Tuesday 31 March 2015

Prediction for Scottish Westminster seats #GE2015

Predictions of seats won at Westminster

Party2010 Votes2010 SeatsPred VotesPred Seats
CON16.7%116.0%0
LAB42.0%4127.0%11
LIB18.9%114.8%0
UKIP0.7%04.4%0
Green0.7%02.6%0
NAT19.9%644.4%48
Minor1.1%00.8%0
Prediction based on opinion polls from 06 Mar 2015 to 25 Mar 2015, sampling 4,644 people.


1 comment:

  1. The big flaw in this prediction is that it does not take local circumstances into account. The prime illustration of this is that Lib Dems are practically guaranteed one seat (Orkney and Shetland). If SNP take O&S as predicted here then I think we are looking at all 59 seats to the SNP.

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