Sunday, 1 February 2015

LATEST #GE2015 BETTING ODDS

As Labour's Election strategist Douglas Alexander, (7/4 to lose his Paisley &Renfrewshire South constituency to the SNP), failed to rule out the possibility of a coalition with the SNP, William Hill were making that combination a 9/2 chance to be the outcome of the General Election - having once been a 13/2 shot. 'Quietly, but substantially, political pundits have been steaming into the Labour-SNP coalition odds, forcing the price down to its lowest level ever' said Hill's spokesman Graham Sharpe.

With a Hung Parliament now the red hot 3/10 favourite to be the consequence of the General Election, most pundits are tipping a coalition government.

The SNP (1/3 to win 26 or more seats) are odds-on to win more seats at the General Election than the Lib Dems, who won 57 last time, say Hills, who have opened a book on who will come out on top between the two, and have installed Nicola Sturgeon's Party as 4/7 favourites, with Nick Clegg's team offered at 13/8 and a tie between the two rated an 9/1 shot.

Hills also offer 6/1 that Alex Salmond, 1/8 to win a seat in the Gordon constituency will become a government minister. They also quote 4/1 that there will be another Scottish Independence Referendum before the end of 2020.

To add to Lib Dems misery, Hills make UKIP 4/11 to poll more votes than the Lib Dems, who are 2/1 to do vice versa.

WILLIAM HILL make David Cameron odds-on favourite to remain Prime Minister after the General Election and make him 4/7 to remain in Number 10 until August 1, with Ed Miliband 11/8 to take over by then and they offer 14/1 that it will be anyone else.

However, should Cameron NOT be PM by then it is likely that the Tories will be loking for a new leader - and Boris Johnson is 9/4 favourite to succeed him with Hills who also offer 9/2 Theresa May; 10/1 George Osborne; 12/1 Philip Hammond; Sajid Javid; 16/1 Michael Gove. Likewise, failure by Ed Miliband to get into No 10 is likely to see Labour looking for a replacement, and Hills offer 2/1 Andy Burnham; 5/2 Yvette Cooper; 6/1 Chuka Umunna; 8/1 Alan Johnson; 10/1 Tristram Hunt.

**David Cameron is 3/10 to take part in a multi-Party (4 or more) leadership debate pre-General Election and 12/5 not to.

GENERAL ELECTION OUTCOME...3/10 Hung Parliament; 4/1 Con-LD coalition; 9/2 Coalition involving SNP; 9/2 Con majority; 5/1 Labour minority govt; 11/2 Con min govt; 11/2 Lab-LD coalition; 13/2 Lab majority; 7/1 Coalition involving Ukip; 20/1 Coalition involving Greens; 50/1 Ukip majority; 500/1 LD majority; 33/1 any other outcome.

Further information....graham sharpe.....0780 3233702

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