SEVENOAKS VOTE SHARE 2014

UKIP 36.94% Conservatives 34.79% share from Euro 2014
Conservatives 56.8% UKIP 3.6% Share from GE2010

From electoral Calculus

Implied and predicted ward-by-ward votes for Sevenoaks

This table shows the (estimated) general election results broken down over each ward in the seat of Sevenoaks, as well as the predicted election result ward-by-ward.

Sevenoaks			Est. 2010 General Election Results					Predicted Results
District	Ward	Electorate 2010	CON Votes	LAB Votes	LIB Votes	Other Votes	Total Votes	CON Votes	LAB Votes	LIB Votes	Other Votes	Total Votes
Sevenoaks	Ash	4,636	2,442	426	243	179	3,290	2,159	593	56	483	3,291
Sevenoaks	Brasted, Chevening and Sundridge	4,746	2,175	0	691	504	3,370	1,923	278	158	1,011	3,370
Sevenoaks	Crockenhill and Well Hill	1,498	0	0	0	1,064	1,064	0	0	0	1,064	1,064
Sevenoaks	Dunton Green and Riverhead	3,573	1,599	0	844	94	2,537	1,414	296	193	634	2,537
Sevenoaks	Eynsford	1,403	502	0	464	30	996	444	147	106	299	996
Sevenoaks	Farningham, Horton Kirby and South Darenth	3,768	1,810	514	202	149	2,675	1,600	643	46	385	2,674
Sevenoaks	Fawkham and West Kingsdown	4,791	2,385	573	255	188	3,401	2,108	741	58	494	3,401
Sevenoaks	Halstead, Knockholt and Badgers Mount	2,628	1,204	0	590	71	1,865	1,064	210	135	455	1,864
Sevenoaks	Hextable	3,168	1,496	457	171	126	2,250	1,323	565	39	323	2,250
Sevenoaks	Kemsing	3,175	1,521	0	643	90	2,254	1,345	238	147	524	2,254
Sevenoaks	Otford and Shoreham	3,344	1,381	368	515	112	2,376	1,221	565	118	472	2,376
Sevenoaks	Seal and Weald	3,034	1,232	0	850	73	2,155	1,089	283	195	588	2,155
Sevenoaks	Sevenoaks Eastern	2,988	536	0	1,554	32	2,122	474	446	356	846	2,122
Sevenoaks	Sevenoaks Kippington	3,424	1,789	0	536	106	2,431	1,582	220	123	507	2,432
Sevenoaks	Sevenoaks Northern	3,226	1,032	0	1,198	61	2,291	912	369	275	735	2,291
Sevenoaks	Sevenoaks Town and St John's	4,692	1,851	0	927	553	3,331	1,636	329	213	1,153	3,331
Sevenoaks	Swanley Christchurch and Swanley Village	4,350	1,510	1,019	234	326	3,089	1,335	1,145	54	556	3,090
Sevenoaks	Swanley St Mary's	3,157	445	1,453	198	146	2,242	393	1,525	45	278	2,241
Sevenoaks	Swanley White Oak	4,677	1,427	1,420	273	201	3,321	1,262	1,553	63	444	3,322
Sevenoaks	Westerham and Crockham Hill	3,311	1,738	311	174	128	2,351	1,536	430	40	345	2,351
	Total	69,589	28,075	6,541	10,562	4,233	49,409	24,820	10,576	2,420	11,596	49,412

Please note that general election results and electorates are not officially made available ward-by-ward. The numbers shown are our best estimates for these figures, but are not official.

Below is the result from 2010 General Election

General Election 2010: Sevenoaks[10]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Michael Fallon	28,076	56.8	+5.0
	Liberal Democrat	Alan Bullion	10,561	21.4	−0.5
	Labour	Gareth Siddorn	6,541	13.2	−7.8
	UKIP	Christopher Heath	1,782	3.6	+0.6
	BNP	Paul Golding	1,384	2.8	N/A
	English Democrats	Louise Uncles	806	1.6	−0.1
	Independent	Mark Ellis	258	0.5	N/A
Majority			17,515	35.4	+5.4
Turnout			49,408	71.1	+12.4
	Conservative hold		Swing	+3.1