LABOUR MAJORITY 116 ACCORDING TO SURVATION SURVEY

If you use the figures from the survation survey here is what Electoral calculus believes the result would be.

National Prediction: LAB majority 116

Party	2010 Votes	2010 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Pred Seats
CON	36.97%	307	22.80%	2	108	201
LAB	29.66%	258	36.00%	125	0	383
LIB	23.56%	57	9.60%	0	20	37
UKIP	3.17%	0	21.60%	1	0	1
NAT	2.26%	9	2.26%	0	0	9
MIN	0.89%	1	0.89%	1	1	1
OTH	3.48%	0	6.85%	0	0	0

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List of predicted seat changes

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2010
Aberconwy	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	: Guto Bebb
Amber Valley	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Nigel Mills
Argyll and Bute	Argyll and Bute	LAB	gain from	LIB	: Alan Reid
Basildon South and East Thurrock	Essex	LAB	gain from	CON	: Stephen Metcalfe
Battersea	Wandsworth	LAB	gain from	CON	: Jane Ellison
Bedford	Bedfordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Richard Fuller
Bermondsey and Old Southwark	Southwark	LAB	gain from	LIB	: Simon Hughes
Birmingham Yardley	Birmingham	LAB	gain from	LIB	: John Hemming
Blackpool North and Cleveleys	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Paul Maynard
Bradford East	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	LIB	: David Ward
Brent Central	Brent	LAB	gain from	LIB	: Sarah Teather
Brentford and Isleworth	Hounslow	LAB	gain from	CON	: Mary Macleod
Brigg and Goole	Humber area	LAB	gain from	CON	: Andrew Percy
Brighton Kemptown	East Sussex	LAB	gain from	CON	: Simon Kirby
Brighton Pavilion	East Sussex	LAB	gain from	MIN	: Caroline Lucas
Bristol North West	Bristol area	LAB	gain from	CON	: Charlotte Leslie
Bristol West	Bristol area	LAB	gain from	LIB	: Stephen Williams
Broxtowe	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Anna Soubry
Burnley	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	LIB	: Gordon Birtwistle
Burton	Staffordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Andrew Griffiths
Bury North	Western Manchester	LAB	gain from	CON	: David Nuttall
Caithness Sutherland and Easter Ross	Highland	LAB	gain from	LIB	: John Thurso
Calder Valley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Craig Whittaker
Camborne and Redruth	Cornwall	UKIP	gain from	CON	: George Eustice
Cambridge	Cambridgeshire	LAB	gain from	LIB	: Julian Huppert
Cannock Chase	Staffordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Aidan Burley
Cardiff Central	South Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	LIB	: Jenny Willott
Cardiff North	South Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	CON	: Jonathan Evans
Carlisle	Cumbria	LAB	gain from	CON	: John Stevenson
Carmarthen West and Pembrokeshire South	Dyfed	LAB	gain from	CON	: Simon Hart
Chatham and Aylesford	Kent	LAB	gain from	CON	: Tracey Crouch
Chester, City of	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Stephen Mosley
Cleethorpes	Humber area	LAB	gain from	CON	: Martin Vickers
Clwyd West	Clwyd	LAB	gain from	CON	: David Jones
Colne Valley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Jason McCartney
Corby	Northamptonshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Louise Bagshaw
Crawley	West Sussex	LAB	gain from	CON	: Henry Smith
Crewe and Nantwich	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Edward Timpson
Croydon Central	Croydon	LAB	gain from	CON	: Gavin Barwell
Derbyshire South	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Heather Wheeler
Dewsbury	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Simon Reevell
Dorset Mid and Poole North	Dorset	CON	gain from	LIB	: Annette Brooke
Dorset South	Dorset	LAB	gain from	CON	: Richard Drax
Dover	Kent	LAB	gain from	CON	: Charlie Elphicke
Dudley South	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	: Chris Kelly
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale	Dumfries and Galloway	LAB	gain from	CON	: David Mundell
Dunbartonshire East	Glasgow area	LAB	gain from	LIB	: Jo Swinson
Ealing Central and Acton	Ealing	LAB	gain from	CON	: Angie Bray
Edinburgh West	Edinburgh area	LAB	gain from	LIB	: Michael Crockart
Elmet and Rothwell	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Alec Shelbrooke
Enfield North	Enfield	LAB	gain from	CON	: Nick de Bois
Enfield Southgate	Enfield	LAB	gain from	CON	: David Burrowes
Erewash	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Jessica Lee
Filton and Bradley Stoke	Bristol area	LAB	gain from	CON	: Jack Lopresti
Finchley and Golders Green	Barnet	LAB	gain from	CON	: Mike Freer
Gillingham and Rainham	Kent	LAB	gain from	CON	: Rehman Chishti
Gloucester	Gloucestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Richard Graham
Gordon	Grampian	LAB	gain from	LIB	: Malcolm Bruce
Gravesham	Kent	LAB	gain from	CON	: Adam Holloway
Great Yarmouth	Norfolk	LAB	gain from	CON	: Brandon Lewis
Halesowen and Rowley Regis	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	: James Morris
Harlow	Essex	LAB	gain from	CON	: Robert Halfon
Harrow East	Harrow	LAB	gain from	CON	: Bob Blackman
Hastings and Rye	East Sussex	LAB	gain from	CON	: Amber Rudd
