Wednesday, 10 July 2013

YOU GOV POLLING AN AGE APART

You gov polling today shows a lead for Labour but when you look at the breakdown you can see a wide range between certain variables. Yesterday I did the split on Class A CLASS APART today I have looked at the age of voters.

Based on over 60 vote share.

National Prediction: CON majority 44

Party2010 Votes2010 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesPred Seats
CON36.97%30738.00%400347
LAB29.66%25828.00%1110259
LIB23.56%577.00%04215
UKIP3.17%021.00%000
NAT2.26%92.26%1010
MIN0.89%10.89%001
OTH3.48%02.85%000

I think it shows how skewed the UK electoral system is. Even with a 10% lead for the Tories It hardly touches the Labour MPs

Now this is how the country would look if everyone voted like the 18-24 year olds

National Prediction: LAB majority 122

Party2010 Votes2010 SeatsPred VotesGainsLossesPred Seats
CON36.97%30728.00%6106207
LAB29.66%25841.00%1280386
LIB23.56%5712.00%02532
UKIP3.17%04.00%000
NAT2.26%92.26%036
MIN0.89%10.89%111
OTH3.48%011.85%000

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