YOUGOV POLLING AND THE SCOTTISH SUB SAMPLE

https://yougov.co.uk/refer/HdvYK1txkm0PfdJX43_Iow/  <<< Follow the link if you would like to join the YOUGOV panel and have your opinions heard

YOUGOV Scotland (sub sample) SNP 49% LABOUR 17% CONSERVATIVES 11% GREENS 9% LIBDEMS 8% UKIP 6%
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) November 14, 2014

The predicted Westminster results in Scotland, given the Scottish levels of support which you entered, are as follows.

Scottish Prediction:

Party	2010 Votes	2010 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Pred Seats
CON	16.75%	1	11.00%	0	1	0
LAB	42.00%	41	17.00%	0	41	0
LIB	18.88%	11	8.00%	0	10	1
NAT	19.93%	6	49.00%	52	0	58
MIN	0.28%	0	0.28%	0	0	0
OTH	2.18%	0	14.72%	0	0	0

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Table of all seat results in Scotland

The table shows the seats, sorted by the difference between Labour and Conservative votes, with the safest Labour seat, Glasgow North East, at the top and the safest Conservative seat, Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk, at the bottom. The first two columns 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats' show how many seats each party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 30 seats to have a majority in Scotland. So Labour needs to win all the seats down as far as (prediction: ), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to (prediction: ). Click here for more information about this table.

