CHANGING BRIGHTON FROM GREEN TO RED.

I have been asked what would be needed swing wise to change Brighton from Green to Red.

BRIGHTON HOVE - HANOVER ELMGROVE click the link for candidates, for the by election past results, ward map and ONS data.

BY ELECTION RESULT (LABOUR GAIN)  Click the link for the result

In answer to the question

well it was a multi candidate ward so have taken the top vote from each candidate

Green 2861 - 53.3%
Labour 1662 - 30.9%

so a swing of 11.2% is needed for Labour to gain this seat.

Candidates

Name	Party	Votes	%	+/-
Caroline Lucas	Green	16,238	31.3	+9.4
Nancy Platts	Labour	14,986	28.9	-7.5
Charlotte Vere	Conservative	12,275	23.7	+0.4
Bernadette Millam	Liberal Democrat	7,159	13.8	-2.2
Nigel Carter	UK Independence Party	948	1.8	+0.6
Ian Fyvie	Socialist Labour Party	148	0.3	-0.1
Soraya Kara	Citizens for Undead Rights and Equality	61	0.1	+0.1
Leo Atreides	Independent	19	0.0	+0.0
Majority		1,252	2.4
Turnout		51,834	70.0	+7.7

To take Brighton Pavillion Labour would only need a 1.2% swing. Be interesting to see the result of Thursdays by election.

Police commissioner elections 2012

But no Green candidate so can't give a true representation

Brighton & Hove - results

Election Candidate	Party	1st Pref	%	2nd Pref	%	Total
Godfrey Daniel	Labour Party Candidate	11082	37%	3408	61%	14490	Not elected
Katy Elizabeth Bourne	The Conservative Party Candidate	7146	24%	2202	39%	9348	Not elected
Ian Chisnall	Independent	6467	21%				Not elected
Tony Armstrong	UKIP	2925	10%				Not elected
David Rogers	Liberal Democrat	2615	9%				Not elected