Predictions of seats won at Westminster
- Make your own predictions for Scotland
- Our Predictions for East Scotland at a glance
- Our Predictions for West Scotland at a glance
- Full predictions seat-by-seat
- History of Scottish opinion polls since May 2010
| Party | 2010 Votes | 2010 Seats | Pred Votes | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 16.7% | 1 | 16.0% | 0 |
| LAB | 42.0% | 41 | 27.0% | 11 |
| LIB | 18.9% | 11 | 4.8% | 0 |
| UKIP | 0.7% | 0 | 4.4% | 0 |
| Green | 0.7% | 0 | 2.6% | 0 |
| NAT | 19.9% | 6 | 44.4% | 48 |
| Minor | 1.1% | 0 | 0.8% | 0 |
Prediction based on opinion polls from 06 Mar 2015 to 25 Mar 2015, sampling 4,644 people.
The big flaw in this prediction is that it does not take local circumstances into account. The prime illustration of this is that Lib Dems are practically guaranteed one seat (Orkney and Shetland). If SNP take O&S as predicted here then I think we are looking at all 59 seats to the SNP.
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