NORTH WEST LEICESTERSHIRE VOTE SHARE 2014 (Will this be the next TORY defector seat?)

Who is the next Conservative defector from this list? <<< link to list which has two Tory MPs who have already defected and a list of more who may in the future

  Andrew Bridgen Conservative MP would he be the next to defect?

Vote share for European Parliamentary elections for NW Leicestershire

UKIP  7,995 - 35.1%
Conservatives 6,180 - 27.2%
Labour 5,234 - 23%
Greens 1,140 - 5%
LibDems 1,052 - 4.6%
Others 1,150 - 5.1%

votes cast  22,751



Prediction: CON hold 

MP: Andrew Bridgen  (CON)
County/Area: (East Midlands)
Electorate: 71,219
Turnout: 72.95%

	2010 Votes	2010 Share	Predicted Votes
CON	23,147	44.55%	37.93%
LAB	15,636	30.10%	37.58%
LIB	8,639	16.63%	2.13%
OTH	3,396	6.54%	8.26%
UKIP	1,134	2.18%	14.11%
CON Majority	7,511	14.46%	Pred Maj 0.35%

http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/cgi-bin/seatdetails.pl?seat=Leicestershire%20North%20West

Implied and predicted ward-by-ward votes for Leicestershire North West

This table shows the (estimated) general election results broken down over each ward in the seat of Leicestershire North West, as well as the predicted election result ward-by-ward.

Leicestershire North West			Est. 2010 General Election Results					Predicted Results
District	Ward	Electorate 2010	CON Votes	LAB Votes	LIB Votes	Other Votes	Total Votes	CON Votes	LAB Votes	LIB Votes	Other Votes	Total Votes
North West Leicestershire	Appleby	1,738	677	0	35	556	1,268	576	46	4	641	1,267
North West Leicestershire	Ashby Castle	1,984	981	339	120	8	1,448	835	428	15	170	1,448
North West Leicestershire	Ashby Holywell	3,861	1,508	1,007	284	18	2,817	1,284	1,174	36	323	2,817
North West Leicestershire	Ashby Ivanhoe	3,611	1,390	959	268	17	2,634	1,183	1,115	34	302	2,634
North West Leicestershire	Bardon	2,446	566	404	668	146	1,784	482	640	85	577	1,784
North West Leicestershire	Breedon	1,915	693	172	151	382	1,398	590	255	19	534	1,398
North West Leicestershire	Castle Donington	5,609	2,157	1,342	568	25	4,092	1,836	1,631	73	552	4,092
North West Leicestershire	Coalville	4,557	839	1,363	322	801	3,325	714	1,507	41	1,063	3,325
North West Leicestershire	Greenhill	5,120	959	1,108	1,415	253	3,735	816	1,595	181	1,142	3,734
North West Leicestershire	Hugglescote	3,626	732	757	329	826	2,644	623	897	42	1,082	2,644
North West Leicestershire	Ibstock and Heather	5,457	1,544	1,275	832	329	3,980	1,314	1,613	106	946	3,979
North West Leicestershire	Kegworth and Whatton	3,736	1,975	0	102	648	2,725	1,681	136	13	895	2,725
North West Leicestershire	Measham	3,831	1,177	1,274	322	21	2,794	1,002	1,435	41	315	2,793
North West Leicestershire	Moira	3,731	1,373	1,046	285	18	2,722	1,169	1,206	36	310	2,721
North West Leicestershire	Oakthorpe and Donisthorpe	1,959	588	562	270	9	1,429	501	676	35	218	1,430
North West Leicestershire	Ravenstone and Packington	1,955	930	272	218	7	1,427	792	388	28	219	1,427
North West Leicestershire	Snibston	3,842	950	1,034	803	17	2,804	809	1,332	103	561	2,805
North West Leicestershire	Thringstone	3,458	778	1,202	524	18	2,522	662	1,405	67	388	2,522
North West Leicestershire	Valley	3,441	1,702	337	461	10	2,510	1,449	569	59	433	2,510
North West Leicestershire	Whitwick	5,339	1,628	1,185	663	420	3,896	1,386	1,475	85	950	3,896
	Total	71,216	23,147	15,638	8,640	4,529	51,952	19,704	19,523	1,103	11,621	51,951

Please note that general election results and electorates are not officially made available ward-by-ward. The numbers shown are our best estimates for these figures, but are not official.