eagle said it was wrong for people including Mr Di Canio to think politics was "detached" from people's lives.
She added that even the families of victims of the Hillsborough disaster - who successfully campaigned over many years to reveal the truth about a cover-up - had told her: "We're not really into politics. We're not political."
They had done "something deeply political", she argued.
Ms Eagle promised Labour would set up a "people's inquiry" into voter disengagement, focusing on electoral turnout, reversing falling party memberships and publicising politics.
The panel would be made up of potential voters from around the country, in an effort to make Parliament "more relevant".
She said this could include "simplifying the legislative process so that the interested citizen can more easily understand and engage with it".
Ms Eagle suggested: "We should consider incentives for voting. How about entering everyone who voted into a lottery? What about making election day a bank holiday? Some have suggested compulsory voting, although I am personally dubious."
She criticised Thatcherism, saying it had created a "consumerist" society where people felt less keen to take part in politics, accusing the coalition of causing further disengagement with its spending cuts programme.
Ms Eagle added: "If we are not careful that will be the epitaph of our time - that people stopped believing that politics could change their lives for the better."
The ideas chosen by the inquiry are expected to influence Labour's manifesto for the 2015 general election.
Independent Socialist Party in Southshields
source
A MAN who blew the whistle on poor care for the elderly at a South Shields nursing home wants to be the town’s next MP.
Phil Brown has thrown his hat into the ring to contest the May 2 by-election.
The 58-year-old will be representing the Independent Socialist Party as voters go to the polls to elect David Miliband’s replacement.
Born and raised in Horsley Hill, South Shields, Mr Brown is the son of former Mayor of South Tyneside Kathy Brown.
He was also the man behind the coastal marking scheme along the cliff tops, which has helped assist sea rescue attempts by people using the emergency markers to accurately pinpoint the scene of an accident.
In 2005, he also blew the whistle on failings in care given to residents of privately owned Bamburgh Court Care Home in South Shields.
Mr Brown, a nurse with the NHS for the past 35 years, said: “My track record speaks for itself. I care not only about South Shields as a town but also the people who live here.
“Throughout my life I have shown true commitment to the town, its people and the safety of those people.”
The former Territorial Army officer says, if elected, he will defend the NHS as one of his main priorities including fighting for the return of the long-stay Children’s Ward at South Tyneside District Hospital.
Mr Brown, of Leafield Crescent, South Shields, added: “I firmly believe in defending the NHS. And I want to see a return of children’s ward at the hospital.
“I was against the plans then and I want to get it back in South Shields.
“I also want to see more help and support given to rehabilitate our armed forces personnel when they come back from active duty or re-entering the civilian community.”
Other issues close to Mr Brown’s heart include campaigning for more apprenticeships and better jobs for the young people of the borough.
Mr Brown is one of nine people hoping to secure the seat which has been left vacant by Mr Miliband.
A MAN who blew the whistle on poor care for the elderly at a South Shields nursing home wants to be the town’s next MP.
Phil Brown has thrown his hat into the ring to contest the May 2 by-election.
The 58-year-old will be representing the Independent Socialist Party as voters go to the polls to elect David Miliband’s replacement.
Born and raised in Horsley Hill, South Shields, Mr Brown is the son of former Mayor of South Tyneside Kathy Brown.
He was also the man behind the coastal marking scheme along the cliff tops, which has helped assist sea rescue attempts by people using the emergency markers to accurately pinpoint the scene of an accident.
In 2005, he also blew the whistle on failings in care given to residents of privately owned Bamburgh Court Care Home in South Shields.
Mr Brown, a nurse with the NHS for the past 35 years, said: “My track record speaks for itself. I care not only about South Shields as a town but also the people who live here.
“Throughout my life I have shown true commitment to the town, its people and the safety of those people.”
The former Territorial Army officer says, if elected, he will defend the NHS as one of his main priorities including fighting for the return of the long-stay Children’s Ward at South Tyneside District Hospital.