Lab Seats	Con Seats	Seat	MP at 2010	Electorate	Turn out %	CON %	LAB %	LIB %	NAT %	MIN %	OTH %	2010 Win	Pred Win
0	0	Glasgow North East	Willie Bain	59,859	49.13	3.20	36.12	1.68	42.34	2.71	13.94	LAB	NAT
0	0	Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill	Tom Clarke	70,067	59.42	4.86	34.82	1.85	45.92	0.00	12.55	LAB	NAT
0	0	Glasgow East	Margaret Curran	61,516	52.29	2.71	31.05	1.10	50.05	2.10	12.99	LAB	NAT
0	0	Glasgow South West	Ian Davidson	58,182	54.62	3.93	31.76	1.97	44.58	0.00	17.76	LAB	NAT
0	0	Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath	Gordon Brown	73,665	62.18	5.58	33.28	2.03	43.82	0.00	15.29	LAB	NAT
0	0	Glenrothes	Lindsay Roy	67,893	59.65	4.33	31.63	1.68	49.38	0.00	12.98	LAB	NAT
0	0	Dunbartonshire West	Gemma Doyle	66,085	63.96	4.60	30.85	1.77	47.94	0.00	14.83	LAB	NAT
0	0	Motherwell and Wishaw	Frank Roy	66,918	58.46	5.61	30.72	2.14	47.36	0.00	14.16	LAB	NAT
0	0	Rutherglen and Hamilton West	Tom Greatrex	76,408	61.49	5.80	30.49	2.62	46.53	0.00	14.57	LAB	NAT
0	0	Paisley and Renfrewshire South	Douglas Alexander	61,197	65.36	5.97	29.60	2.08	47.02	0.00	15.34	LAB	NAT
0	0	Airdrie and Shotts	Pamela Nash	62,364	57.48	5.24	28.51	1.76	51.11	0.00	13.37	LAB	NAT
0	0	Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East	Gregg McClymont	64,037	64.26	4.97	27.82	2.08	51.87	0.00	13.27	LAB	NAT
0	0	Glasgow Central	Anas Sarwar	60,062	50.91	4.23	23.93	3.58	48.06	2.62	17.59	LAB	NAT
0	0	Inverclyde	David Cairns	59,209	63.36	7.20	26.87	2.91	48.50	0.00	14.52	LAB	NAT
0	0	Glasgow North West	John Robertson	60,968	58.36	5.96	25.44	3.45	46.65	0.00	18.49	LAB	NAT
0	0	Glasgow South	Tom Harris	65,029	61.66	6.87	23.70	2.58	49.37	0.00	17.47	LAB	NAT
0	0	Paisley and Renfrewshire North	James Sheridan	63,704	68.61	8.76	25.42	2.30	48.87	0.00	14.65	LAB	NAT
0	0	Kilmarnock and Loudoun	Cathy Jamieson	74,131	62.80	8.50	24.32	1.60	53.64	0.00	11.95	LAB	NAT
0	0	East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow	Michael McCann	76,534	66.57	7.79	23.54	2.16	51.62	0.00	14.89	LAB	NAT
0	0	Dundee West	James McGovern	63,013	58.92	5.59	21.27	2.49	56.69	0.00	13.95	LAB	NAT
0	0	Dunfermline and West Fife	Thomas Docherty	73,769	66.35	4.05	19.62	19.44	42.04	0.00	14.85	LAB	NAT
0	0	Linlithgow and East Falkirk	Michael Connarty	80,907	63.59	7.17	22.28	2.80	54.99	0.00	12.76	LAB	NAT
0	0	Livingston	Graeme Morrice	75,924	63.10	6.46	21.26	2.42	54.00	0.00	15.86	LAB	NAT
0	0	Glasgow North	Ann McKechin	51,416	57.59	4.23	18.31	15.71	43.11	0.00	18.63	LAB	NAT
0	0	Lanark and Hamilton East	Jimmy Hood	74,773	62.26	9.00	22.39	2.46	50.61	0.00	15.54	LAB	NAT
0	0	Midlothian	David Hamilton	61,387	63.93	7.13	20.18	3.73	52.04	0.00	16.92	LAB	NAT
0	0	Falkirk	Eric Joyce	81,869	62.02	6.73	19.21	2.25	57.52	0.00	14.29	LAB	NAT
0	0	Ayrshire North and Arran	Katy Clark	74,953	61.53	9.38	20.48	2.19	54.61	0.00	13.34	LAB	NAT
0	0	Edinburgh East	Sheila Gilmore	60,941	65.42	6.56	17.51	4.24	52.18	5.10	14.40	LAB	NAT
0	0	Aberdeen North	Frank Doran	64,808	58.17	7.43	18.25	4.05	54.12	0.00	16.15	LAB	NAT
0	0	Ayrshire Central	Brian Donohoe	68,352	64.25	12.37	20.70	2.60	50.01	0.00	14.32	LAB	NAT
0	0	Na h-Eileanan An Iar (Western Isles)	Angus MacNeil	22,266	66.10	2.64	9.62	1.63	67.22	9.59	9.30	NAT	NAT
0	0	East Lothian	Fiona O'Donnell	73,438	66.94	11.79	18.37	3.68	49.04	0.00	17.11	LAB	NAT
0	0	Edinburgh North and Leith	Mark Lazarowicz	69,204	68.43	8.97	13.05	18.19	41.80	2.24	15.76	LAB	NAT
0	0	Ayr Carrick and Cumnock	Sandra Osborne	73,320	62.59	17.54	20.28	2.03	47.46	0.00	12.70	LAB	NAT
0	0	Dunbartonshire East	Jo Swinson	63,795	75.16	9.30	10.56	23.06	42.26	0.00	14.83	LIB	NAT
0	0	Ochil and South Perthshire	Gordon Banks	75,115	67.19	12.49	13.38	2.49	56.57	0.00	15.06	LAB	NAT
0	0	Dundee East	Stewart Hosie	65,471	61.96	9.14	9.97	2.31	64.19	0.00	14.40	NAT	NAT
0	0	Edinburgh South West	Alistair Darling	66,359	68.51	16.25	17.06	3.93	45.60	0.00	17.15	LAB	NAT
0	0	Renfrewshire East	Jim Murphy	66,249	77.26	22.42	22.99	2.01	38.89	0.00	13.69	LAB	NAT
0	0	Stirling	Anne McGuire	66,080	70.89	16.03	16.25	3.17	48.60	0.00	15.95	LAB	NAT
0	0	Aberdeen South	Anne Begg	64,031	67.21	12.71	12.35	12.75	45.25	0.00	16.92	LAB	NAT
0	0	Edinburgh South	Ian Murray	59,354	73.80	13.58	11.01	18.38	40.74	0.00	16.29	LAB	NAT
0	0	Dumfries and Galloway	Russell Brown	74,581	69.95	23.63	19.36	1.93	41.26	0.00	13.83	LAB	NAT
0	0	Caithness Sutherland and Easter Ross	John Thurso	47,257	60.88	7.81	3.45	25.76	48.52	0.00	14.47	LIB	NAT
0	0	Orkney and Shetland	Alistair Carmichael	33,085	58.47	6.30	0.00	46.34	31.85	0.00	15.51	LIB	LIB
0	0	Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey	Danny Alexander	72,528	64.92	8.00	1.57	25.08	47.68	0.00	17.66	LIB	NAT
0	0	Ross Skye and Lochaber	Charles Kennedy	51,836	67.21	7.34	0.00	37.00	40.00	0.00	15.67	LIB	NAT
0	0	Edinburgh West	Michael Crockart	65,161	71.28	15.18	5.78	20.29	45.01	0.00	13.74	LIB	NAT
0	0	Gordon	Malcolm Bruce	73,420	66.43	11.21	0.09	20.40	52.33	0.00	15.98	LIB	NAT
0	0	Fife North East	Sir Menzies Campbell	62,969	63.62	13.75	0.00	28.70	42.67	0.00	14.87	LIB	NAT
0	0	Argyll and Bute	Alan Reid	67,165	67.31	16.03	2.04	15.98	49.90	0.00	16.05	LIB	NAT
0	0	Moray	Angus Robertson	65,925	62.20	18.05	0.00	3.17	65.14	0.00	13.63	NAT	NAT
0	0	Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine	Sir Robert Smith	66,110	68.36	22.27	0.00	22.78	41.71	0.00	13.25	LIB	NAT
0	0	Perth and North Perthshire	Peter Wishart	72,141	66.91	22.54	0.00	2.69	63.40	0.00	11.37	NAT	NAT
0	0	Banff and Buchan	Eilidh Whiteford	64,300	59.82	22.78	0.00	2.48	62.81	0.00	11.93	NAT	NAT
0	0	Angus	Michael Weir	62,863	60.39	22.92	0.00	2.35	63.06	0.00	11.66	NAT	NAT
0	0	Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale	David Mundell	66,627	68.88	30.04	6.65	4.32	42.71	0.00	16.28	CON	NAT
0	0	Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk	Michael Moore	73,826	66.39	25.78	0.00	29.72	32.81	0.00	11.69	LIB	NAT

http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/gugjcuqdr6/YG-Archive-Pol-Sun-results-131114.pdf