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Previous posts from Sam Beesley
10 Seats UKIP will be hoping to win
10 Rural Seats Labour will need to win
The Conservative Battleground
This table shows the Conservative predicted outcomes in many marginals. The seats have been categorised by likelihood. The categories are:
Seats where the Tories are:
Very Likely To Win
Strong Contenders (likely to gain/hold but loss must be considered)
Moderate Contenders (could go either way, but loss generally more likely)
Able But Unlikely To Win (likely to lose but gain/hold possible)
Outsiders (will not win)
| Very Likely To Win | Strong Contenders To Win | Moderate Contenders To Win | Able But Unlikely To Win | Outsiders | |||||
| Basildon South | Aberconwy | Amber Valley | Bedford | Hendon | |||||
| Battersea | Blackpool North and Cleveleys | Brighton Kemptown | Boston and Skegness | Warwickshire North | |||||
| Burton | Brigg and Goole | Bury North | Brentford and Isleworth | Clacton | |||||
| Camborne and Redruth | Bristol North West | Cannock Chase | Broxtowe | Argyll and Bute | |||||
| Clwyd West | Calder Valley | City of Chester | Cardiff North | Hazel Grove | |||||
| Crawley | Carmarthen West | Croydon Central | Carlisle | Thornbury and Yate | |||||
| Derbyshire South | Castle Point | Ealing Central and Acton | Corby | Alyn and Deeside | |||||
| Dorset South | Chatham and Aylesford | Enfield North | Dewsbury | Birmingham Edgbaston | |||||
| Elmet and Rothwell | Cleethorpes | Halesowen and Rowley Regis | Erewash | Bolton West | |||||
| Enfield Southgate | Colne Valley | Harrow East | Hastings and Rye | Derby North | |||||
| Filton and Bradley Stoke | Crewe and Nantwich | Hove | Lancaster and Fleetwood | Delyn | |||||
| Gillingham and Rainham | Dover | Ipswich | Northampton North | Eltham | |||||
| Ilford North | Dudley South | Keighley | Plymouth Sutton | Gedling | |||||
| Leicestershire North West | Dumfriesshire and Clydesdale | Lincoln | Sherwood | Hampstead and Kilburn | |||||
| Milton Keynes North | Finchley and Golders Green | Morecambe and Lunesdale | Stockton South | Telford | |||||
| Montgomeryshire | Gloucester | Norwich North | Stroud | Westminster North | |||||
| Norfolk South West | Great Yarmouth | Nuneaton | Thurrock | Wirral South | |||||
| Northampton South | Harlow | Pudsey | Warrington South | ||||||
| Portsmouth North | High Peak | South Ribble | Weaver Vale | ||||||
| Preseli Pembrokeshire | Kingswood | South Thanet | Wolverhampton South West | ||||||
| Reading East | Loughborough | Stevenage | Aberdeenshire West | ||||||
| Redditch | Milton Keynes South | Waveney | Berwickshire and Roxburgh | ||||||
| Scarborough and Whitby | Pendle | Wirral West | Eastleigh | ||||||
| Selby and Ainsty | Peterborough | Rochester and Strood | Kingston and Surbiton | ||||||
| Staffordshire Moorlands | Reading West | Brecon and Radnorshire | Sutton and Cheam | ||||||
| Somerset North East | Rossendale and Darwen | Carshalton and Wallington | Twickenham | ||||||
| Swindon North | Rugby | Cheadle | Dumfries and Galloway | ||||||
| Truro and Falmouth | Somerset North East | Eastbourne | Gower | ||||||
| Dorset Mid and Poole North | Stafford | St Ives | Southampton Itchen | ||||||
| Solihull | St Albans | Torbay | Vale of Clwyd | ||||||
| Somerton and Frome | Swindon South | ||||||||
| Tamworth | |||||||||
| Vale of Glamorgan | |||||||||
| Warwick and Leamington | |||||||||
| Watford | |||||||||
| Worcester | |||||||||
| Berwick upon Tweed | |||||||||
| Chippenham | |||||||||
| Cornwall North | |||||||||
| Devon North | |||||||||
| Portsmouth South | |||||||||
| St Austell and Newquay | |||||||||
| Taunton Deane | |||||||||
| Wells |
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