Wednesday, 1 October 2014

GRAVESHAM VOTE SHARE 2014 (Will this be the next TORY defector seat?)

Who is the next Conservative defector from this list? <<< link to list which has two Tory MPs who have already defected and a list of more who may in the future

  Adam Holloway Conservative MP would he be the next to defect?

European votes share 2014 for Gravesham Borough Council

UKIP 10,806 - 41.5%
Conservatives 6,097 - 23.4%
Labour 5,816 - 22.4%
Greens 1,217 - 4.7%
LibDems 688 - 2.6%
Others 1,394 - 5.4%

Votes cast 26,018

Prediction: CON hold 

MP: Adam Holloway  (CON)
County/Area: (South East)
Electorate: 70,195
Turnout: 67.39%


2010 Votes2010 SharePredicted Votes
CON22,95648.53%41.94%
LAB13,64428.84%35.06%
LIB6,29313.30%2.34%
UKIP2,2654.79%14.70%
OTH2,1454.53%5.96%
CON Majority9,31219.69%Pred Maj 6.88%  

http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/cgi-bin/seatdetails.pl?seat=Gravesham

Implied and predicted ward-by-ward votes for Gravesham

This table shows the (estimated) general election results broken down over each ward in the seat of Gravesham, as well as the predicted election result ward-by-ward.
GraveshamEst. 2010 General Election ResultsPredicted Results
DistrictWardElectorate
2010
CON
Votes
LAB
Votes
LIB
Votes
Other
Votes
Total
Votes
CON
Votes
LAB
Votes
LIB
Votes
Other
Votes
Total
Votes
GraveshamCentral4,9281,5009306352573,3221,2961,1871127263,321
GraveshamChalk1,580719160711131,063621215132141,063
GraveshamColdharbour3,3028288233482262,225716964614842,225
GraveshamHigham2,8481,3073551561011,9191,129463272991,918
GraveshamIstead Rise2,5631,36420695611,7261,179299172311,726
GraveshamMeopham North3,1791,5253561581032,1421,318475283212,142
GraveshamMeopham South and Vigo3,0821,646245113732,0771,422357202782,077
GraveshamNorthfleet North5,1671,0101,3695775263,4828731,5861029223,483
GraveshamNorthfleet South5,1431,0821,3235585023,4659351,538988943,465
GraveshamPainters Ash4,1951,0859535272622,8279381,159936382,828
GraveshamPelham5,4451,2651,3365655023,6681,0931,5621009143,669
GraveshamRiverside5,6951,1031,6146804403,8379531,8651208993,837
GraveshamRiverview3,0971,3504291871212,0871,167548333392,087
GraveshamShorne, Cobham and Luddesdown3,0451,638235109702,0521,416346192722,053
GraveshamSinglewell4,9091,4271,1064703043,3071,2331,312836793,307
GraveshamWestcourt4,4501,0971,0635462912,9979481,275966782,997
GraveshamWhitehill3,0041,1734972151392,0241,014616383562,024
GraveshamWoodlands4,5631,8346432803173,0741,585813496273,074
 Total70,19522,95313,6436,2904,40847,30219,83616,5801,1099,77147,296
Please note that general election results and electorates are not officially made available ward-by-ward. The numbers shown are our best estimates for these figures, but are not official.

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