Mr Brown, of Leafield Crescent, South Shields, added: “I firmly believe in defending the NHS. And I want to see a return of children’s ward at the hospital.
“I was against the plans then and I want to get it back in South Shields.
“I also want to see more help and support given to rehabilitate our armed forces personnel when they come back from active duty or re-entering the civilian community.”
Other issues close to Mr Brown’s heart include campaigning for more apprenticeships and better jobs for the young people of the borough.
Mr Brown is one of nine people hoping to secure the seat which has been left vacant by Mr Miliband.
Wednesday 24 April 2013
Tuesday 23 April 2013
FOUR BY ELECTIONS THIS WEEK
Four by elections this week, and the introduction of a new party to me NewcastleFirst there is also a couple of candidates from the TUSC, some green candidates at last and just the one UKIP. Conservatives defend one Lib Dems defend one and there is two for Labour to defend. The Cheshire by election is the most open with the others having big majorities. It will be interesting to see if in Castle Lib Dems will lose a 500 majority.
CHESHIRE EAST - Macclesfield Hurdsfield (Labour resigned)
2011 - Lab 526, LD 302, Con 300
Stephen BROADHEAD (Liberal Democrat)
Steve CARTER (The Labour Party Candidate)
Alastair KENNEDY (The Conservative Party Candidate)
John KNIGHT (Green Party Candidate)
David LONSDALE (UK Independence Party)
NEWCASTLE-UPON-TYNE - Castle (Liberal Democrat resigned)
2012 - LD 1432, Lab 991, New1st 229, Con 217
2011 - LD 1548, Lab 1367, Con 476
2010 - LD 2451, Lab 1435, Con 718, BNP 342, Ind 101
2008 - LD 1869, Con 771, Lab 481
2007 - LD 1830, Con 662, Lab 589
2006 - LD 1819, Lab 795, Con 466
John GORDON (It's Time to Put Newcastle First)
Rory JOBE (Trade Unionists and Socialists Against Cuts)
Philip LOWER (Liberal Democrats)
Jennifer NIXON (The Conservative Party Candidate)
Ben RILEY (Labour Party Candidate)
NEWCASTLE-UPON-TYNE - South Heaton (Labour resigned)
2012 - Lab 1188, Grn 210, LD 158, Con 81, TUSC 74
2011 - Lab 1908, LD 311, Grn 293, Con 150
2010 - Lab 1735, LD 1394, Con 289, Grn 245, BNP 104
2008 - Lab 948, LD 813, Grn 190, Con 107
2007 - Lab 904/879, LD 824/796, Grn 240/194, Con 114/98
2006 - Lab 961, LD 748, Grn 176, Con 100
Rachel AULD (Liberal Democrats)
Katie BENNETT (The Conservative Party Candidate)
Timothy GILKS (It's Time to Put Newcastle First)
Andrew GRAY (Green Party Candidate)
Denise JONES (Labour Party Candidate)
Paul PHILLIPS (Trade Unionists and Socialists Against Cuts)
Reg SIBLEY (Independent)
ROCHDALE - Norden (Conservative died)
2012 - Con 1624, Lab 604, LD 175
2011 - Con 1814, Lab 846, LD 511
2010 - LD 2240, Con 1927, Lab 839, BNP 319
2008 - Con 1450, LD 874, BNP 421, Lab 278
2007 - Con 1234, LD 1153, Lab 292
2006 - LD 1327, Con 1109, Lab 263
candidates Con/Lab/LD/NF
CHESHIRE EAST - Macclesfield Hurdsfield (Labour resigned)
2011 - Lab 526, LD 302, Con 300
Stephen BROADHEAD (Liberal Democrat)
Steve CARTER (The Labour Party Candidate)
Alastair KENNEDY (The Conservative Party Candidate)
John KNIGHT (Green Party Candidate)
David LONSDALE (UK Independence Party)
NEWCASTLE-UPON-TYNE - Castle (Liberal Democrat resigned)
2012 - LD 1432, Lab 991, New1st 229, Con 217
2011 - LD 1548, Lab 1367, Con 476
