YOUGOV (SCOTLAND SUBSAMPLE PREDICTION)

https://yougov.co.uk/refer/HdvYK1txkm0PfdJX43_Iow/  <<< Follow the link if you would like to join the YOUGOV panel and have your opinions heard

YOUGOV Scotland (subsample) SNP 40% LAB 26% CON 20% LD 3% Forecast seats SNP 40 LAB 16 CON 3 Link to data http://t.co/8WuPOKWWmX

— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) November 26, 2014

Scottish Prediction:

Party	2010 Votes	2010 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Pred Seats
CON	16.75%	1	20.00%	2	0	3
LAB	42.00%	41	26.00%	0	25	16
LIB	18.88%	11	3.00%	0	11	0
NAT	19.93%	6	40.00%	34	0	40
MIN	0.28%	0	0.28%	0	0	0
OTH	2.18%	0	10.72%	0	0	0

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Table of all seat results in Scotland

The table shows the seats, sorted by the difference between Labour and Conservative votes, with the safest Labour seat, Glasgow North East, at the top and the safest Conservative seat, Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk, at the bottom. The first two columns 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats' show how many seats each party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 30 seats to have a majority in Scotland. So Labour needs to win all the seats down as far as (prediction: ), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to (prediction: ). Click here for more information about this table.

