Friday 5 September 2014

ELECTION FORECAST FOR #GE2015

Information from http://electionforecast.co.uk/
  • And now the party forecast...
    • Conservatives. Fading slightly over the past fortnight. Seat loss possible. Majority unlikely. Plurality possible.
    • Labour. Fading slightly. Seat gain almost certain. Majority unlikely. Plurality possible.
    • Liberal Democrats. Fading slightly. Seat loss almost certain.
    • SNP. Holding steady. Seat gain very likely.
    • Plaid Cymru. Holding steady. Seat loss moderately unlikely.
    • Greens. Holding steady. Seat loss moderately unlikely.
    • UKIP. Rising slightly. Seat gain very likely.
Party Lo Seats Hi Swing
Conservatives 252 301 351 -5
Labour 249 295 340 37
Liberal Democrats 9 20 34 -37
SNP 5 9 14 3
Plaid Cymru 2 3 4 0
Greens 0 1 1 0
UKIP 0 2 4 2
Other 1 1 1 0
Party Lo Votes Hi Swing
Conservatives 28.9% 32.9% 36.8% -3.2%
Labour 27.9% 31.9% 36.1% 2.9%
Liberal Democrats 11.1% 14.3% 17.7% -8.7%
SNP 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 0.8%
Plaid Cymru 0.7% 1.1% 1.5% 0.5%
Greens 1.6% 3.1% 5.1% 2.2%
UKIP 7.6% 10.4% 13.4% 7.3%
Other 2.1% 3.8% 5.8% -1.9%

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