2010 - LD 2451, Lab 1435, Con 718, BNP 342, Ind 101
2008 - LD 1869, Con 771, Lab 481
2007 - LD 1830, Con 662, Lab 589
2006 - LD 1819, Lab 795, Con 466
John GORDON (It's Time to Put Newcastle First)
Rory JOBE (Trade Unionists and Socialists Against Cuts)
Philip LOWER (Liberal Democrats)
Jennifer NIXON (The Conservative Party Candidate)
Ben RILEY (Labour Party Candidate)
NEWCASTLE-UPON-TYNE - South Heaton (Labour resigned)
2012 - Lab 1188, Grn 210, LD 158, Con 81, TUSC 74
2011 - Lab 1908, LD 311, Grn 293, Con 150
2010 - Lab 1735, LD 1394, Con 289, Grn 245, BNP 104
2008 - Lab 948, LD 813, Grn 190, Con 107
2007 - Lab 904/879, LD 824/796, Grn 240/194, Con 114/98
2006 - Lab 961, LD 748, Grn 176, Con 100
Rachel AULD (Liberal Democrats)
Katie BENNETT (The Conservative Party Candidate)
Timothy GILKS (It's Time to Put Newcastle First)
Andrew GRAY (Green Party Candidate)
Denise JONES (Labour Party Candidate)
Paul PHILLIPS (Trade Unionists and Socialists Against Cuts)
Reg SIBLEY (Independent)
ROCHDALE - Norden (Conservative died)
2012 - Con 1624, Lab 604, LD 175
2011 - Con 1814, Lab 846, LD 511
2010 - LD 2240, Con 1927, Lab 839, BNP 319
2008 - Con 1450, LD 874, BNP 421, Lab 278
2007 - Con 1234, LD 1153, Lab 292
2006 - LD 1327, Con 1109, Lab 263
candidates Con/Lab/LD/NF
NEWCASTLE FIRST
It's always interesting to come across new parties, well when I say new, new to me at least.
You can find out more about Newcastle First at their website http://www.newcastlefirst.co.uk/home.html . They came to my attention as there is two by elections tomorrow and they have a chance of winning one. Will be interesting to see how it goes for them tomorrow. You can see in the Castle ward they beat the Conservatives first time out. I wonder if they can eat into the Lib Dem and Labour vote?
NEWCASTLE-UPON-TYNE - Castle (Liberal Democrat resigned)
2012 - LD 1432, Lab 991, New1st 229, Con 217
2011 - LD 1548, Lab 1367, Con 476
2010 - LD 2451, Lab 1435, Con 718, BNP 342, Ind 101
2008 - LD 1869, Con 771, Lab 481
2007 - LD 1830, Con 662, Lab 589
2006 - LD 1819, Lab 795, Con 466
John GORDON (It's Time to Put Newcastle First)
Rory JOBE (Trade Unionists and Socialists Against Cuts)
Philip LOWER (Liberal Democrats)
Jennifer NIXON (The Conservative Party Candidate)
Ben RILEY (Labour Party Candidate)
NEWCASTLE-UPON-TYNE - South Heaton (Labour resigned)
2012 - Lab 1188, Grn 210, LD 158, Con 81, TUSC 74
2011 - Lab 1908, LD 311, Grn 293, Con 150
2010 - Lab 1735, LD 1394, Con 289, Grn 245, BNP 104
2008 - Lab 948, LD 813, Grn 190, Con 107
2007 - Lab 904/879, LD 824/796, Grn 240/194, Con 114/98
2006 - Lab 961, LD 748, Grn 176, Con 100
Rachel AULD (Liberal Democrats)
Katie BENNETT (The Conservative Party Candidate)
Timothy GILKS (It's Time to Put Newcastle First)
Andrew GRAY (Green Party Candidate)
Denise JONES (Labour Party Candidate)
Paul PHILLIPS (Trade Unionists and Socialists Against Cuts)
Reg SIBLEY (Independent)
You can find out more about Newcastle First at their website http://www.newcastlefirst.co.uk/home.html . They came to my attention as there is two by elections tomorrow and they have a chance of winning one. Will be interesting to see how it goes for them tomorrow. You can see in the Castle ward they beat the Conservatives first time out. I wonder if they can eat into the Lib Dem and Labour vote?