Lab Seats	Con Seats	Seat	MP at 2010	Electorate	Turn out %	CON %	LAB %	LIB %	NAT %	MIN %	OTH %	2010 Win	Pred Win
1	19	Glasgow North East	Willie Bain	59,859	49.13	7.82	51.72	0.00	29.45	2.71	8.30	LAB	LAB
2	18	Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill	Tom Clarke	70,067	59.42	10.66	49.97	0.00	32.64	0.00	6.72	LAB	LAB
3	17	Glasgow East	Margaret Curran	61,516	52.29	6.73	44.93	0.00	38.37	2.10	7.87	LAB	LAB
4	16	Glasgow South West	Ian Davidson	58,182	54.62	9.18	45.88	0.00	32.49	0.00	12.45	LAB	LAB
5	15	Glenrothes	Lindsay Roy	67,893	59.65	9.70	45.71	0.00	37.03	0.00	7.56	LAB	LAB
6	14	Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath	Gordon Brown	73,665	62.18	11.95	47.91	0.00	30.64	0.00	9.50	LAB	LAB
7	13	Dunbartonshire West	Gemma Doyle	66,085	63.96	10.20	44.67	0.00	35.69	0.00	9.45	LAB	LAB
8	12	Motherwell and Wishaw	Frank Roy	66,918	58.46	12.05	44.49	0.00	34.81	0.00	8.65	LAB	LAB
9	11	Rutherglen and Hamilton West	Tom Greatrex	76,408	61.49	12.59	44.18	0.00	34.12	0.00	9.11	LAB	LAB
10	10	Paisley and Renfrewshire South	Douglas Alexander	61,197	65.36	12.62	42.98	0.00	34.54	0.00	9.86	LAB	LAB
11	9	Airdrie and Shotts	Pamela Nash	62,364	57.48	11.26	41.53	0.00	39.11	0.00	8.10	LAB	LAB
12	8	Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East	Gregg McClymont	64,037	64.26	10.95	40.60	0.00	40.27	0.00	8.17	LAB	LAB
12	7	Glasgow Central	Anas Sarwar	60,062	50.91	10.43	35.40	0.00	38.30	2.62	13.26	LAB	NAT
13	7	Inverclyde	David Cairns	59,209	63.36	15.06	39.34	0.00	36.41	0.00	9.19	LAB	LAB
14	6	Glasgow North West	John Robertson	60,968	58.36	13.25	37.43	0.00	35.68	0.00	13.64	LAB	LAB
14	5	Glasgow South	Tom Harris	65,029	61.66	14.36	35.09	0.00	38.06	0.00	12.49	LAB	NAT
15	5	Paisley and Renfrewshire North	James Sheridan	63,704	68.61	17.37	37.40	0.00	36.16	0.00	9.07	LAB	LAB
15	4	Dundee West	James McGovern	63,013	58.92	12.18	31.84	0.00	46.51	0.00	9.46	LAB	NAT
15	4	Kilmarnock and Loudoun	Cathy Jamieson	74,131	62.80	16.61	35.92	0.00	41.05	0.00	6.43	LAB	NAT
15	4	East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow	Michael McCann	76,534	66.57	15.69	34.88	0.00	39.75	0.00	9.67	LAB	NAT
15	4	Dunfermline and West Fife	Thomas Docherty	73,769	66.35	11.10	29.63	9.12	37.44	0.00	12.71	LAB	NAT
15	4	Linlithgow and East Falkirk	Michael Connarty	80,907	63.59	14.95	33.20	0.00	43.96	0.00	7.89	LAB	NAT
15	4	Livingston	Graeme Morrice	75,924	63.10	13.60	31.83	0.00	43.39	0.00	11.18	LAB	NAT
15	4	Glasgow North	Ann McKechin	51,416	57.59	11.25	27.89	6.86	37.81	0.00	16.19	LAB	NAT
15	4	Lanark and Hamilton East	Jimmy Hood	74,773	62.26	17.84	33.34	0.00	38.58	0.00	10.24	LAB	NAT
15	4	Falkirk	Eric Joyce	81,869	62.02	13.97	29.08	0.00	47.21	0.00	9.74	LAB	NAT
15	4	Midlothian	David Hamilton	61,387	63.93	15.32	30.39	0.00	41.88	0.00	12.41	LAB	NAT
15	4	Ayrshire North and Arran	Katy Clark	74,953	61.53	18.36	30.78	0.00	42.74	0.00	8.12	LAB	NAT
15	4	Edinburgh East	Sheila Gilmore	60,941	65.42	14.61	26.81	0.00	43.11	5.10	10.36	LAB	NAT
15	4	Aberdeen North	Frank Doran	64,808	58.17	15.97	27.79	0.00	44.40	0.00	11.83	LAB	NAT
15	4	Na h-Eileanan An Iar (Western Isles)	Angus MacNeil	22,266	66.10	6.85	16.25	0.00	60.84	9.59	6.46	NAT	NAT
15	4	Ayrshire Central	Brian Donohoe	68,352	64.25	23.28	31.08	0.00	37.02	0.00	8.62	LAB	NAT
15	4	East Lothian	Fiona O'Donnell	73,438	66.94	23.07	27.96	0.00	37.12	0.00	11.85	LAB	NAT
15	4	Ayr Carrick and Cumnock	Sandra Osborne	73,320	62.59	28.19	30.51	0.00	34.35	0.00	6.95	LAB	NAT
15	4	Edinburgh North and Leith	Mark Lazarowicz	69,204	68.43	19.25	20.84	8.36	36.15	2.24	13.17	LAB	NAT
16	4	Renfrewshire East	Jim Murphy	66,249	77.26	33.05	34.15	0.00	25.14	0.00	7.66	LAB	LAB
16	3	Dundee East	Stewart Hosie	65,471	61.96	18.00	16.72	0.00	54.96	0.00	10.31	NAT	NAT
16	3	Edinburgh South West	Alistair Darling	66,359	68.51	27.79	26.21	0.00	33.98	0.00	12.02	LAB	NAT
16	3	Ochil and South Perthshire	Gordon Banks	75,115	67.19	23.35	21.28	0.00	45.28	0.00	10.09	LAB	NAT
16	3	Stirling	Anne McGuire	66,080	70.89	27.21	25.13	0.00	36.88	0.00	10.78	LAB	NAT
16	3	Dunbartonshire East	Jo Swinson	63,795	75.16	19.99	17.51	11.30	38.26	0.00	12.94	LIB	NAT
16	3	Aberdeen South	Anne Begg	64,031	67.21	24.79	19.91	5.07	37.01	0.00	13.22	LAB	NAT
17	3	Dumfries and Galloway	Russell Brown	74,581	69.95	34.23	29.28	0.00	28.33	0.00	8.16	LAB	CON
17	2	Edinburgh South	Ian Murray	59,354	73.80	25.88	18.11	8.47	34.21	0.00	13.32	LAB	NAT
17	2	Caithness Sutherland and Easter Ross	John Thurso	47,257	60.88	17.62	7.99	12.93	47.56	0.00	13.90	LIB	NAT
17	2	Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey	Danny Alexander	72,528	64.92	17.91	5.48	12.53	46.92	0.00	17.17	LIB	NAT
17	2	Orkney and Shetland	Alistair Carmichael	33,085	58.47	15.14	1.80	25.38	39.18	0.00	18.50	LIB	NAT
17	2	Ross Skye and Lochaber	Charles Kennedy	51,836	67.21	16.87	2.55	19.73	43.74	0.00	17.11	LIB	NAT
17	2	Edinburgh West	Michael Crockart	65,161	71.28	27.56	11.11	9.63	40.19	0.00	11.51	LIB	NAT
17	2	Gordon	Malcolm Bruce	73,420	66.43	23.07	3.49	9.69	49.25	0.00	14.50	LIB	NAT
17	2	Argyll and Bute	Alan Reid	67,165	67.31	28.23	6.10	7.02	44.90	0.00	13.74	LIB	NAT
17	2	Fife North East	Sir Menzies Campbell	62,969	63.62	26.23	2.89	14.71	41.82	0.00	14.34	LIB	NAT
17	2	Moray	Angus Robertson	65,925	62.20	28.99	2.88	0.00	57.78	0.00	10.35	NAT	NAT
18	2	Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale	David Mundell	66,627	68.88	41.76	12.28	0.00	33.70	0.00	12.26	CON	CON
18	1	Perth and North Perthshire	Peter Wishart	72,141	66.91	33.19	2.77	0.00	55.97	0.00	8.07	NAT	NAT
18	1	Angus	Michael Weir	62,863	60.39	33.48	2.91	0.00	55.36	0.00	8.25	NAT	NAT
18	1	Banff and Buchan	Eilidh Whiteford	64,300	59.82	33.13	2.36	0.00	55.72	0.00	8.79	NAT	NAT
18	1	Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine	Sir Robert Smith	66,110	68.36	34.21	2.30	11.13	39.99	0.00	12.37	LIB	NAT
19	1	Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk	Michael Moore	73,826	66.39	37.71	1.72	15.33	33.43	0.00	11.81	LIB	CON

http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/ojn7yf80q4/YG-Archive-Pol-Sun-results-251114.pdf