Hendon	Barnet	LAB	gain from	CON	: Matthew Offord
High Peak	Derbyshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Andrew Bingham
Hornsey and Wood Green	Haringey	LAB	gain from	LIB	: Lynne Featherstone
Hove	East Sussex	LAB	gain from	CON	: Mike Weatherley
Ilford North	Redbridge	LAB	gain from	CON	: Lee Scott
Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey	Highland	LAB	gain from	LIB	: Danny Alexander
Ipswich	Suffolk	LAB	gain from	CON	: Ben Gummer
Keighley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Kris Hopkins
Kettering	Northamptonshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Philip Hollobone
Kingswood	Bristol area	LAB	gain from	CON	: Chris Skidmore
Lancaster and Fleetwood	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Eric Ollerenshaw
Leicestershire North West	Leicestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Andrew Bridgen
Lincoln	Lincolnshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Karl McCartney
Loughborough	Leicestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Nicky Morgan
Manchester Withington	Central Manchester	LAB	gain from	LIB	: John Leech
Milton Keynes North	Buckinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Mark Lancaster
Milton Keynes South	Buckinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Iain Stewart
Morecambe and Lunesdale	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	: David Morris
Northampton North	Northamptonshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Michael Ellis
Northampton South	Northamptonshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Brian Binley
Norwich North	Norfolk	LAB	gain from	CON	: Chloe Smith
Norwich South	Norfolk	LAB	gain from	LIB	: Simon Wright
Nuneaton	Warwickshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Marcus Jones
Pendle	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Andrew Stephenson
Peterborough	Cambridgeshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Stewart Jackson
Plymouth Sutton and Devonport	Devon	LAB	gain from	CON	: Oliver Colville
Portsmouth North	Hampshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Penny Mordaunt
Preseli Pembrokeshire	Dyfed	LAB	gain from	CON	: Stephen Crabb
Pudsey	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Stuart Andrew
Reading East	Berkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Rob Wilson
Reading West	Berkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Alok Sharma
Redcar	Teeside	LAB	gain from	LIB	: Ian Swales
Redditch	Hereford and Worcestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Karen Lumley
Ribble South	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Lorraine Fullbrook
Rochester and Strood	Kent	LAB	gain from	CON	: Mark Reckless
Rossendale and Darwen	Lancashire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Jake Berry
Rugby	Warwickshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Mark Pawsey
Scarborough and Whitby	North Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Robert Goodwill
Sherwood	Nottinghamshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Mark Spencer
Shipley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Philip Davies
Solihull	Coventry and Solihull	CON	gain from	LIB	: Lorely Burt
Somerset North East	Bristol area	LAB	gain from	CON	: Jacob Rees-Mogg
Stafford	Staffordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Jeremy Lefroy
Staffordshire Moorlands	Staffordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Karen Bradley
Stevenage	Hertfordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Stephen McPartland
Stockton South	Teeside	LAB	gain from	CON	: James Wharton
Stourbridge	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	: Margot James
Stroud	Gloucestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Neil Carmichael
Swindon North	Wiltshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Justin Tomlinson
Swindon South	Wiltshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Robert Buckland
Tamworth	Staffordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Christopher Pincher
Thanet South	Kent	LAB	gain from	CON	: Laura Sandys
Thurrock	Essex	LAB	gain from	CON	: Jackie Doyle-Price
Vale of Glamorgan	South Glamorgan	LAB	gain from	CON	: Alun Cairns
Warrington South	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: David Mowat
Warwick and Leamington	Warwickshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Chris White
Warwickshire North	Warwickshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Dan Byles
Watford	Hertfordshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Richard Harrington
Waveney	Suffolk	LAB	gain from	CON	: Peter Aldous
Weaver Vale	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Graham Evans
Wirral West	Merseyside	LAB	gain from	CON	: Esther McVey
Wolverhampton South West	Black Country	LAB	gain from	CON	: Paul Uppal
Worcester	Hereford and Worcestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Robin Walker
Wrekin, The	Shropshire	LAB	gain from	CON	: Mark Pritchard
Wyre Forest	Hereford and Worcestershire	MIN	gain from	CON	: Mark Garnier

The MP listed is as at the general election in 2010 and may not be that party's candidate at the next election.