NEWCASTLE-UPON-TYNE - Castle (Liberal Democrat resigned)
2012 - LD 1432, Lab 991, New1st 229, Con 217
2011 - LD 1548, Lab 1367, Con 476
2010 - LD 2451, Lab 1435, Con 718, BNP 342, Ind 101
2008 - LD 1869, Con 771, Lab 481
2007 - LD 1830, Con 662, Lab 589
2006 - LD 1819, Lab 795, Con 466
John GORDON (It's Time to Put Newcastle First)
Rory JOBE (Trade Unionists and Socialists Against Cuts)
Philip LOWER (Liberal Democrats)
Jennifer NIXON (The Conservative Party Candidate)
Ben RILEY (Labour Party Candidate)
NEWCASTLE-UPON-TYNE - South Heaton (Labour resigned)
2012 - Lab 1188, Grn 210, LD 158, Con 81, TUSC 74
2011 - Lab 1908, LD 311, Grn 293, Con 150
2010 - Lab 1735, LD 1394, Con 289, Grn 245, BNP 104
2008 - Lab 948, LD 813, Grn 190, Con 107
2007 - Lab 904/879, LD 824/796, Grn 240/194, Con 114/98
2006 - Lab 961, LD 748, Grn 176, Con 100
Rachel AULD (Liberal Democrats)
Katie BENNETT (The Conservative Party Candidate)
Timothy GILKS (It's Time to Put Newcastle First)
Andrew GRAY (Green Party Candidate)
Denise JONES (Labour Party Candidate)
Paul PHILLIPS (Trade Unionists and Socialists Against Cuts)
Reg SIBLEY (Independent)
A good sign for Labour
Here's some comparisons between the crop of by-elections this parliament and past parliaments
So unless Miliband completely mucks up he seems to be riding the same wave which Blair rode into a General Election. For the Lib Dems though it looks bleak as they have their lowest by election polling for over 30 years. The added unknown is how much of a difference UKIP will make.
Here is some analysis from by elections to the end of 2012 from the current parliament.
Monday 22 April 2013
Interesting facts from the opinium poll
SOURCE
The fortnightly Opinium poll for the Observer has topline figures of CON 29%(+1), LAB 35%(-3), LDEM 8%(nc), UKIP 17(+1)
But when you dig deeper
North East of England
Labour 53% UKIP 29% Conservatives 10% Lib Dems 8%
Lib Dems share of the vote is as low as 1% in Wales and 2% in the East Midlands
UKIP are on 20% in 5 regions
North East 29%, East of England 24%, South West 23% East Midlands 22% South East 21%
Which is a fair swipe at every one
Even in weak areas such as Wales UKIP is on 10% Where Lib Dems are on 1% in Scotland on 7% Where as Lib Dems who have several strongholds are on 6%
All very interesting what are your thoughts?
The fortnightly Opinium poll for the Observer has topline figures of CON 29%(+1), LAB 35%(-3), LDEM 8%(nc), UKIP 17(+1)
But when you dig deeper
North East of England
Labour 53% UKIP 29% Conservatives 10% Lib Dems 8%
Lib Dems share of the vote is as low as 1% in Wales and 2% in the East Midlands
UKIP are on 20% in 5 regions
North East 29%, East of England 24%, South West 23% East Midlands 22% South East 21%
Which is a fair swipe at every one
Even in weak areas such as Wales UKIP is on 10% Where Lib Dems are on 1% in Scotland on 7% Where as Lib Dems who have several strongholds are on 6%
All very interesting what are your thoughts?
