Cambridgeshire, Bar Hill - Conservative hold
| Party | 2015 votes | 2015 share | since 2013 | since 2009 | since 2005 |
| Conservative | 787 | 46.0% | +0.6% | -9.7% | +0.2% |
| UKIP | 251 | 14.7% | -7.4% | +4.5% | from nowhere |
| Liberal Democrat | 238 | 13.9% | +5.4% | -2.2% | -22.7% |
| Labour | 235 | 13.7% | +0.1% | +5.3% | -3.9% |
| Green | 200 | 11.7% | +2.3% | +2.1% | from nowhere |
| Loony | -1.1% | ||||
| Total votes | 1,711 | 66% | 51% | 35% |
Swing UKIP to Conservative 4.0% since 2013 but Conservative to UKIP 7.1% since 2009
Harlow, Mark Hall - Labour gain from UKIP
| Party | 2015 votes | 2015 share | since 2014 "top" | since 2014 "average" | since 2012 | since 2011 | since 2010 |
| Labour | 586 | 42.6% | +8.2% | +7.9% | -10.4% | -2.8% | +7.1% |
| UKIP | 353 | 25.7% | -12.2% | -12.1% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere |
| Conservative | 334 | 24.3% | +4.5% | +4.3% | -3.2% | -2.7% | -5.6% |
| Green | 55 | 4.0% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere |
| Liberal Democrat | 47 | 3.4% | -4.4% | -4.1% | -16.1% | -24.2% | -31.2% |
| Total votes | 1,375 | 79% | 79% | 86% | 68% | 43% |
Swing UKIP to Labour ~10% since 2014 otherwise not particularly meaningful
You gloss over the fact that UKIP came second in both, beating two of the three so called main parties. Are you now reclassifying the Lib Dems as a smaller party as they are consistently behind UKIP in the polls? I am amazed you have produced this article under the title 'the swing away from UKIP' on the basis of two council by-election results. If UKIP wins two council seats next week, will you be producing a similar article 'the swing to UKIP'. I am starting to think this site might have a partisan agenda.
ReplyDelete2nd place gets you nothing and explains our posting today about FPTP killing democracy. It does show how difficult it can be for parties outside the established system. I do not have a partisan agenda. I enjoy stats and what they show. I will never restrain from publishing something because it may deter certain readers and cower to threats of them leaving. I enjoy the stats much more than I enjoy or the words which are embraced by the people trying to secure your vote.
DeleteI found this site interesting at first, though due to the unblanced bias now exhibited I'll be unsubscribing. Either you have guest contributors, or you're not as I once thought. Either way, it's goodnight from me
ReplyDeleteI hope you find this site interesting in the future and when we move after this election is complete. As per my previous post, I will NEVER! be deterred from posting because it might cause one reader or another to complain about our partisanship. This is politics no one can be a blank page on such a subject. I do this blog more for the love of the numbers politics creat than the words and often broken promises which are attached with them. Take from that what you will will.
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