In this latest projection Labour stabilise their position as the
largest party with 289 seats and 32% of the vote. The SNP reaches 41
seats, taking 27 from Labour and 8 from the Lib Dems. The Conservatives
retain the largest share of the vote at 33.6% but fall slightly to 271
seats.
With the post-election situation still very unclear, the Parties must
be refining their strategies for all kinds of scenarios. A prolonged
period of uncertainty (3 days?) would lead to talk of a run on the Pound
and some dramatic FTSE charts, which would be used by some as
additional political capital.
Further below we show the max and min projections per party.
http://www.thehustings.co.uk/
Latest Model Party Ranges (80% of eventualities with these margins)
Lab – Hi 307 seats, 33% – Lo 272, 30%
Con – 276, 35% – 253, 32%
SNP – 52, 3.3% – 26, 2.8%
LD – 29, 13% – 15, 9%
Ukip – 4, 16% – 1, 11%
PC – 4, 0.8% – 3, 0.7%
Green – 2, 5.1% – 1, 3.0%
Full list of party vote share predictions, by Seat here (ex NI)
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