LATEST POLITICAL BETTING ODDs (South Shields & Euros)
Southshields is as we expected shown to be nailed on for Labour.
Prices vary between 1/33 and 1/40 on them winning.
UKIP which had been as low as 7/1 then drifted out to 20/1 are in at 14/1 at the moment. Mr Monkey was still be quoted at 33/1 with Ladbrokes but no one has admitted to being his candidate so how that bet will work out I don't know. But still his price is better than the 50/1 or 100/1 you can get for the Tories and 200/1 for Lib Dems & BNP. With the loonies on 500/1.
Value can be found in UKIP coming second which is 1/5 or 2/7 and funnily enough you get a better price on Labour finishing 2nd 16/1 than you do if UKIP won at 14/1 surely the two are the same?
Markets still think Labour will get less than 52% UKIP more than 18% and Tories 50/50 on 10% share of the vote. Lib Dems are a 100% with betting markets to lose their deposit.
When you move onto next years European Elections.
Labour are 4/6 to get the most votes then UKIP 6/4 Conservatives 10/1 and the Lib Dems are well out at 100/1
You can find UKIP specials where you can get evens that a current MP will defect to them during this parliament and 2/1 that they will win a seat in the next General Election. The lowest prices I have seen for the likes of a minor party. Even the Greens before they won Brighton Pavillion were 3/1.
Lets see what happens, your thoughts and comments are welcome.
Prices vary between 1/33 and 1/40 on them winning.
UKIP which had been as low as 7/1 then drifted out to 20/1 are in at 14/1 at the moment. Mr Monkey was still be quoted at 33/1 with Ladbrokes but no one has admitted to being his candidate so how that bet will work out I don't know. But still his price is better than the 50/1 or 100/1 you can get for the Tories and 200/1 for Lib Dems & BNP. With the loonies on 500/1.
Value can be found in UKIP coming second which is 1/5 or 2/7 and funnily enough you get a better price on Labour finishing 2nd 16/1 than you do if UKIP won at 14/1 surely the two are the same?
Markets still think Labour will get less than 52% UKIP more than 18% and Tories 50/50 on 10% share of the vote. Lib Dems are a 100% with betting markets to lose their deposit.
When you move onto next years European Elections.
Labour are 4/6 to get the most votes then UKIP 6/4 Conservatives 10/1 and the Lib Dems are well out at 100/1
You can find UKIP specials where you can get evens that a current MP will defect to them during this parliament and 2/1 that they will win a seat in the next General Election. The lowest prices I have seen for the likes of a minor party. Even the Greens before they won Brighton Pavillion were 3/1.
Lets see what happens, your thoughts and comments are welcome.
Sunday 21 April 2013
UKIP to be involved in 2015 Televised Debates
No matter who you vote for I do think all the major parties should be involved and if UKIP gain major break throughs in council elections and european elections next year. If debates are held UKIP should be part of them. If you do as well sign the e-petition.
created by @GaryJRobinson Gary does not endorse this blog, and I just highlighted his campaign as I feel all parties should be represented not just the main three.
http://epetitions.direct.gov.uk/petitions/43153
UKIP to be involved in 2015 Televised Debates
Responsible department: Cabinet Office
We believe that if The UK Independence
Party or 'UKIP' beat either of the coalition parties (Liberal Democrats
or Conservative Party) at the European Elections 2014, then their
leader should be allowed to participate and speak as part of any
televised leader’s debate ahead of the general election.
Created by Gary Robinson
Closing:13/12/2013 12:37
Saturday 20 April 2013
SCHEDULE FOR PARTY POLITICAL BROADCASTS FOR MAY ELECTIONS
BBC Allocation for English Local Elections 2nd May 2013
The following allocations have been drawn up for the election on 2nd May 2013
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Transmission times:
English Local Election Broadcasts
BBC1 (English Regions): 18.55
BBC2 (English Regions): 17.55
BBC2 (English Regions): 17.55
Length of television PEB can be either 2m 40s, 3m 40s or 4min 40s.
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